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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets63%98107
28Hawks37%93110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
48.1
37.7
37
54%
11
4
3
1
0
6
3
8
19-24
79%
9-22
8-17
41%
48%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
45.2
23.1
5
51%
15
3
0
1
0
2
7
8
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
44.8
36.1
20
55%
6
9
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-3
67%
9-17
5-10
53%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.6
35.7
15.1
15
63%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
56%
3-6
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
35.3
29.3
11
103%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.5
30.5
23.3
12
43%
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
2-7
29%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.0
25.4
3.5
7
39%
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-7
0-1
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.0
29.1
1
6-11
50%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
22.2
1
1-2
54%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
15.1
1
3-6
50%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
5.6
0
1-2
45%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
0.7
0
0-0
47%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.5
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
50.0
35.6
30
54%
5
9
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
6-15
5-12
40%
47%
5-11
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
48.4
34.7
14
44%
10
2
0
1
0
3
3
7
2-2
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
35.3
22.9
15
53%
13
2
2
1
1
2
8
5
7-7
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.0
30.9
27.2
19
54%
7
5
0
1
1
2
4
3
1-1
100%
9-17
3-8
53%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.0
9.2
10.7
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
33.7
23.0
17
71%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
5-6
83%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.5
21.5
30.9
8
51%
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.5
20.0
22.9
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
11.5
15.4
6
68%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-3
33%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.3
2.9
4.0
1
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
1.7
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.3
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.