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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Heat46%96100
18Bucks54%9883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
43.4
40.4
27
75%
4
7
2
2
1
2
0
4
9-9
100%
9-14
10-20
64%
48%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.4
37.6
35.1
20
78%
6
5
2
1
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
28.4
30.7
7
32%
10
0
0
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
3-10
4-7
30%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.8
24.8
25.4
13
42%
6
1
2
0
2
1
2
4
5-8
63%
4-12
6-11
33%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.9
18.5
26.6
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
22.1
4.9
8
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.8
21.9
22.3
6
77%
4
0
0
0
4
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
21.0
24.8
12
55%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.3
11.9
13.9
4
40%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
10.4
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.5
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.0
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.7
47.0
36.9
17
51%
7
9
1
1
0
5
1
6
2-4
50%
6-12
4-10
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.9
43.1
14.3
15
51%
7
6
0
1
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
6-10
1-3
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.3
41.9
35.7
24
47%
5
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
6-8
75%
6-11
6-13
55%
47%
2-11
18%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
36.5
27.2
7
30%
13
0
0
0
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
2-10
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.0
28.3
27.1
6
60%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.2
19.7
19.6
10
48%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-4
0%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
7.3
2.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.0
6.7
2.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
4.8
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
4.7
2.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
32.7
1
4-9
46%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.0
26.7
1
3-8
46%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.