FinalWin Prob.pScore
2616%83
103
184%96
109
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
106.29790.1
DAL logo DAL
112.49785.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
OT1 - 0:00.0ORL103
0%
109
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0DALArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:03.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)103
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:08.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:08.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:10.0ORLGarrity Backcourt Turnover (P2.T10)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
OT1 - 0:15.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)101
0.3%
107
99.7%
OT1 - 0:15.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)101
0.3%
106
99.7%
OT1 - 0:19.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)101
0.6%
105
99.4%
OT1 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot101
1.0%
105
99.0%
OT1 - 0:46.0DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)101
4.2%
105
95.8%
OT1 - 1:01ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
8.3%
103
91.7%
OT1 - 1:01ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
7.6%
103
92.4%
OT1 - 1:16DALHarris Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)99
5.5%
103
94.5%
OT1 - 1:32ORLNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)99
8.9%
101
91.1%
OT1 - 1:47DALHarris 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)99
15.4%
101
84.6%
OT1 - 2:07ORLHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)99
20.4%
99
79.6%
OT1 - 2:30DALNowitzki Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)97
16.2%
99
83.8%
OT1 - 3:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
20.7%
97
79.3%
OT1 - 3:07ORLHoward Tip Shot (8 PTS)97
20.7%
97
79.3%
OT1 - 3:08ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup95
11.7%
97
88.3%
OT1 - 3:28DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS)95
16.8%
97
83.2%
OT1 - 3:44ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
22.0%
95
78.0%
OT1 - 3:44ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
20.6%
95
79.4%
OT1 - 4:00DALNowitzki 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (23 PTS)93
16.6%
95
83.4%
OT1 - 4:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound93
22.1%
93
77.9%
OT1 - 4:18ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
24.3%
93
75.7%
OT1 - 4:36ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
29.9%
93
70.1%
OT1 - 4:38DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot93
27.3%
93
72.7%
OT1 - 5:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to Nowitzki93
22.1%
93
77.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
20.9%
93
79.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot93
26.7%
93
73.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
40.8%
93
59.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot93
34.7%
93
65.3%
Q4 - 1:06ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)93
23.5%
93
76.5%
Q4 - 1:20DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 1:20DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)90
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 1:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 1:37ORLMISS Howard Layup90
16.7%
91
83.3%
Q4 - 1:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
22.9%
91
77.1%
Q4 - 1:54DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot90
20.2%
91
79.8%
Q4 - 2:07ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)90
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q4 - 2:07ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)89
13.0%
91
87.0%
Q4 - 2:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
10.7%
91
89.3%
Q4 - 2:18DALMISS Harris Layup88
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q4 - 2:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 2:33DALMISS Terry 5' Running Jump Shot88
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q4 - 2:59ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)88
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 3:16ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 3:17DALMISS Dampier Layup85
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 3:34ORLHill Driving Layup (21 PTS)85
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 3:47ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 3:48DALMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot83
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 4:13ORLFrancis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)83
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 4:31DALDampier Driving Dunk (4 PTS)83
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 4:41DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 4:43ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot83
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 5:04DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)83
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 5:18ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
8.9%
86
91.1%
Q4 - 5:18ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 5:33DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)81
6.6%
86
93.4%
Q4 - 5:52ORLGarrity 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 6:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 6:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 6:27ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)79
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 6:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 6:41DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot76
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 7:02ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)76
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 7:18DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 7:37ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)74
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 7:54DALTerry 15' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)72
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 8:02DALMISS Terry 9' Jump Shot72
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 8:21ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)72
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 8:40DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q4 - 8:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q4 - 8:58ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 270
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q4 - 8:58ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 270
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 9:10DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)70
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q4 - 9:39ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)70
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q4 - 10:06DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q4 - 10:28DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q4 - 10:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q4 - 10:54DALNowitzki Layup (15 PTS)67
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Harris Layup67
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q4 - 11:00DALHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q4 - 11:02ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup67
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q4 - 11:15DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)67
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q4 - 11:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup67
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q4 - 11:42DALVan Horn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)67
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL67
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMbenga BLOCK (2 BLK)67
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0DALMISS Griffin Dunk67
25.0%
66
75.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
22.5%
66
77.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot67
25.1%
66
74.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)67
22.5%
66
77.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALMISS Van Horn Layup65
18.2%
66
81.8%
Q3 - 1:06DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)65
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Francis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot65
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 1:21DALMbenga Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)65
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q3 - 1:41ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 1:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 1:47DALMISS Griffin Layup63
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 2:06ORLFrancis 11' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)63
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 2:21DALHarris Driving Layup (14 PTS)61
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 2:45ORLMISS Howard Layup61
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 3:00DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 3:00DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 261
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 3:18ORLFrancis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 3:47ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 3:49DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 4:07DALMAVERICKS Rebound59
