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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat46%95112
1176ers54%96105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
41.6
40.7
32
74%
6
3
1
2
1
2
0
6
10-13
77%
11-16
9-19
69%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.4
35.3
35.1
12
56%
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.9
34.0
23.6
9
50%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.8
32.3
24.8
21
53%
13
1
1
0
2
3
3
10
3-6
50%
9-17
6-11
53%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
22.9
29.7
8
58%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
25.7
23.2
16
62%
8
4
0
1
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
3-5
60%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
15.1
22.0
2
100%
9
0
0
0
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
15.0
10.8
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.3
12.9
12.9
8
67%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
5.3
11.2
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.5
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
46.4
37.0
23
53%
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
7
5-6
83%
9-18
7-17
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.5
43.8
43.3
35
49%
4
4
4
2
0
2
1
3
7-16
44%
14-28
10-22
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.8
43.5
36.9
11
46%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
3-8
38%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
33.5
37.8
9
46%
7
7
3
2
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
27.9
28.0
9
53%
2
0
0
1
4
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.1
19.0
10.6
8
58%
10
1
1
0
0
0
6
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
11.6
16.0
4
46%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.0
6.4
5.6
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.8
5.1
8.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
2.7
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.1
0.2
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.8
1.8
0
0-1
48%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.