FinalWin Prob.pScore
752%95
100
2148%94
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.98783.7
CHI logo CHI
109.08993.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI100
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
94.8%
97
5.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 299
93.6%
97
6.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)99
94.7%
97
5.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 299
95.7%
96
4.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHISongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
93.5%
96
6.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 299
94.3%
96
5.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)99
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
94.1%
96
5.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)98
95.0%
95
5.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)98
94.9%
94
5.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)97
94.1%
94
5.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHIChandler Dunk (5 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)96
87.5%
94
12.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)96
91.7%
92
8.3%
Q4 - 1:13CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)94
82.1%
92
17.9%
Q4 - 1:14CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
92.9%
89
7.1%
Q4 - 1:16CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot94
95.3%
89
4.7%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)94
91.6%
89
8.4%
Q4 - 1:44CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)92
86.3%
89
13.7%
Q4 - 1:54MIAO'Neal Dunk (30 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)92
90.6%
87
9.4%
Q4 - 1:59CHIChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)90
86.1%
87
13.9%
Q4 - 2:15CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
76.9%
87
23.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 290
78.5%
87
21.5%
Q4 - 2:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
81.4%
87
18.6%
Q4 - 2:41CHIDeng 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
80.6%
87
19.4%
Q4 - 2:55CHISongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
82.0%
85
18.0%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Payton 7' Jump Shot89
84.5%
85
15.5%
Q4 - 3:10CHISongaila 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
89.2%
85
10.8%
Q4 - 3:28MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)89
91.6%
83
8.4%
Q4 - 3:53CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)86
80.3%
83
19.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMourning Layup (11 PTS)86
89.5%
80
10.5%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)84
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot84
82.0%
80
18.0%
Q4 - 4:34CHISongaila 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)84
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 4:50CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot84
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 5:06CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)84
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q4 - 5:15CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
87.3%
78
12.7%
Q4 - 5:16CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 284
90.2%
78
9.8%
Q4 - 5:16CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
88.1%
78
11.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)84
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q4 - 5:45CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)84
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q4 - 6:16MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)84
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 6:36CHIGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)82
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 6:40CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
91.3%
74
8.7%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot82
92.2%
74
7.8%
Q4 - 7:08CHIPargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)82
92.3%
74
7.7%
Q4 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 7:23MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (25 PTS)82
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
92.7%
71
7.3%
Q4 - 7:49CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)80
94.1%
71
5.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)80
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 8:28CHISongaila 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)77
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)77
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 8:57CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T10)75
92.8%
66
7.2%
Q4 - 8:57CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
90.8%
66
9.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot75
91.5%
66
8.5%
Q4 - 9:30CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
91.8%
66
8.2%
Q4 - 9:49MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS)75
89.7%
66
10.3%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
87.4%
66
12.6%
Q4 - 10:02CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
85.2%
66
14.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)73
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q4 - 10:18CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot73
85.2%
66
14.8%
Q4 - 10:37MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)73
83.0%
66
17.0%
Q4 - 10:57CHISongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
79.9%
66
20.1%
Q4 - 10:57CHIMISS Songaila Free Throw 1 of 271
80.4%
65
19.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
78.4%
65
21.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
74.7%
65
25.3%
Q4 - 11:23CHIMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot69
73.3%
65
26.7%
Q4 - 11:35CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
70.2%
65
29.8%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS O'Neal Layup69
71.6%
65
28.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
74.7%
65
25.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIJump Ball Hinrich vs. Wade: Tip to Pargo69
69.7%
65
30.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)69
71.0%
65
29.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0CHISongaila 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)69
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
77.6%
63
22.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot69
80.0%
63
20.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
77.6%
63
22.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 269
80.6%
63
19.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 269
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWalker 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
77.7%
63
22.3%
Q3 - 1:12CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 1:12CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
73.8%
62
26.2%
Q3 - 1:20CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Mourning Layup67
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)67
80.1%
61
19.9%
Q3 - 1:37CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 267
79.7%
61
20.3%
