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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Jazz27%8789
22Celtics73%94101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
40.2
27.9
23
58%
11
7
2
0
1
4
2
9
2-4
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.5
39.7
26.3
11
37%
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
44%
1-4
25%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
38.1
23.3
14
44%
4
5
1
1
0
4
3
1
0-0
-
7-16
3-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
30.7
29.2
5
47%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
27.1
22.5
19
66%
10
2
2
1
0
3
6
4
3-3
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
20.9
24.5
10
43%
3
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
2-6
33%
4-9
2-6
44%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
17.3
5.0
6
75%
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
6.8
11.4
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
6.1
11.3
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
5.3
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
5.1
16.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.8
2.7
14.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
40.3
39.6
20
61%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
8-10
80%
6-10
6-13
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
38.3
35.6
30
60%
3
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
8-9
89%
11-16
6-12
69%
49%
0-5
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
33.8
24.4
15
70%
7
5
3
1
2
1
0
7
5-6
83%
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
27.9
27.8
14
60%
4
3
0
1
1
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
19.4
17.6
5
60%
6
0
1
0
3
3
4
2
3-5
60%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
26.0
18.7
10
61%
5
0
2
1
4
0
1
4
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
14.3
26.4
4
72%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
13.7
22.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
12.9
17.1
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
8.1
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
5.2
11.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.