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 4:07ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot59
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 4:29DALHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 4:29DALHarris Layup (11 PTS)59
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 4:33DALMISS Griffin Layup59
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 4:50ORLMbenga STEAL (1 STL)59
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:12DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)59
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 5:28DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 5:30ORLMISS Battie 20' Jump Shot59
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 5:50DALMbenga Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)59
22.9%
58
77.1%
Q3 - 5:54DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
25.7%
56
74.3%
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot59
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 6:19DALHarris 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 6:38ORLHill Foul Turnover (P1.T6)59
31.4%
54
68.6%
Q3 - 6:42ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
35.2%
54
64.8%
Q3 - 6:44DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot59
34.0%
54
66.0%
Q3 - 7:02ORLHill Driving Layup (17 PTS)59
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q3 - 7:23DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)57
27.7%
54
72.3%
Q3 - 7:40ORLHill Driving Layup (15 PTS)57
24.2%
54
75.8%
Q3 - 7:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q3 - 7:51DALMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot55
21.0%
54
79.0%
Q3 - 8:12DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q3 - 8:13ORLMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)55
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q3 - 8:33DALNowitzki 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)55
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q3 - 8:48ORLFrancis Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q3 - 9:02DALMbenga Reverse Layup (2 PTS)53
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q3 - 9:04DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 9:05DALMISS Harris Layup53
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q3 - 9:22ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)53
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 9:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 9:43DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot51
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q3 - 9:50DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q3 - 9:52ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot51
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q3 - 9:57DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q3 - 9:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q3 - 10:01ORLMISS Stevenson 10' Jump Shot51
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q3 - 10:20DALTerry 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)51
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q3 - 10:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q3 - 10:37ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 151
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q3 - 10:41DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)49
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q3 - 10:56DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q3 - 10:57ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 249
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 10:57ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q3 - 11:12ORLMagic Rebound48
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q3 - 11:15DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q3 - 11:37DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q3 - 11:39ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot48
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL48
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound48
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Hill 41' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot48
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound48
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)48
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot46
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 1:02DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 1:04ORLMISS Howard Layup46
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 1:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 1:23DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 1:47ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)46
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 1:56DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)43
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 2:21ORLHill 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 2:43DALHarris Driving Dunk (7 PTS)41
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 3:04ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 240
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 3:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 3:20DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot40
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 3:28ORLTerry STEAL (1 STL)40
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 3:39DALTerry 14' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 3:56ORLStevenson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 3:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot38
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 4:20DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)38
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 4:42ORLHill Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 4:49DALTerry Running Layup (6 PTS)36
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 4:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMISS Hill Reverse Layup36
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 5:11ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 5:13DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 5:29ORLHill 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 5:47DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 5:47DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)34
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 5:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMISS Nelson 13' Jump Shot34
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 5:57DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)34
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 6:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 6:17ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot34
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 6:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 6:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 6:56ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)34
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 7:01DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 7:06ORLVan Horn STEAL (2 STL)32
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 7:12DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 7:16ORLNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)32
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 7:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 7:30DALMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot32
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 7:49ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)32
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 8:06DALHarris Driving Layup (5 PTS)30
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 8:08DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 8:11ORLDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)30
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q2 - 8:31DALHarris Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 8:56ORLNelson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)30
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 9:00DALArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 9:21ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)28
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 9:47DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 9:47DALHoward Layup (14 PTS)26
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 9:49DALMISS Dampier Dunk26
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 10:06ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q2 - 10:35DALVan Horn Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)24
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q2 - 10:38ORLVan Horn STEAL (1 STL)24
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 10:41ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
12.6%
26
87.4%
Q2 - 10:43DALMISS Harris Layup24
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q2 - 11:09ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q2 - 11:27ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q2 - 11:29DALMISS Howard 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q2 - 11:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q2 - 11:44ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot22
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q2 - 12:00ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)22
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL21