Q3 - 1:37CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 1:37CHIBULLS Rebound67
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 1:37CHIMISS Hinrich Layup67
82.2%
60
17.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)67
78.6%
60
21.4%
Q3 - 2:17MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
75.7%
60
24.3%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Mourning Layup65
73.0%
60
27.0%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)65
75.7%
60
24.3%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot65
73.0%
60
27.0%
Q3 - 2:43CHISongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
75.7%
60
24.3%
Q3 - 2:43CHISongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
76.2%
59
23.8%
Q3 - 2:43CHIBULLS Rebound65
78.7%
58
21.3%
Q3 - 2:45CHIMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot65
81.0%
58
19.0%
Q3 - 2:48CHISongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
78.7%
58
21.3%
Q3 - 2:51CHIMISS Chandler Dunk65
81.0%
58
19.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
78.1%
58
21.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 264
76.9%
58
23.1%
Q3 - 3:30CHIPargo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
78.3%
58
21.7%
Q3 - 3:38CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
81.9%
56
18.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAHeat Rebound64
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 4:01CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 4:13CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Fitch 18' Jump Shot64
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 4:30CHIMISS Sweetney 19' Jump Shot64
82.2%
56
17.8%
Q3 - 4:43CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot64
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHeat Rebound64
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Fitch 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 5:05CHIPargo 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)64
82.2%
56
17.8%
Q3 - 5:09CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
84.4%
54
15.6%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot64
85.1%
54
14.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 5:26CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot64
86.0%
54
14.0%
Q3 - 5:37MIADuhon STEAL (2 STL)64
84.4%
54
15.6%
Q3 - 5:41CHIDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)64
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWade Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)64
84.4%
54
15.6%
Q3 - 6:12MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
81.4%
54
18.6%
Q3 - 6:14CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot62
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)62
78.7%
54
21.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
76.1%
54
23.9%
Q3 - 6:51CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 160
75.7%
54
24.3%
Q3 - 7:13CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
77.6%
52
22.4%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
78.5%
52
21.5%
Q3 - 7:33CHISweetney 13' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)60
80.6%
52
19.4%
Q3 - 7:40CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot60
83.3%
50
16.7%
Q3 - 8:07CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P4.T7)60
84.6%
50
15.4%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)60
82.2%
50
17.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q3 - 8:42CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot58
79.4%
50
20.6%
Q3 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T4)58
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q3 - 9:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
79.3%
50
20.7%
Q3 - 9:15CHIMISS Sweetney 6' Jump Shot58
78.6%
50
21.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)58
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q3 - 9:49CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 6 AST)56
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q3 - 9:53CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
79.3%
47
20.7%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot56
80.1%
47
19.9%
Q3 - 10:21CHIDeng 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 5 AST)56
81.2%
47
18.8%
Q3 - 10:31CHIBULLS Rebound56
83.1%
45
16.9%
Q3 - 10:31CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot56
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q3 - 10:48MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS)56
83.1%
45
16.9%
Q3 - 10:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
81.2%
45
18.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot54
79.5%
45
20.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
81.2%
45
18.8%
Q3 - 11:03CHIMISS Nocioni Layup54
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q3 - 11:15MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 11:38CHISweetney 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI52
78.4%
43
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound52
78.4%
43
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
80.1%
43
19.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)52
78.1%
43
21.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
79.6%
43
20.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Harrington Tip Shot52
83.2%
41
16.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot52
83.2%
41
16.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 251
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
81.7%
41
18.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
81.3%
41
18.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
80.3%
41
19.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMourning Tip Shot (6 PTS)51
80.3%
41
19.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Mourning Layup49
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
77.5%
41
22.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot49
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
76.7%
41
23.3%
Q2 - 1:17CHIMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot49
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 1:20CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
75.4%
41
24.6%
Q2 - 1:22CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
76.3%
41
23.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)49
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 2:03CHIHarrington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)47
71.7%
41
28.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)47
74.4%
39
25.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
71.7%
39
28.3%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Fitch 3PT Jump Shot45
70.1%
39
29.9%
Q2 - 2:48CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)45
71.7%
39
28.3%
Q2 - 3:05MIAPayton Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)45
73.4%
37
26.6%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
71.3%
37
28.7%
Q2 - 3:10CHIMISS Chandler Layup43
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 3:14CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 3:14CHIMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 243
70.9%
37
29.1%
