FinalWin Prob.pScore
460%96
107
2040%92
109
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.19381.5
MIL logo MIL
118.59286.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
OT1 - 0:00.0MILBogut 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)107
3.5%
109
96.5%
OT1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
41.5%
107
58.5%
OT1 - 0:14.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)107
70.8%
107
29.2%
OT1 - 0:14.0MILBogut Layup (17 PTS)107
70.8%
107
29.2%
OT1 - 0:14.0MILMISS Williams Layup107
92.5%
105
7.5%
OT1 - 0:20.0SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)107
83.9%
105
16.1%
OT1 - 0:20.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 2106
80.7%
105
19.3%
OT1 - 0:22.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)106
84.6%
105
15.4%
OT1 - 0:22.0MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2106
86.0%
104
14.0%
OT1 - 0:22.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
81.8%
104
18.2%
OT1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
85.7%
104
14.3%
OT1 - 0:40.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)106
89.5%
104
10.5%
OT1 - 0:41.0MILMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 2106
88.2%
104
11.8%
OT1 - 0:41.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)106
82.7%
104
17.3%
OT1 - 0:43.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
87.9%
103
12.1%
OT1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot106
90.0%
103
10.0%
OT1 - 1:11MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)106
91.1%
103
8.9%
OT1 - 1:11MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 2106
92.5%
102
7.5%
OT1 - 1:28SASDuncan Layup (34 PTS)106
89.5%
102
10.5%
OT1 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)104
82.7%
102
17.3%
OT1 - 1:53MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot104
80.5%
102
19.5%
OT1 - 2:10SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T11)104
73.3%
102
26.7%
OT1 - 2:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
84.4%
102
15.6%
OT1 - 2:28MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot104
81.5%
102
18.5%
OT1 - 2:31MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
73.2%
102
26.8%
OT1 - 2:33MILMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot104
81.5%
102
18.5%
OT1 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
71.5%
102
28.5%
OT1 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
69.1%
102
30.9%
OT1 - 2:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)102
65.6%
102
34.4%
OT1 - 3:00MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot102
61.6%
102
38.4%
OT1 - 3:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)102
51.5%
102
48.5%
OT1 - 3:12SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot102
56.2%
102
43.8%
OT1 - 3:27MILRedd 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)102
66.5%
102
33.5%
OT1 - 3:37MILBUCKS Rebound102
71.3%
100
28.7%
OT1 - 3:38MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot102
76.4%
100
23.6%
OT1 - 3:39MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
71.3%
100
28.7%
OT1 - 3:40MILMISS Redd Layup102
76.4%
100
23.6%
OT1 - 4:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)102
71.3%
100
28.7%
OT1 - 4:03SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot102
73.7%
100
26.3%
OT1 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)102
78.8%
100
21.2%
OT1 - 4:20MILMISS Ford Layup102
76.7%
100
23.3%
OT1 - 4:47SASDuncan 3' Jump Bank Shot (32 PTS)102
71.3%
100
28.7%
OT1 - 5:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker100
63.5%
100
36.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (30 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)100
41.4%
100
58.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
25.8%
100
74.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 298
32.2%
99
67.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBUCKS Rebound98
22.4%
99
77.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot98
39.1%
99
60.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
29.7%
99
70.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot98
35.7%
99
64.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
49.7%
99
50.3%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 298
47.3%
99
52.7%
Q4 - 1:00MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
38.6%
99
61.4%
Q4 - 1:00MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
47.8%
98
52.2%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Bogut Layup98
59.8%
98
40.2%
Q4 - 1:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)98
47.8%
98
52.2%
Q4 - 1:03MILMISS Williams Layup98
59.6%
98
40.4%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)98
48.5%
98
51.5%
Q4 - 1:31MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
40.3%
98
59.7%
Q4 - 1:31MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 296
44.4%
97
55.6%
Q4 - 1:53MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
40.2%
97
59.8%
Q4 - 1:55SASBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)96
43.9%
97
56.1%
Q4 - 1:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)96
53.0%
97
47.0%
Q4 - 1:58SASMISS Duncan Layup96
43.9%
97
56.1%
Q4 - 1:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)96
53.0%
97
47.0%
Q4 - 2:01SASBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)96
44.9%
97
55.1%
Q4 - 2:10SASSpurs Rebound96
56.5%
97
43.5%
Q4 - 2:11SASMISS Van Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
45.1%
97
54.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
57.2%
97
42.8%
Q4 - 2:31MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot96
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 2:45SASParker Reverse Layup (18 PTS)96
40.0%
97
60.0%
Q4 - 3:04MILBogut Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)94
34.9%
97
65.1%
Q4 - 3:25MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
40.7%
95
59.3%
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot94
45.5%
95
54.5%
