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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Kings30%9389
3Spurs70%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.5
43.3
34.3
13
44%
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
41.6
33.8
11
37%
11
1
1
2
0
2
4
7
1-2
50%
5-11
5-12
45%
45%
0-3
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
41.0
32.6
25
72%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
1-3
33%
12-16
5-9
75%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.7
40.8
32.9
13
47%
13
6
1
1
2
2
4
9
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.6
40.6
36.0
21
49%
2
6
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-3
33%
7-15
5-10
47%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
17.4
11.1
4
35%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
14.2
18.2
2
20%
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
1.1
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.6
9.9
0
1-2
49%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.0
8.1
0
1-3
44%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.9
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.5
38.3
37.3
9
46%
9
1
0
1
1
1
0
9
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
37.7
35.7
25
67%
6
12
2
1
0
1
1
5
3-6
50%
11-16
8-14
69%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
37.4
37.2
24
45%
14
1
2
1
4
5
6
8
4-6
67%
10-24
8-16
42%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
35.8
32.5
16
67%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-8
56%
46%
2-3
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
26.4
20.2
3
39%
6
2
0
0
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.3
23.4
13.6
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.0
21.8
20.7
3
30%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-5
20%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
10.4
13.5
3
44%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
8.8
13.6
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.