Q2 - 3:14CHIMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 243
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 3:23CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 3:28CHIMISS Duhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:31CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 3:34CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:49CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
68.5%
37
31.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS O'Neal Layup43
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 4:11CHIPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)43
70.6%
37
29.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
73.0%
35
27.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
71.9%
35
28.1%
Q2 - 4:40CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 4:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot41
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 5:07CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
70.5%
35
29.5%
Q2 - 5:07CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
70.9%
34
29.1%
Q2 - 5:09CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot41
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot41
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot41
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 5:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 5:24CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot41
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q2 - 5:31CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot41
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 5:44CHIHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 5:44CHIHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
75.5%
32
24.5%
Q2 - 5:54CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
76.9%
31
23.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 241
77.2%
31
22.8%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 241
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 6:10CHIMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot41
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 6:16CHIBULLS Rebound41
76.3%
31
23.7%
Q2 - 6:16CHIMISS Sweetney 20' Jump Shot41
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 6:24CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
76.3%
31
23.7%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Fitch 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
77.0%
31
23.0%
Q2 - 6:46CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
79.4%
29
20.6%
Q2 - 7:15CHIChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)38
75.9%
29
24.1%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)38
73.8%
29
26.2%
Q2 - 7:34MIAHeat Rebound35
69.6%
29
30.4%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 7:51CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 8:10CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
69.3%
29
30.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS O'Neal Layup35
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Walker Layup35
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 8:30CHIDuhon 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sweetney 1 AST)35
69.3%
29
30.7%
Q2 - 8:47MIAFitch 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
69.3%
27
30.7%
Q2 - 9:01CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 2 of 233
68.5%
27
31.5%
Q2 - 9:01CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)33
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q2 - 9:07CHIBULLS Rebound33
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q2 - 9:07CHIMISS Duhon Layup33
70.3%
26
29.7%
Q2 - 9:18CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 9:30MIAPayton Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)33
71.0%
26
29.0%
Q2 - 9:48CHIChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)32
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q2 - 10:02MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
70.4%
24
29.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
66.4%
24
33.6%
Q2 - 10:12CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
65.6%
24
34.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)29
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q2 - 10:31CHIMISS Duhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
58.6%
24
41.4%
Q2 - 10:36MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)26
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q2 - 10:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q2 - 10:59CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot26
58.6%
24
41.4%
Q2 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 11:28CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)24
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q2 - 11:43CHIBULLS Rebound24
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q2 - 11:46CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHISongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot24
57.4%
22
42.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHISongaila Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
58.5%
22
41.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
56.7%
22
43.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot24
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
58.5%
22
41.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot24
57.3%
22
42.7%
Q1 - 1:05CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)24
58.5%
22
41.5%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWalker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)24
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 1:33CHISongaila Layup (8 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)22
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q1 - 1:37CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 1:40MIAChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)22
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 1:59CHISongaila 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)22
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade Dunk (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
67.7%
15
32.3%
Q1 - 2:16CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)20
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMourning Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)20
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 2:50MIAHeat Rebound20
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 2:50CHIMISS Gordon 6' Jump Shot20
64.9%
15
35.1%
Q1 - 2:55CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot20
64.1%
15
35.9%
Q1 - 3:05CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)20
65.1%
15
34.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
62.8%
15
37.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 3:30CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 3:30CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
63.5%
14
36.5%
Q1 - 3:36CHISongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
64.9%
13
35.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIASongaila BLOCK (1 BLK)19
65.6%
13
