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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets13%9191
3Suns87%10587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.2
42.9
25.0
22
67%
6
0
1
0
0
3
0
6
2-3
67%
10-15
4-8
67%
43%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.3
39.6
26.8
26
79%
10
3
1
1
0
1
1
9
10-10
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
42%
4-5
80%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
37.5
38.2
10
36%
8
0
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-14
7-14
36%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.6
33.2
36.8
19
58%
7
7
4
2
0
3
0
7
5-8
63%
4-10
5-10
40%
44%
2-3
67%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.2
33.0
35.4
2
20%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
44%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.6
30.5
25.8
6
28%
2
3
3
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-10
4-9
20%
43%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
23.4
21.8
6
38%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.5
8.8
0
1-2
43%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.8
7.2
0
1-2
42%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.5
4.6
0
0-1
41%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.6
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.9
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
44.6
35.2
24
71%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
5-5
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.6
41.0
39.2
12
46%
10
1
1
2
1
4
2
8
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
53%
0-3
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.8
37.0
33.7
14
52%
2
16
1
1
1
6
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
5-9
25%
53%
3-5
60%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
35.1
28.3
12
67%
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
26.2
33.4
8
58%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
26.9
16.5
8
31%
5
3
1
1
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
2-9
22%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
17.1
9.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
11.8
6.5
9
92%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
0.2
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.0
20.4
1
3-5
54%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.2
18.4
1
1-3
46%
Sharrod Ford
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.