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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets42%95104
15SuperSonics58%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
47.7
39.8
34
54%
6
8
1
1
0
1
0
6
6-10
60%
5-18
8-16
28%
48%
6-9
67%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.1
37.1
36.1
5
47%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
34.8
33.8
26
78%
10
1
0
1
0
5
2
8
12-15
80%
7-10
7-14
70%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
25.9
20.6
16
80%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
8-9
3-6
89%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.1
18.7
22.2
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
27.0
23.0
2
53%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.1
23.0
20.1
12
68%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
14.7
5.3
5
56%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.5
11.1
11.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
23.5
1
2-4
45%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.5
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 26.9
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.7
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.4
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
43.0
38.9
30
50%
8
4
1
1
1
0
5
3
6-7
86%
6-18
5-11
33%
47%
4-9
44%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
39.0
35.5
15
53%
7
4
1
1
1
1
2
5
4-5
80%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
38.7
29.7
14
47%
4
5
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
22.2
23.9
13
73%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.7
21.1
4.1
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
23.4
10.5
8
56%
9
0
0
0
0
1
6
3
6-7
86%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
21.0
23.6
7
117%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
14.3
23.0
3
32%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-3
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
9.0
17.0
2
26%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
8.3
24.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
54%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.0
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.