34.4%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 3:52CHIMISS Chandler Layup19
66.5%
13
33.5%
Q1 - 4:09MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
64.6%
13
35.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 218
64.2%
13
35.8%
Q1 - 4:21CHISongaila 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)18
65.0%
13
35.0%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)18
66.6%
11
33.4%
Q1 - 5:08CHISongaila 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)16
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 5:14CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
66.1%
9
33.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot16
66.7%
9
33.3%
Q1 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
68.2%
9
31.8%
Q1 - 5:29CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot16
67.6%
9
32.4%
Q1 - 5:43CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
66.1%
9
33.9%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 116
66.4%
9
33.6%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot14
62.4%
9
37.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 6:20CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot14
63.2%
9
36.8%
Q1 - 6:33CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.8%
9
38.2%
Q1 - 6:36MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)14
62.4%
9
37.6%
Q1 - 6:50CHIHinrich Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)14
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 6:50CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)14
64.1%
8
35.9%
Q1 - 6:50CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)14
64.5%
7
35.5%
Q1 - 6:58CHIBULLS Rebound14
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Mourning Layup14
67.9%
6
32.1%
Q1 - 7:11CHINocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
68.4%
6
31.6%
Q1 - 7:19CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
66.5%
6
33.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Layup14
67.1%
6
32.9%
Q1 - 7:36MIAHeat Rebound14
68.4%
6
31.6%
Q1 - 7:36CHIMISS Hinrich Layup14
67.9%
6
32.1%
Q1 - 7:44CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot14
67.2%
6
32.8%
Q1 - 7:59CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)14
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 8:11MIAPayton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)14
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 8:23CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot11
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)11
65.1%
4
34.9%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 9:08CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 28
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 9:08CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
61.3%
3
38.7%
Q1 - 9:36CHIDeng 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
60.0%
3
40.0%
Q1 - 9:42CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
61.3%
1
38.7%
Q1 - 9:44CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot6
62.9%
1
37.1%
Q1 - 9:50CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.3%
1
38.7%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS O'Neal Layup6
62.0%
1
38.0%
Q1 - 10:13CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
63.2%
1
36.8%
Q1 - 10:13CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 1 of 26
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 10:29MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 10:38MIAHeat Rebound4
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Posey Free Throw Technical4
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 10:59MIAHeat Rebound4
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 11:00CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot4
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 11:13MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)4
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:28CHIMISS Sweetney 14' Jump Shot2
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Sweetney vs. O'Neal: Tip to Payton0
54.0%
0
46.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
34
50%
CHI
4
12
33%
Midrange
MIA
16
40
40%
CHI
22
43
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
CHI
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
16
27
59%
CHI
24
36
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3060%15.0 / 25
D. Wade1437%7.0 / 19
A. Walker1458%7.0 / 12
A. Mourning1142%5.5 / 13
G. Payton1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
J. Posey6150%3.0 / 2
S. Anderson338%1.5 / 4
G. Fitch220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich2657%13.0 / 23
D. Songaila1986%9.5 / 11
J. Pargo1179%5.5 / 7
B. Gordon950%4.5 / 9
L. Deng833%4.0 / 12
M. Sweetney638%3.0 / 8
O. Harrington650%3.0 / 6
A. Nocioni542%2.5 / 6
T. Chandler542%2.5 / 6
C. Duhon217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+16
-7
96
CHI
76
+20
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
104.5
MIA 114.9 +6.0
CHI 109.0
Pace
92.2
92.6
MIA 83.7
CHI 93.3 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.9
MIA 17.2
CHI 15.4 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.7%
MIA 48.3% +0.9%
CHI 47.4%
TO %
15.0%
15.6%
MIA 6.6% +5.7%
CHI 12.3%
ORB %
26.8%
26.4%
MIA 27.7%
CHI 30.8% +3.1%
FTrt
36.3
29.2
MIA 31.0
CHI 46.8 +15.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
60.1%
MIA 69.2%
CHI 78.8% +9.6%
STL %
6.9%
6.6%
MIA 9.2% +4.7%
CHI 4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 9.1% +3.7%
CHI 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
51.4%
MIA 50.5% +0.5%
CHI 50.0%
Rim FG%
64.2%
53.9%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
CHI 33.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.3%
MIA 40.0%
CHI 51.2% +11.2%
3P %
34.5%
37.9%
MIA 46.2% +14.4%
CHI 31.8%
FT %
70.0%
73.8%
MIA 59.3%
CHI 66.7% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.1%
MIA 39.1% +23.5%
CHI 15.6%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
46.0%
MIA 46.0% +9.9%
CHI 55.8%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.9%
MIA 14.9%
CHI 28.6% +13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes24.922.9
Points10097
Rebounds4046
Assists2726
Steals84
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)34 (2)
Field Goals39-8733-77
At-the-Rim FG17-344-12
Midrange FG16-4022-43
2-Point FG33-7426-55
3-Point FG6-137-22
Free Throws16-2724-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
42.4
14
37%
5
11
3
2
2
4
0
5
2-4
50%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
40.8
10
50%
0
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
27.1
30
60%
7
3
1
1
1
4
4
3
6-9
67%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
24.9
10
63%
5
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
19.4
6
150%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
23.1
14
58%
4
3
1
0
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
21.2
2
20%
5
2
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
20.9
11
42%
12
0
0
2
1
1
6
6
1-3
33%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
20.2
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
40
27
8
5
7
0
13
27
16-27
59%
33-74
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.