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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards37%9691
17Lakers63%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
45.9
27.5
29
55%
5
4
1
1
0
5
1
4
13-14
93%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
4-14
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
36.0
35.6
12
30%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
4-15
6-12
27%
47%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
21.9
19.7
2
20%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
19.0
23.7
10
87%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
5.0
29.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
31.8
27.0
20
64%
1
1
4
1
0
0
0
1
14-15
93%
3-9
5-10
33%
45%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.3
29.3
26.8
7
44%
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
18.5
20.0
7
60%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.9
17.5
13.7
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.7
15.3
13.8
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.4
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.6
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
37.1
34.1
14
54%
11
3
0
1
2
3
2
9
2-2
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
36.9
35.6
41
68%
8
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
11-14
79%
12-21
9-18
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
27.4
29.0
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.4
21.7
22.4
3
40%
9
0
0
0
4
2
3
6
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
21.1
14.9
7
53%
3
2
2
0
0
2
2
1
5-6
83%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.8
26.3
23.9
6
44%
9
0
0
1
1
1
3
6
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.3
21.7
18.2
13
66%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
6-6
1-3
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.8
20.6
26.8
5
42%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
16.0
18.0
0
0%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.4
11.1
14.2
4
69%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.1
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.1
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.2
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.