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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Heat52%95100
21Bulls48%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
42.4
39.8
14
37%
5
11
3
2
2
2
0
5
2-4
50%
6-17
10-20
35%
48%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.4
40.8
32.6
10
49%
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-5
60%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.8
27.1
24.2
30
60%
7
3
1
0
1
1
4
3
6-9
67%
12-21
6-10
57%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
24.9
34.7
10
63%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.9
19.4
31.8
6
123%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-2
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
23.1
26.0
14
59%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.3
21.2
8.7
2
20%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.8
20.9
23.2
11
41%
12
0
0
0
2
1
6
6
1-3
33%
5-12
3-6
42%
52%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
20.2
6.0
3
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
0.1
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.5
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.0
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
42.7
34.8
26
57%
5
8
1
1
1
2
1
4
8-11
73%
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
4-9
44%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
30.4
30.3
2
17%
3
6
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-4
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
21.2
24.3
6
39%
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-4
50%
2-6
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
21.1
34.8
8
34%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
3-8
6-12
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
15.3
24.0
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
34.2
23.3
5
43%
10
0
0
1
2
2
2
8
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
25.8
30.2
9
48%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
4-9
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
21.6
19.6
19
88%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
8-9
3-6
89%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.1
20.6
16.7
11
80%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
1-2
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
7.0
7.0
6
53%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
4-6
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
6.7
0
0-1
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.