Q4 - 3:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
54.8%
95
45.2%
Q4 - 3:38MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot94
51.9%
95
48.1%
Q4 - 3:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
44.7%
95
55.3%
Q4 - 3:57SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 293
42.1%
95
57.9%
Q4 - 4:05SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
45.1%
95
54.9%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot93
42.1%
95
57.9%
Q4 - 4:22SASParker 4' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)93
35.3%
95
64.7%
Q4 - 4:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)91
27.6%
95
72.4%
Q4 - 4:34MILBogut Tip Shot (10 PTS)91
27.6%
95
72.4%
Q4 - 4:35MILMISS Bogut Layup91
41.8%
93
58.2%
Q4 - 4:57SASParker 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
35.0%
93
65.0%
Q4 - 5:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)89
31.4%
93
68.6%
Q4 - 5:17MILBogut Tip Shot (8 PTS)89
31.4%
93
68.6%
Q4 - 5:18MILMISS Williams Layup89
44.5%
91
55.5%
Q4 - 5:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)89
38.6%
91
61.4%
Q4 - 5:30SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 288
36.4%
91
63.6%
Q4 - 5:54MILMagloire Dunk (12 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)88
38.8%
91
61.2%
Q4 - 6:15MILBUCKS Rebound88
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Van Exel Hook Shot88
50.8%
89
49.2%
Q4 - 6:17MILMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)88
56.8%
89
43.2%
Q4 - 6:19MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 6:21SASMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)88
50.8%
89
49.2%
Q4 - 6:49MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)88
56.7%
89
43.3%
Q4 - 6:49MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
57.7%
88
42.3%
Q4 - 7:12SASVan Exel 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)88
63.6%
87
36.4%
Q4 - 7:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
57.9%
87
42.1%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
52.5%
87
47.5%
Q4 - 7:51MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)86
57.9%
87
42.1%
Q4 - 8:06MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
69.3%
84
30.7%
Q4 - 8:08MILMISS Kukoc Layup86
73.0%
84
27.0%
Q4 - 8:26SASVan Exel Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)86
69.3%
84
30.7%
Q4 - 8:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
63.7%
84
36.3%
Q4 - 8:32MILMISS Ford Layup84
61.9%
84
38.1%
Q4 - 8:39MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
57.5%
84
42.5%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot84
59.5%
84
40.5%
Q4 - 9:04MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
64.1%
84
35.9%
Q4 - 9:04MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 284
65.3%
83
34.7%
Q4 - 9:16SASWelsch STEAL (1 STL)84
63.8%
83
36.2%
Q4 - 9:30MILWilliams Driving Layup (22 PTS)84
69.4%
83
30.6%
Q4 - 9:45SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)84
74.0%
81
26.0%
Q4 - 10:08MILWelsch 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)81
63.8%
81
36.2%
Q4 - 10:18MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
73.2%
78
26.8%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
76.4%
78
23.6%
Q4 - 10:40SASMohammed 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)81
73.2%
78
26.8%
Q4 - 10:58SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)79
69.0%
78
31.0%
Q4 - 11:01SASMISS Van Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
64.5%
78
35.5%
Q4 - 11:04SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
68.0%
78
32.0%
Q4 - 11:05MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
62.9%
78
37.1%
Q4 - 11:05MILMISS Johnson Tip Shot79
66.5%
78
33.5%
Q4 - 11:07MILMISS Redd Layup79
66.5%
78
33.5%
Q4 - 11:31SASVan Exel Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)79
62.9%
78
37.1%
Q4 - 11:44SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
58.0%
78
42.0%
Q4 - 11:46MILMISS Redd Layup77
56.3%
78
43.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS77
52.3%
78
47.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound77
58.0%
78
42.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mohammed Layup77
54.1%
78
45.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)77
58.5%
78
41.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMohammed Dunk (9 PTS)77
68.1%
75
31.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
63.4%
75
36.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASMISS Parker Layup75
60.1%
75
39.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
63.4%
75
36.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot75
60.0%
75
40.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
63.4%
75
36.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
72.3%
72
27.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
71.1%
72
28.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
68.0%
72
32.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Barry Layup73
64.8%
72
35.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
68.0%
72
32.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot73
66.6%
72
33.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
63.3%
72
36.7%
Q3 - 1:02MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot73
66.8%
72
33.2%
Q3 - 1:17SASParker 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
63.6%
72
36.4%
Q3 - 1:40MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q3 - 1:40MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
59.7%
71
40.3%
Q3 - 1:55SASMohammed Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)71
63.6%
70
36.4%
Q3 - 2:20SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
59.1%
70
40.9%
Q3 - 2:21MILMISS Simmons Layup69
57.5%
70
42.5%
Q3 - 2:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)69
54.1%
70
45.9%
Q3 - 3:03MILJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)66
46.0%
70
54.0%
Q3 - 3:19SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)66
50.2%
68
49.8%
Q3 - 3:38SASSpurs Rebound64
