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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs64%94109
26Knicks36%9096
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
30.3
36.5
18
69%
4
10
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-7
57%
7-10
8-15
70%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.5
27.9
37.1
9
92%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
24.7
30.7
19
79%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
3-6
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
21.8
36.2
13
56%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
8-17
44%
50%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
17.0
24.3
6
60%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.0
31.8
21.4
13
72%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.3
20.1
17.5
2
33%
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
17.1
14.4
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
13.8
4.2
6
69%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
13.4
11.8
5
51%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
12.0
2.8
7
52%
1
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
10.2
2.3
8
57%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
42%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.8
34.3
37.8
14
61%
4
7
0
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
3-6
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.5
30.1
24.7
4
42%
3
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
0-4
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.6
26.9
28.4
14
60%
4
1
1
1
3
3
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.7
23.6
28.1
7
39%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.1
11.0
11.4
1
13%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
35.3
27.5
16
56%
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
6
10-14
71%
3-5
3-6
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.1
18.8
16.5
7
61%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.6
16.3
6.6
9
59%
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
13.6
11.8
5
73%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.8
12.2
4.5
11
62%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
1-1
63%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.1
9.4
11.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.1
8.4
12.1
4
52%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.6
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.0
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.