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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 22, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks49%98105
7Kings51%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
46.9
31.9
14
32%
13
6
1
1
0
2
3
10
4-6
67%
5-17
5-10
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
40.3
33.6
37
69%
10
4
1
1
0
1
1
9
8-9
89%
13-21
7-15
62%
48%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
30.7
25.5
12
87%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
27.0
31.1
19
67%
1
4
2
1
0
4
1
0
3-7
43%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
2-2
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
25.9
21.1
6
61%
9
1
0
0
1
1
4
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
32.5
27.1
15
65%
2
4
2
1
1
2
2
0
7-8
88%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
19.7
16.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
16.9
21.5
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
6.1
0
1-2
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
5.6
0
0-1
43%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
0.4
0
0-0
44%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.6
38.5
39.3
22
65%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
8-9
89%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.7
38.1
37.0
11
41%
7
5
2
1
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.9
36.3
17.7
11
51%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
34.9
37.3
13
40%
8
3
0
1
0
4
3
5
1-1
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
27.6
7.9
9
54%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.0
22.2
5.5
12
55%
6
1
2
0
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
18.8
15.6
6
51%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
17.9
0.9
11
62%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-3
0-0
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
5.6
9.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.5
36.5
1
4-8
48%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.6
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.