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot64
44.5%
68
55.5%
Q3 - 3:48MILBUCKS Rebound64
41.2%
68
58.8%
Q3 - 3:48MILMISS Magloire Layup64
44.5%
68
55.5%
Q3 - 4:08SASNesterovic 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)64
42.0%
68
58.0%
Q3 - 4:24MILFord 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
38.4%
68
61.6%
Q3 - 4:44SASDuncan Layup (22 PTS)62
41.9%
66
58.1%
Q3 - 4:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
38.4%
66
61.6%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 3' Hook Shot60
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 5:04SASSpurs Rebound60
39.3%
66
60.7%
Q3 - 5:06MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot60
38.0%
66
62.0%
Q3 - 5:31MILBUCKS Rebound60
35.0%
66
65.0%
Q3 - 5:32SASMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.3%
66
63.7%
Q3 - 5:51MILFord 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 5:55MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
42.9%
64
57.1%
Q3 - 5:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
47.4%
64
52.6%
Q3 - 5:57SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot60
44.2%
64
55.8%
Q3 - 5:59SASMISS Duncan Layup60
44.2%
64
55.8%
Q3 - 6:20MILRedd Layup (16 PTS)60
48.1%
64
51.9%
Q3 - 6:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
51.8%
62
48.2%
Q3 - 6:27SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
53.1%
62
46.9%
Q3 - 6:48MILMagloire Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)60
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 6:54SASSimmons STEAL (3 STL)60
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 7:20MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)60
63.4%
60
36.6%
Q3 - 7:50SASParker Layup (9 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)60
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 8:12MILFord 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)58
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 8:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
71.1%
55
28.9%
Q3 - 8:41MILSimmons 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)58
73.5%
55
26.5%
Q3 - 8:59MILMISS Redd Free Throw Technical58
75.9%
53
24.1%
Q3 - 9:14SASSimmons STEAL (2 STL)58
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 9:31MILRedd 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
78.5%
53
21.5%
Q3 - 9:47SASBowen 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)58
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 10:01MILBogut Tip Shot (4 PTS)56
78.5%
51
21.5%
Q3 - 10:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 10:03MILMISS Bogut Layup56
82.2%
49
17.8%
Q3 - 10:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 10:27SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot56
81.3%
49
18.7%
Q3 - 10:49MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
82.9%
49
17.1%
Q3 - 11:14SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)56
80.6%
49
19.4%
Q3 - 11:37MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)54
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q3 - 11:43MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
80.6%
47
19.4%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot54
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL54
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot54
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILSimmons Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)54
81.9%
47
18.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
84.3%
45
15.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot54
84.7%
45
15.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
85.5%
45
14.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASParker Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
88.9%
42
11.1%
Q2 - 1:02MILFord 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)52
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
85.7%
42
14.3%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 1:14SASMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
82.6%
42
17.4%
Q2 - 1:31MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 1:31MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
83.6%
41
16.4%
Q2 - 1:33MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
85.7%
40
14.3%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot50
86.0%
40
14.0%
Q2 - 1:50MILMagloire Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)50
86.5%
40
13.5%
Q2 - 2:02MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
84.9%
40
15.1%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot50
85.3%
40
14.7%
Q2 - 2:33MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)50
86.4%
40
13.6%
Q2 - 2:40MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
87.9%
38
12.1%
Q2 - 2:42SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot50
88.3%
38
11.7%
Q2 - 2:59MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
89.0%
38
11.0%
Q2 - 3:09SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T7)50
89.6%
36
10.4%
Q2 - 3:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
90.8%
36
9.2%
Q2 - 3:15MILMISS Simmons Layup50
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q2 - 3:36SASParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
89.6%
36
10.4%
Q2 - 3:44SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
88.6%
36
11.4%
Q2 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot48
87.6%
36
12.4%
Q2 - 3:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
88.6%
36
11.4%
Q2 - 4:01SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Shot48
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 4:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
88.0%
36
12.0%
Q2 - 4:13MILMISS Simmons Layup48
87.7%
36
12.3%
Q2 - 4:21MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
86.8%
36
13.2%
Q2 - 4:23SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot48
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 4:45MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
