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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns42%9287
11Grizzlies58%9591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.6
44.0
41.3
16
32%
17
2
1
2
6
0
5
12
0-0
-
8-20
5-11
40%
49%
0-5
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.9
40.0
36.8
19
95%
7
6
0
1
0
6
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
49%
5-6
83%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
39.8
41.3
8
29%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-8
17%
44%
2-8
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
35.9
35.6
11
46%
11
8
0
1
3
3
4
7
1-2
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
24.9
30.5
6
34%
12
0
0
1
1
3
5
7
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
37.3
21.9
21
53%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-11
3-6
27%
43%
5-9
56%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
18.2
14.4
6
38%
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
41%
0-4
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.1
8.9
0
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
8.0
0
0-1
41%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
4.5
0
1-2
47%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Sharrod Ford
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.8
41.3
33.6
14
37%
11
4
1
1
2
2
1
10
2-2
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
52%
0-4
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.2
40.0
28.9
12
43%
2
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-8
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.3
36.2
36.6
13
41%
9
2
1
1
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
6-14
4-7
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
31.7
34.1
14
42%
7
0
0
1
3
0
1
6
2-6
33%
6-14
7-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.3
31.2
32.5
10
39%
6
5
2
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.8
16.8
13.2
12
67%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
13.8
19.9
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
12.2
15.8
8
116%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
12.2
14.3
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.4
4.6
20.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.8
6.2
0
1-1
44%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.5
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.