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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic16%83103
1Mavericks84%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.8
40.9
37.7
16
53%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
6-12
5-11
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.0
39.9
34.4
10
45%
10
2
0
1
5
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.2
37.4
26.0
28
60%
6
3
2
1
0
1
0
6
8-10
80%
10-18
5-10
56%
47%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.7
28.9
31.3
10
45%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
4-7
57%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
23.4
23.5
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.7
38.4
27.3
17
77%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
41%
3-4
75%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.8
30.3
26.7
14
63%
3
5
2
1
2
2
0
3
3-5
60%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.3
16.9
22.8
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.7
8.9
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
6.1
0
1-1
40%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.4
5.2
0
1-1
38%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.3
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
43.3
39.9
31
69%
7
5
2
1
1
3
2
5
7-8
88%
12-18
8-17
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
40.9
31.7
22
59%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
5-8
63%
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
3-5
60%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
36.6
23.5
0
0%
9
4
1
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
30.1
25.0
4
40%
8
0
0
0
2
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
27.6
30.1
24
76%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
50%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
37.6
28.7
18
46%
6
3
0
1
0
4
3
3
2-4
50%
8-18
4-8
44%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
23.8
16.1
5
50%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
10.9
20.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
10.0
1.2
4
100%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
4.4
5.2
1
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
13.8
1
1-2
47%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
1.8
0
0-0
51%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.