88.1%
36
11.9%
Q2 - 5:00SASParker Layup (3 PTS)48
89.2%
34
10.8%
Q2 - 5:09MILWelsch 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
87.9%
34
12.1%
Q2 - 5:23MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
88.9%
32
11.1%
Q2 - 5:25SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot46
89.3%
32
10.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 5:43MILMISS Welsch 11' Jump Shot46
89.8%
32
10.2%
Q2 - 6:03SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
88.5%
32
11.5%
Q2 - 6:26MILWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)44
87.6%
32
12.4%
Q2 - 6:39SASSimmons STEAL (1 STL)44
88.6%
30
11.4%
Q2 - 6:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
89.8%
30
10.2%
Q2 - 6:43MILMISS Simmons 6' Hook Shot44
89.5%
30
10.5%
Q2 - 7:01MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
88.1%
30
11.9%
Q2 - 7:02SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 144
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 7:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
87.0%
30
13.0%
Q2 - 7:04SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot42
86.1%
30
13.9%
Q2 - 7:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
87.0%
30
13.0%
Q2 - 7:29MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 242
86.9%
30
13.1%
Q2 - 7:29MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
86.1%
30
13.9%
Q2 - 7:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q2 - 7:39SASNesterovic Tip Shot (6 PTS)42
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Duncan Layup40
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 7:59MILMagloire Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T7)40
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 8:16MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
84.0%
29
16.0%
Q2 - 8:18SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot40
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 8:42MILWilliams 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)40
85.5%
29
14.5%
Q2 - 8:54MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
86.6%
27
13.4%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 9:08SASFinley Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)40
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 9:21SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
86.3%
27
13.7%
Q2 - 9:23MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
85.9%
27
14.1%
Q2 - 9:46SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)39
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q2 - 10:03MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 10:03MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 236
82.4%
26
17.6%
Q2 - 10:03MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:04MILMISS Gadzuric 8' Jump Shot36
83.0%
26
17.0%
Q2 - 10:25SASBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)36
81.9%
26
18.1%
Q2 - 10:36MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q2 - 10:36MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 10:39SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)33
80.3%
24
19.7%
Q2 - 10:59SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q2 - 11:01SASMISS Van Exel 3' Jump Shot33
80.6%
24
19.4%
Q2 - 11:08MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
81.6%
24
18.4%
Q2 - 11:15MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Mohammed 3' Hook Shot33
80.6%
24
19.4%
Q2 - 11:26SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
81.6%
24
18.4%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot33
81.2%
24
18.8%
Q2 - 11:45SASHorry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)33
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
76.9%
24
23.1%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILWilliams Layup (3 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)30
76.3%
24
23.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
78.4%
22
21.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILFord 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
79.6%
22
20.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)30
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q1 - 1:03MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q1 - 1:03MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
79.8%
19
20.2%
Q1 - 1:24SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 1:41MILFord Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)25
78.0%
18
22.0%
Q1 - 1:49MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
76.7%
18
23.3%
Q1 - 2:13SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)25
78.3%
17
21.7%
Q1 - 2:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
74.9%
17
25.1%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
74.4%
17
25.6%
Q1 - 2:35MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
73.2%
17
26.8%
Q1 - 2:37SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot22
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q1 - 3:06MILMagloire 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)22
74.7%
17
25.3%
Q1 - 3:17MILBUCKS Rebound22
76.1%
15
23.9%
Q1 - 3:19MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot22
77.4%
15
22.6%
Q1 - 3:32SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)22
76.2%
15
23.8%
Q1 - 3:43SASBarry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
74.7%
15
25.3%
Q1 - 3:57MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
73.0%
15
27.0%
Q1 - 4:16SASDuncan 3' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)19
76.0%
12
24.0%
Q1 - 4:35MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
74.7%
12
25.3%
Q1 - 4:53SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 5:13SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot15
70.4%
12
29.6%
Q1 - 5:36SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
69.0%
12
31.0%
Q1 - 5:54MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 6:09SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)13
68.8%
10
31.2%
