for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, December 20, 2005
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Hawks
17%91
92
6
Heat
83%103
111
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.89599.9
MIA logo MIA
115.69691.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLWilliams Dunk (26 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)92
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)90
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLWright BLOCK (1 BLK)90
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Fitch Layup90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ATLChildress Finger Roll (14 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAFitch 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLChildress Layup (12 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAFitch 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Fitch 5' Jump Shot86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37ATLChildress 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 184
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fitch 2 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Simien 15' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15ATLSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMISS Batista Layup76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34MIASimien Dunk (4 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Simien 12' Jump Shot74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ATLBatista Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 173
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIASimien Layup (2 PTS)71
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12ATLChildress Tip Shot (6 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAFitch Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHEAT Rebound69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38ATLMISS Edwards 19' Jump Shot69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T11)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Doleac 12' Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Walker Layup66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMISS Childress 18' Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Doleac Layup66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAFitch 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24ATLWilliams Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAFitch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53ATLChildress Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:21ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLChildress Tip Shot (4 PTS)60
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Fadeaway Jumper58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 258
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWalker Layup (11 PTS)55
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Edwards 18' Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:06ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Fitch 20' Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Doleac Layup55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:44ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:06ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:06ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:21MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:41ATLEdwards Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)53
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Kapono 6' Running Jump Shot51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 3:29ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 3:45MIADoleac 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)49
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 4:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)49
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)46
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 4:35ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 146
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 4:46ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)44
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 4:56ATLHawks Rebound43
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 4:57ATLMISS Edwards 7' Jump Shot43
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)43
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:17ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:43ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 6:19ATLChildress Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)43
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 6:33MIAPayton Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)41
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 6:37ATLPosey STEAL (2 STL)41
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 6:39ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot41
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (25 PTS)41
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Payton Layup41
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 7:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 7:09ATLMISS Edwards 10' Hook Shot41
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIAHEAT Rebound41
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade Layup41
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 7:35ATLEdwards Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 7:35ATLEdwards Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
0.2%
69
99.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
0.2%
68
99.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot39
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 8:29ATLHarrington 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)39
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade Palming Turnover (P3.T8)37
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 8:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
0.2%
67
99.8%
Q3 - 8:48ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot37
0.2%
67
99.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)37
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 9:16ATLPosey STEAL (1 STL)37
0.3%
65
99.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAO'Neal Layup (21 PTS)37
0.4%
65
99.6%
Q3 - 9:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
0.4%
63
99.6%
Q3 - 9:51ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)37
0.5%
63
99.5%
Q3 - 10:23MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)37
0.6%
63
99.4%
Q3 - 10:36ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)37
0.6%
61
99.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)37
0.7%
61
99.3%
Q3 - 10:50ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)37
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 10:56ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot37
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 11:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 11:15ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot37
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)37
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q3 - 11:51ATLIvey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)37
1.3%
56
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL35
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAPayton Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)35
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.6%
54
98.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)33
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHarrington Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)33
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)31
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 1:39ATLHarrington Layup (6 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)31
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 1:42ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
1.5%
49
98.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot29
1.5%
49
98.5%
Q2 - 1:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
1.4%
49
98.6%
Q2 - 1:59ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot29
1.5%
49
98.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAPayton Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q2 - 2:30ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
1.9%
47
98.1%
Q2 - 2:49MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)27
1.7%
47
98.3%
Q2 - 3:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
2.3%
44
97.7%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot27
2.4%
44
97.6%
Q2 - 3:26MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 3:26MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 3:35ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 3:35ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
2.8%
42
97.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 3:50MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
2.7%
41
97.3%
Q2 - 3:59ATLPachulia Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)25
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
3.4%
40
96.6%
Q2 - 4:29ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 4:29ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 4:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 2 of 223
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 4:43MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 4:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 223
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 5:00ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
3.7%
37
96.3%
Q2 - 5:00ATLHawks Rebound22
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot22
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 5:20MIAFitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)22
3.5%
37
96.5%
Q2 - 5:43MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 5:44ATLMISS Pachulia 22' Jump Shot22
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q2 - 6:19ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 6:19ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
4.3%
34
95.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWalker Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)21
4.4%
34
95.6%
Q2 - 6:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
5.3%
32
94.7%
Q2 - 6:52ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
4.6%
32
95.4%
