FinalWin Prob.pScore
635%95
107
565%100
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.69596.1
CLE logo CLE
122.39492.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)107
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)107
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2107
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)107
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)107
1.8%
112
98.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0CLEMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 2107
1.6%
112
98.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0CLEHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Layup (33 PTS)107
2.8%
111
97.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)105
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2105
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)105
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)105
2.0%
110
98.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)104
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWalker Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T13)103
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2103
1.4%
110
98.6%
Q4 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound103
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot103
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 1:37CLEMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)103
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 1:37CLEMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)103
2.7%
109
97.3%
Q4 - 1:37CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
3.8%
108
96.2%
Q4 - 1:38CLEMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot103
5.5%
108
94.5%
Q4 - 1:41CLECAVALIERS Rebound103
4.0%
108
96.0%
Q4 - 1:41CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup103
5.7%
108
94.3%
Q4 - 2:04MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)103
4.3%
108
95.7%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
2.1%
108
97.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 2:17CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)100
2.1%
108
97.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)100
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 3:00CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 3:14CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)98
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot98
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 3:26CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (38 PTS)98
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)98
2.6%
106
97.4%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)97
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 3:53CLEMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot96
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 4:16MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)96
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 4:31CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Hughes 6 AST)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 4:59MIAPosey 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)93
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 5:08CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T11)91
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 5:17CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot91
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 5:27CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)91
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 5:27CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)91
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 5:44MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)91
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 6:03CLEJames 15' Jump Shot (31 PTS)89
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T12)89
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 6:27CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade 3' Layup (27 PTS)89
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 6:50CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)87
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 7:04CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)87
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 7:29CLEJames 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 7:41CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Fitch 21' Jump Shot87
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHeat Rebound87
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 7:52CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Jump Shot87
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)87
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Walker 1' Layup85
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 8:26CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot85
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMourning 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)85
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 9:03CLEMISS Hughes 1' Layup83
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 9:20MIAFitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)83
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 9:27CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 9:45CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 180
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 278
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 10:03CLEHughes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)77
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 10:06CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Hook Shot77
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 10:21CLEJones Foul Turnover (P1.T9)77
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIAFitch 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:50CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMourning 2' Layup (10 PTS)75
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Mourning 7' Running Jump Shot73
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 11:45CLEJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 10 AST)73
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Hughes 42' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMourning 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)73
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0CLEMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot71
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)70
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)70
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 1:15CLEMarshall 9' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (James 9 AST)69
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 1:21CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 1:37CLEJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)69
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)69
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 2:13CLEMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 2:29CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 267
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 2:30MIAHeat Rebound66
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 2:43CLEMarshall Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)66
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 265
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 3:23CLEMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)65
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Driving Dunk (21 PTS)65
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 4:00CLEJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)63
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS)63
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 4:51CLEJames Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)61
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:58CLEMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)61
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T11)61
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 5:19CLEMISS Marshall 14' Jump Shot61
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)61
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:50CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)58
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 6:36CLESnow 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)55
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot52
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 7:08CLEMISS Marshall 7' Jump Shot52
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMarshall STEAL (1 STL)52
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:11CLEMarshall Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)52
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 7:46CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot50
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 7:48CLECAVALIERS Rebound50
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 7:48CLEMISS Hughes Layup50
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAHughes STEAL (2 STL)50
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 8:00CLESnow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 8:20MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)50
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 8:38CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)50
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 9:15CLEIlgauskas 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Haslem 14' Turnaround Jump Shot48
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 9:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 9:41CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot48
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAPayton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 10:10CLEIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)46
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 10:34MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 10:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 10:44CLEMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot44
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 10:50CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)44
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 11:03CLEIlgauskas 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)44
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 11:14CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot44
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 11:23CLEHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)44
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 11:48CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot44
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEHughes 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)44
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Rebound42
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0CLEMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0CLEJames Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)40
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0CLESnow Layup (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 1:34CLEHughes 1' Layup (17 PTS)38
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 1:38MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)38
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 1:48CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)38
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 1:48CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)38
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 1:50MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)38
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 2:12CLEHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)38
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMourning Illegal Screen Turnover (P2.T5)38
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 2:48CLEHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)38
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 2:51CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Mourning 4' Driving Hook Shot38