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 19' Turnaround Jump Shot21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot21
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Francis Layup19
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 219
8.0%
25
92.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
8.0%
25
92.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.2%
25
91.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMagic Rebound19
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot19
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 1:06ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)19
8.0%
25
92.0%
Q1 - 1:19ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 1:21DALMISS Terry Layup16
6.5%
25
93.5%
Q1 - 1:32DALMISS Terry Free Throw Technical16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 1:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 1:42DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot16
6.5%
25
93.5%
Q1 - 1:47DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 1:49ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot16
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 2:06DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
6.7%
25
93.3%
Q1 - 2:09DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 2:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot16
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 2:23DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)16
6.7%
25
93.3%
Q1 - 2:48ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 2:48ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 215
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 3:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 3:02DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 215
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 3:19ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
6.2%
24
93.8%
Q1 - 3:32ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
5.7%
24
94.3%
Q1 - 3:34DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
5.6%
24
94.4%
Q1 - 3:56ORLFrancis 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
5.2%
24
94.8%
Q1 - 4:13DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)11
4.8%
24
95.2%
Q1 - 4:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:21ORLMISS Stevenson Layup11
5.8%
21
94.2%
Q1 - 4:27ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 4:30DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot11
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 4:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound11
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:45DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot11
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 4:54DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS Francis 14' Jump Shot11
5.8%
21
94.2%
Q1 - 5:03ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 5:05DALMISS Dampier Layup11
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 5:20ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
5.7%
21
94.3%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 210
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 5:32DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)10
5.8%
21
94.2%
Q1 - 5:46ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
6.2%
19
93.8%
Q1 - 5:46ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 29
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 6:04DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)9
6.3%
19
93.7%
Q1 - 6:27ORLHill Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
7.3%
16
92.7%
Q1 - 6:44DALHoward Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)7
6.8%
16
93.2%
Q1 - 6:55DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
7.3%
14
92.7%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot7
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 7:15ORLMagic Rebound7
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 7:16ORLMISS Hill Layup7
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 7:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 7:29ORLNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)7
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 7:45DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)7
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 7:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.5%
12
91.5%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Battie Layup7
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 8:14DALHoward Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)7
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 8:18ORLGriffin STEAL (1 STL)7
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 8:38DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:38DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 27
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 8:47ORLBattie 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 9:12DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)5
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 9:22DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Hill Layup5
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 9:29DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)5
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot5
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:12DALHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 10:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMISS Battie 9' Turnaround Hook Shot5
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 10:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 10:20ORLDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)5
11.8%
5
88.2%
Q1 - 10:35DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)5
12.5%
5
87.5%
Q1 - 10:53ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)5
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 11:16DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)3
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:29ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:45ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:47DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to Nowitzki0
11.6%
0
88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
DAL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
37
54%
DAL
18
31
58%
Midrange
ORL
16
36
44%
DAL
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
DAL
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
ORL
19
27
70%
DAL
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2861%14.0 / 23
H. Turkoglu1777%8.5 / 11
S. Francis1653%8.0 / 15
J. Nelson1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard1045%5.0 / 11
D. Stevenson1045%5.0 / 11
T. Battie429%2.0 / 7
P. Garrity4100%2.0 / 2
M. Kasun0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3167%15.5 / 23
J. Howard2480%12.0 / 15
J. Terry2261%11.0 / 18
D. Harris1845%9.0 / 20
K. Van Horn550%2.5 / 5
E. Dampier440%2.0 / 5
D. Mbenga4100%2.0 / 2
D. Armstrong150%0.5 / 1
A. Griffin0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
87
+8
-10
95
DAL
85
+13
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
DAL
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
111.3
ORL 106.2
DAL 112.4 +6.2
Pace
88.1
88.2
ORL 90.1 +4.3
DAL 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.9
ORL 16.0 +0.8
DAL 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.5%
ORL 51.9%
DAL 53.6% +1.7%
TO %
16.2%
14.4%
ORL 9.7% +2.3%
DAL 12.0%
ORB %
28.6%
31.9%
ORL 15.0%
DAL 22.2% +7.2%
FTrt
36.9
36.4
ORL 33.3 +2.3
DAL 31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
50.0%
ORL 45.0%
DAL 47.6% +2.6%
STL %
7.3%
8.1%
ORL 8.2% +1.0%
DAL 7.2%
BLK %
7.2%
9.4%
ORL 11.3% +4.5%
DAL 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.3%
ORL 54.2%
DAL 55.6% +1.4%
Rim FG%
57.7%
55.4%
ORL 54.1%
DAL 58.1% +4.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
43.4%
ORL 44.4%
DAL 45.0% +0.6%
3P %
37.6%
37.4%
ORL 50.0% +3.8%
DAL 46.2%
FT %
73.0%
78.3%
ORL 70.4%
DAL 73.1% +2.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
32.5%
ORL 45.7% +8.8%
DAL 36.9%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
50.0%
ORL 44.4% +3.2%
DAL 47.6%
3P Att. %
12.9%
17.5%
ORL 9.9%
DAL 15.5% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points103109
Rebounds3442
Assists1820
Steals87
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals40-8142-84
At-the-Rim FG20-3718-31
Midrange FG16-3618-40
2-Point FG36-7336-71
3-Point FG4-86-13
Free Throws19-2719-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
40.9
16
53%
3
4
0
0
2
5
1
2
4-5
80%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
39.9
10
45%
10
2
0
5
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 33
37.4
28
61%
6
3
2
0
1
4
0
6
8-10
80%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
28.9
10
45%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
4-7
57%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
23.4
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
38.4
17
77%
2
3
2
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
30.3
14
64%
3
5
2
2
2
3
0
3
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
16.9
4
100%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
8.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 27
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
#5 · G · 6'3" 195 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 275 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
103
54%
34
18
8
8
10
0
6
28
19-27
70%
36-73
49%
4-8
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.