Q2 - 7:24ATLStoudamire 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)19
5.1%
30
94.9%
Q2 - 7:47MIAKapono Layup (4 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)17
4.6%
30
95.4%
Q2 - 7:52ATLFitch STEAL (1 STL)17
5.1%
28
94.9%
Q2 - 8:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)17
5.7%
28
94.3%
Q2 - 8:22ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
6.2%
26
93.8%
Q2 - 8:22ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q2 - 8:24ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot15
5.5%
26
94.5%
Q2 - 8:50ATLEdwards 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)15
5.1%
26
94.9%
Q2 - 8:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q2 - 8:57ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot13
4.4%
26
95.6%
Q2 - 9:12ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
4.8%
26
95.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 213
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q2 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)13
4.5%
26
95.5%
Q2 - 9:26MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q2 - 9:27ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot13
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q2 - 9:43MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
5.3%
24
94.7%
Q2 - 10:04ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
5.8%
23
94.2%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWade Reverse Layup (7 PTS)11
5.4%
23
94.6%
Q2 - 10:35ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)11
5.8%
21
94.2%
Q2 - 10:45ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot11
6.3%
21
93.7%
Q2 - 11:13ATLEdwards 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)11
5.8%
21
94.2%
Q2 - 11:29ATLHawks Rebound9
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot9
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
4.9%
21
95.1%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
5.0%
21
95.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL9
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot9
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.0%
21
95.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot9
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLHawks Rebound9
5.3%
21
94.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
5.2%
21
94.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
5.0%
21
95.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)9
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
5.4%
21
94.6%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 29
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot9
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)9
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 1:38ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)9
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 1:38ATLHawks Rebound9
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 1:39ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot9
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 2:02MIAHEAT Rebound9
6.5%
18
93.5%
Q1 - 2:02ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
6.7%
18
93.3%
Q1 - 2:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
6.9%
18
93.1%
Q1 - 2:37ATLWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
6.5%
18
93.5%
Q1 - 2:52ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 3:06ATLThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 3:22MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)7
6.1%
18
93.9%
Q1 - 3:33ATLLue Foul Turnover (P1.T2)7
6.6%
16
93.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
7.2%
16
92.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
7.8%
14
92.2%
Q1 - 3:51ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 4:04MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)7
8.4%
14
91.6%
Q1 - 4:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Payton Layup7
9.6%
12
90.4%
Q1 - 4:32ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)7
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)5
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
7.7%
12
92.3%
Q1 - 5:04ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)5
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 5:17ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 15
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 5:26MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot5
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T4)5
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 5:45ATLPayton STEAL (1 STL)5
8.9%
10
91.1%
Q1 - 5:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot5
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 6:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Payton Layup5
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIAJump Ball Posey vs. Pachulia: Tip to O'Neal5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 6:10ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot5
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 6:17ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot5
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 6:28ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot5
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)5
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 6:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 6:59ATLPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)5
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)5
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 7:39ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 7:47ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)3
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
8.9%
8
91.1%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
9.0%
7
91.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
10.9%
4
89.1%
Q1 - 8:43ATLMISS Harrington 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)2
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 9:08ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 9:45MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)2
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 9:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 9:57ATLMISS Pachulia Layup2
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 10:33ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 10:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 10:52ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot0
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 11:12ATLHawks Rebound0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Payton Layup0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMISS Ivey 12' Jump Shot0
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 11:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Payton0
12.3%
0
87.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
22
64%
MIA
27
37
73%
Midrange
ATL
17
46
37%
MIA
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
ATL
24
34
71%
MIA
27
35
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2672%13.0 / 18
J. Childress1464%7.0 / 11
J. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
A. Harrington1250%6.0 / 12
J. Edwards850%4.0 / 8
S. Stoudamire744%3.5 / 8
J. Smith429%2.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia315%1.5 / 10
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
T. Lue250%1.0 / 2
E. Batista113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2882%14.0 / 17
G. Payton1550%7.5 / 15
G. Fitch1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1470%7.0 / 10
A. Walker1350%6.5 / 13
J. Kapono867%4.0 / 6
J. Posey583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
W. Simien450%2.0 / 4
M. Doleac325%1.5 / 6
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+10
-11
94
MIA
82
+13
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
ATL 96.8 +18.8
MIA 115.6
Pace
90.3
92.2
ATL 99.9 +8.3
MIA 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.9
ATL 14.4 +1.3
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
51.7%
ATL 43.0%
MIA 53.8% +10.8%
TO %
16.5%
15.0%
ATL 11.3% +2.5%
MIA 13.8%
ORB %
31.5%
26.8%
ATL 15.2%
MIA 30.8% +15.6%
FTrt
34.0
36.3
ATL 43.0
MIA 44.9 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
55.7%
ATL 45.5%
MIA 60.0% +14.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
ATL 7.4% +2.2%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
ATL 4.5%
MIA 7.4% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.9%
ATL 47.4%
MIA 57.8% +10.4%
Rim FG%
55.8%
64.2%
ATL 63.6%
MIA 73.0% +9.4%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.9%
ATL 37.0% +7.0%
MIA 30.0%
3P %
36.7%
34.5%
ATL 18.2%
MIA 36.4% +18.2%
FT %
75.0%
70.0%
ATL 70.6%
MIA 77.1% +6.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.3%
ATL 27.8%
MIA 47.4% +19.6%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
38.0%
ATL 58.2%
MIA 38.5% +19.8%
3P Att. %
17.8%
22.7%
ATL 13.9%
MIA 14.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points92111
Rebounds3451
Assists1524
Steals75
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)39 (3)
Field Goals33-7940-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2227-37
Midrange FG17-469-30
2-Point FG31-6836-67
3-Point FG2-114-11
Free Throws24-3427-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Atlanta Hawks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Joe Johnson
G · 6'7" 240 · 24
30.2
13
59%
1
4
0
1
1
2
1
0
5-7
71%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
28.6
4
29%
4
3
0
1
1
4
1
3
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
24.1
12
50%
3
0
1
0
2
4
0
3
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
19.6
3
15%
2
0
3
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
7.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
29.4
14
64%
9
1
0
0
2
3
3
6
0-1
0%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
26.5
26
72%
7
2
2
0
0
3
0
7
7-9
78%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
25.6
7
44%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
19.6
8
50%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
17.8
2
50%
2
3
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22
6.8
1
13%
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tony Delk
#00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Donta Smith
#15 · G · 6'7" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
34
15
7
3
11
0
7
27
24-34
71%
31-68
46%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.