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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls47%98105
24Raptors53%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
39.4
28.6
13
66%
9
1
2
1
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
35.5
37.8
13
54%
2
5
0
1
0
8
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
33.5
30.3
16
70%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
41%
3-5
60%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
25.5
20.4
12
81%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
8-10
80%
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
18.3
22.9
10
69%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
4-5
80%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
28.7
20.4
18
71%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
20.4
28.4
10
83%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
18.5
28.1
2
69%
8
2
2
1
4
2
1
7
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
10.7
7.2
8
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.1
9.4
18.5
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
1-2
50%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
40.3
36.8
25
53%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
13-17
76%
6-15
7-15
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.5
39.5
32.4
16
47%
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
2-6
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
37.9
36.5
6
50%
4
6
1
1
0
5
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
34.8
34.2
10
39%
7
1
3
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
2-8
25%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
10.8
12.4
2
50%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
27.6
16.1
11
80%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
54%
3-4
75%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
25.2
18.8
15
63%
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-3
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.9
8.8
17.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.3
8.6
27.5
5
83%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
6.1
1.7
4
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.8
0.5
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.5
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.4
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.