Q1 - 6:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 6:20MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot11
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 6:28SASBogut STEAL (1 STL)11
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 6:48MILSimmons Palming Turnover (P1.T3)11
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 6:55MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 6:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 6:56MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot11
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot11
66.6%
10
33.4%
Q1 - 7:09SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 7:09SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 210
64.9%
10
35.1%
Q1 - 7:11MILMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 7:16MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 7:17MILMISS Simmons 7' Jump Shot10
64.9%
10
35.1%
Q1 - 7:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 7:51MILMagloire 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 8:08MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 8:10SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.1%
8
31.9%
Q1 - 8:39MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)10
69.3%
8
30.7%
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
70.7%
6
29.3%
Q1 - 8:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot8
68.8%
6
31.2%
Q1 - 9:19SASNesterovic 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
67.2%
6
32.8%
Q1 - 9:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
66.0%
6
34.0%
Q1 - 9:30MILMISS Magloire 7' Jump Shot6
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 9:42SASFinley Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 9:46MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
62.6%
6
37.4%
Q1 - 9:57SASNesterovic 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 10:15MILRedd 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)2
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:50MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 11:10SASFinley Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 11:11SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 11:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 11:13MILMISS Bogut Layup0
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:15MILMISS Bogut Layup0
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:30MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 11:32SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot0
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:49MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)0
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Redd0
64.2%
0
35.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.5%
MIL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
25
39
64%
MIL
20
40
50%
Midrange
SAS
15
36
42%
MIL
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
SAS
15
20
75%
MIL
21
31
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3457%17.0 / 30
T. Parker2246%11.0 / 24
N. Mohammed1179%5.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic857%4.0 / 7
N. Van Exel836%4.0 / 11
B. Bowen788%3.5 / 4
B. Barry770%3.5 / 5
M. Finley643%3.0 / 7
R. Horry467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2870%14.0 / 20
M. Redd2045%10.0 / 22
A. Bogut1956%9.5 / 17
T. Ford1558%7.5 / 13
J. Magloire1372%6.5 / 9
B. Simmons625%3.0 / 12
J. Welsch583%2.5 / 3
E. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
T. Kukoc113%0.5 / 4
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
82
+17
-11
99
MIL
81
+22
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.5%
MIL
1.04 51.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
105.9
SAS 115.1
MIL 118.5 +3.4
Pace
88.8
91.6
SAS 81.5
MIL 86.2 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.6
SAS 17.7
MIL 16.7 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
49.2%
SAS 50.5% +1.1%
MIL 49.4%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
SAS 9.9%
MIL 9.7% +0.2%
ORB %
26.1%
27.4%
SAS 34.9%
MIL 38.6% +3.7%
FTrt
29.8
32.2
SAS 22.0
MIL 34.8 +12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
59.4%
SAS 52.3% +8.4%
MIL 43.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.9%
SAS 5.4%
MIL 6.5% +1.1%
BLK %
8.4%
5.4%
SAS 7.6% +3.6%
MIL 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.0%
SAS 53.5% +1.6%
MIL 51.9%
Rim FG%
61.7%
54.9%
SAS 64.1% +14.1%
MIL 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.6%
SAS 41.7% +3.2%
MIL 38.5%
3P %
38.5%
38.0%
SAS 25.0%
MIL 60.0% +35.0%
FT %
70.2%
73.8%
SAS 75.0% +7.3%
MIL 67.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
39.7%
SAS 42.9%
MIL 44.9% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
41.8%
40.0%
SAS 39.6% +4.3%
MIL 43.8%
3P Att. %
21.5%
20.3%
SAS 17.6% +6.3%
MIL 11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes27.425.6
Points107109
Rebounds4245
Assists2318
Steals56
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals44-9141-89
At-the-Rim FG25-3920-40
Midrange FG15-3615-39
2-Point FG40-7535-79
3-Point FG4-166-10
Free Throws15-2021-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
44.0
7
88%
2
2
0
3
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
42.7
22
46%
7
11
1
0
4
4
1
6
4-6
67%
9-20
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
41.8
34
57%
13
2
2
1
2
6
5
8
4-6
67%
15-28
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 33
29.5
6
43%
3
1
0
0
2
4
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
26.0
8
57%
6
1
0
1
0
3
4
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
24.3
7
70%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
20.7
8
36%
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
18.6
11
79%
6
0
0
0
1
4
4
2
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35
17.4
4
67%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
107
54%
42
23
5
6
11
0
15
27
15-20
75%
40-75
53%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.