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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors39%9590
9Nets61%98118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
30.4
34.9
19
70%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
6-8
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
3-5
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
28.9
36.9
12
44%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
6-13
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.7
28.2
38.0
18
57%
3
5
1
2
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
3-6
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
23.6
31.9
9
47%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
7-8
88%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.8
23.0
16.7
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
20.1
30.2
7
39%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
19.8
11.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.6
17.6
10.6
8
68%
4
0
2
0
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.7
14.8
14.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.1
13.6
2.0
8
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
42%
2-3
67%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
10.2
4.6
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.7
9.7
5.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.5
34.7
35.6
17
60%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-5
60%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.7
29.9
36.0
24
67%
9
13
2
2
1
3
1
8
1-2
50%
7-10
3-7
70%
45%
3-7
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.9
26.4
36.7
25
81%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
47%
4-5
80%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
26.1
32.3
17
91%
5
4
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-3
100%
7-8
6-11
88%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.0
19.4
24.6
2
33%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.7
22.6
16.3
8
82%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-4
50%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.7
19.6
7.4
4
34%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.0
15.8
18.5
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
12.6
15.6
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
12.0
9.8
11
92%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
1-1
100%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
12.0
4.4
4
42%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.3
8.8
7.1
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.