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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics40%9386
23Bulls60%96118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
38.4
39.5
21
46%
8
6
1
1
0
3
5
3
1-2
50%
7-18
6-13
39%
47%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
27.2
39.0
20
58%
1
3
2
1
1
4
1
0
4-5
80%
8-14
7-14
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
24.1
31.9
7
31%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
16.8
20.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
13.2
31.1
4
50%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
32.3
18.7
8
42%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
1-2
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
22.4
20.1
7
58%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
19.6
11.1
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
19.1
2.7
6
34%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
41%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
12.0
17.0
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
6.6
3.0
3
45%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
6.5
11.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
33.1
28.4
22
93%
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
6-7
86%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
31.6
21.8
16
74%
4
1
3
0
4
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
4-5
80%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
28.5
30.9
7
50%
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
28.2
19.2
24
73%
7
2
1
0
1
4
3
4
4-8
50%
10-13
4-7
77%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
19.1
28.1
8
82%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
26.1
20.1
16
68%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-4
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
24.1
23.7
13
51%
4
7
0
1
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
2-3
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
23.0
25.9
2
50%
6
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.2
7.1
18.1
5
125%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
6.0
9.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
5.7
9.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
5.7
8.7
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.