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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors28%9691
19Warriors72%104117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
34.8
31.7
21
65%
8
0
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-5
40%
8-12
3-6
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
29.1
36.8
21
69%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
23.9
37.6
5
36%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
18.6
15.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
13.9
29.5
5
36%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
32.5
19.6
12
69%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
6-6
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.3
31.2
25.2
6
24%
3
1
3
1
1
2
1
2
4-6
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
47%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
26.3
21.1
4
29%
2
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
18.7
16.4
11
64%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
5-6
83%
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.7
11.0
1.7
4
33%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
38%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
3.3
0
0-1
40%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
35.6
29.4
17
61%
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
49%
1-6
17%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
32.9
35.1
25
62%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
4-5
80%
9-13
6-11
69%
50%
1-5
20%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
31.7
32.5
21
67%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
2-4
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
29.6
36.4
7
44%
6
14
1
2
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-4
4-9
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
18.9
24.3
7
54%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.3
26.4
26.1
9
75%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-6
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
21.0
17.2
15
77%
7
0
0
0
0
3
3
4
3-4
75%
6-8
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
14.8
7.5
2
33%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.7
13.4
7.2
8
90%
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-1
0%
4-4
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
7.5
8.0
4
60%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
5.0
11.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.7
3.2
4.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.1
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.