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 3:11CLEMarshall Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)38
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:11CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMarshall BLOCK (1 BLK)38
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot38
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:38CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 238
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 3:38CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade Layup (10 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)38
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q2 - 4:03CLEGooden 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)36
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWalker Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 4:23CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot36
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 4:40CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot36
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 5:03CLEHughes Driving Dunk (9 PTS)36
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
19.8%
41
80.2%
Q2 - 5:31CLESnow Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWalker 2' Layup (7 PTS)33
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 6:00CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)31
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 6:00CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)31
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIAPayton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)31
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 6:37CLEJames 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)29
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 6:41CLEJames Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)29
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)29
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 7:16CLEJames Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)29
24.2%
33
75.8%
Q2 - 7:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 7:24CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 7:33CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 7:46MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 7:48CLEMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 7:55CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot29
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 8:07CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 8:18CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 8:42CLEHughes 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)29
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 8:50CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Fitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 9:09CLEJames 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)29
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q2 - 9:47CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)27
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q2 - 10:07MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q2 - 10:14CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q2 - 10:35MIAFitch 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q2 - 10:51CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q2 - 11:16MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)23
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q2 - 11:30CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q2 - 11:47MIAFitch 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound18
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 73' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)18
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Turnaround Jump Shot18
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0CLEMarshall 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS)18
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 1:17CLEMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 1:17CLEMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 1:17CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 1:17CLEMISS Henderson 1' Layup16
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 1:26CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 1:35CLEMISS James 2' Layup16
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 1:42CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Fitch 18' Jump Shot16
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 1:59MIAHeat Rebound16
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 1:59CLEMISS Hughes 5' Running Jump Shot16
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)16
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:20CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot16
27.2%
18
72.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 3:02CLEMarshall 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)13
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:17CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 3:39MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 3:43MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Payton 2' Layup11
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAHeat Rebound11
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 3:58CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMourning 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)11
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 4:45CLEHughes 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)9
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 4:55CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot9
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 5:11CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)9
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:11CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)9
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 5:16CLEHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot9
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
25.7%
12
74.3%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot9
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
25.7%
12
74.3%
Q1 - 5:52CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 29
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 5:52CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 29
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 5:53CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 5:54CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup9
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade Running Layup (4 PTS)9
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 6:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 6:21CLEMISS James 18' Turnaround Jump Shot7
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 6:42MIAPosey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)7
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 6:48CLEMISS Ilgauskas 6' Running Hook Shot5
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)5
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 7:23CLEIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:38CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 23
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 23
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 7:58CLEMISS Snow 19' Jump Shot3
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 8:11CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot3
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:31CLEJames 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)3
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:34CLECAVALIERS Rebound3
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:35CLEMISS Hughes 12' Jump Bank Shot3
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 8:43CLECAVALIERS Rebound3
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:44CLEMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 8:53CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot3
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 9:08CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 9:21CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot3
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 9:31CLEHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 9:31CLEMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 23
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:45CLECAVALIERS Rebound3
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:04CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:14CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot3
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:44CLEHughes 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)3
26.9%
5
73.1%
Q1 - 10:53CLEJames Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS)3
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)1
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 11:37CLEIlgauskas 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Hughes0
28.3%
0
71.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
CLE
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
30
83%
CLE
12
19
63%
Midrange
MIA
9
33
27%
CLE
17
31
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
CLE
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
15
24
63%
CLE
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3359%16.5 / 28
A. Mourning1450%7.0 / 14
J. Posey1381%6.5 / 8
S. O'Neal1045%5.0 / 11
A. Walker1045%5.0 / 11
G. Payton956%4.5 / 8
G. Fitch964%4.5 / 7
J. Kapono6150%3.0 / 2
U. Haslem330%1.5 / 5
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4182%20.5 / 25
D. Marshall2569%12.5 / 18
L. Hughes2050%10.0 / 20
Z. Ilgauskas1150%5.5 / 11
D. Jones945%4.5 / 10
E. Snow788%3.5 / 4
D. Gooden250%1.0 / 2
A. Henderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+15
-13
97
CLE
82
+9
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.6%
CLE
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.0
MIA 112.6
CLE 122.3 +9.7
Pace
92.2
89.7
MIA 96.1 +3.2
CLE 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.4
MIA 15.0 +0.5
CLE 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.2%
MIA 54.1%
CLE 58.3% +4.2%
TO %
15.0%
14.8%
MIA 12.0%
CLE 11.6% +0.4%
ORB %
26.8%
28.4%
MIA 26.7% +14.6%
CLE 12.1%
FTrt
36.3
36.2
MIA 28.2
CLE 39.7 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
53.6%
MIA 54.8%
CLE 72.5% +17.7%
STL %
6.9%
7.6%
MIA 5.3%
CLE 6.4% +1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
7.6%
MIA 12.0% +5.7%
CLE 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.5%
MIA 54.6%
CLE 62.5% +7.9%
Rim FG%
64.2%
58.8%
MIA 83.3% +20.1%
CLE 63.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.1%
MIA 27.3%
CLE 54.8% +27.5%
3P %
34.5%
33.9%
MIA 36.4%
CLE 39.3% +2.9%
FT %
70.0%
72.9%
MIA 62.5%
CLE 77.4% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.6%
MIA 35.3% +10.9%
CLE 24.4%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
37.6%
MIA 38.8% +0.9%
CLE 39.7%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.8%
MIA 25.9%
CLE 35.9% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points107115
Rebounds4137
Assists2329
Steals56
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals42-8540-78
At-the-Rim FG25-3012-19
Midrange FG9-3317-31
2-Point FG34-6329-50
3-Point FG8-2211-28
Free Throws15-2424-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
39.3
33
59%
4
7
2
1
2
2
1
3
11-13
85%
11-20
55%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
33.5
13
81%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
27.9
9
56%
5
6
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
27.1
10
45%
6
1
0
0
4
4
2
4
0-3
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
21.1
3
30%
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
27.0
10
45%
7
7
0
1
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
20.8
14
50%
6
0
1
3
3
0
3
3
2-5
40%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
19.4
6
150%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
13.2
9
64%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
41
23
5
6
13
0
12
29
15-24
63%
34-63
54%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.