FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%97
85
2341%94
76
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
104.98178.4
MIL logo MIL
92.78284.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET85
100%
76
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot85
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMagloire 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)81
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)79
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 279
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 279
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETPistons Rebound79
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot79
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 1:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 1:07MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot79
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 1:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
98.0%
72
2.0%
Q4 - 1:16DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 279
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 1:16DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 1:36DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 1:38MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot78
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 1:50MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q4 - 1:52DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q4 - 2:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)78
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 2:03MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot78
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q4 - 2:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 2:07MILMISS Magloire Layup78
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q4 - 2:23MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)78
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q4 - 2:25DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 2:47MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)78
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 2:58DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q4 - 3:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
91.3%
72
8.7%
Q4 - 3:22MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot76
89.8%
72
10.2%
Q4 - 3:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
85.2%
72
14.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)76
87.5%
72
12.5%
Q4 - 3:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)76
88.0%
72
12.0%
Q4 - 3:42MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot76
86.8%
72
13.2%
Q4 - 4:00DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
83.6%
72
16.4%
Q4 - 4:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)73
71.1%
72
28.9%
Q4 - 4:21MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot73
68.5%
72
31.5%
Q4 - 4:42MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)73
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot73
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q4 - 5:06MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)73
70.1%
72
29.9%
Q4 - 5:06MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)73
71.0%
71
29.0%
Q4 - 5:24MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)73
76.4%
70
23.6%
Q4 - 5:26DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
78.3%
70
21.7%
Q4 - 5:50MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
82.2%
70
17.8%
Q4 - 5:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
89.9%
67
10.1%
Q4 - 5:58DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot73
90.9%
67
9.1%
Q4 - 6:19MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
91.4%
67
8.6%
Q4 - 6:19MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
91.7%
66
8.3%
Q4 - 6:27MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
93.2%
65
6.8%
Q4 - 6:30DETMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)73
93.9%
65
6.1%
Q4 - 6:48MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 6:48MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 273
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q4 - 7:07DETWallace 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q4 - 7:30MILMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)71
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q4 - 7:50MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 7:52DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot71
94.5%
62
5.5%
Q4 - 8:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q4 - 8:08MILMISS Bogut Layup71
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 8:11MILBUCKS Rebound71
92.8%
62
7.2%
Q4 - 8:12MILMISS Magloire 11' Jump Shot71
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 8:34DETHamilton Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)71
92.9%
62
7.1%
Q4 - 8:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)69
91.1%
62
8.9%
Q4 - 8:56MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
90.4%
62
9.6%
Q4 - 9:15DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)69
87.8%
62
12.2%
Q4 - 9:32MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P2.T15)66
81.8%
62
18.2%
Q4 - 9:43DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)66
77.7%
62
22.3%
Q4 - 9:57MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q4 - 9:57MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 263
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q4 - 10:03MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
67.6%
61
32.4%
Q4 - 10:04DETMISS Wallace Dunk63
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q4 - 10:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)63
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q4 - 10:21MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Hook Shot63
71.3%
61
28.7%
Q4 - 10:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
67.7%
61
32.3%
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot63
69.3%
61
30.7%
Q4 - 10:57DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q4 - 11:00MILMISS Gadzuric 13' Jump Shot63
71.3%
61
28.7%
Q4 - 11:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q4 - 11:22DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q4 - 11:45MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
71.8%
61
28.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL63
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot63
76.7%
59
23.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
79.1%
59
20.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0DETEvans 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 1:04MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)61
81.7%
56
18.3%
Q3 - 1:10MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
86.8%
53
13.2%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot61
87.5%
53
12.5%
Q3 - 1:34MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)61
89.0%
53
11.0%
Q3 - 1:45DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
92.2%
50
7.8%
Q3 - 1:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
92.0%
50
8.0%
Q3 - 2:06MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)59
89.9%
50
10.1%
Q3 - 2:07MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 2:08MILMISS Redd Layup59
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 2:30MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 2:30DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 259
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 2:30DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 2:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)58
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 2:51MILMISS Kukoc Layup58
87.5%
50
12.5%
Q3 - 3:11MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)58
85.3%
50
14.7%
Q3 - 3:12DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 258
85.6%
50
14.4%
Q3 - 3:12DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 258
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q3 - 3:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
87.5%
50
12.5%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot58
86.0%
50
14.0%
Q3 - 3:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 3:22MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot58
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 3:50DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
85.3%
50
14.7%
Q3 - 3:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
85.0%
50
15.0%
Q3 - 3:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
83.1%
50
16.9%
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Simmons 14' Jump Shot56
82.3%
50
17.7%
Q3 - 4:18DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)56
79.6%
50
20.4%
Q3 - 4:44MILMagloire 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)56
82.7%
50
17.3%
Q3 - 5:00DETPrince 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
84.7%
48
15.3%
Q3 - 5:20MILRedd Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)54
82.0%
48
18.0%
Q3 - 5:33MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q3 - 5:35DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot54
80.1%
48
19.9%
Q3 - 5:50MILSimmons 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)54
82.1%
48
17.9%
Q3 - 6:04DETHamilton Layup (14 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)54
83.6%
46
16.4%
Q3 - 6:09MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)52
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q3 - 6:14MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)52
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot52
79.6%
46
20.4%
Q3 - 6:36MILRedd Foul Turnover (P3.T11)52
81.5%
46
18.5%
Q3 - 6:59DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)52
78.8%
46
21.2%
Q3 - 7:19MILSimmons Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q3 - 7:32MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)49
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q3 - 7:34DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot49
76.1%
44
23.9%
Q3 - 7:46MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)49
78.3%
44
21.7%
Q3 - 8:02DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)49
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q3 - 8:09MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q3 - 8:34DETPrince 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)46
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q3 - 9:00MILBogut Layup (12 PTS)44
62.7%
44
37.3%
Q3 - 9:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
65.8%
42
34.2%
Q3 - 9:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
65.4%
42
34.6%
Q3 - 9:32MILBogut 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)42
62.6%
42
37.4%
Q3 - 9:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
65.8%
40
34.2%
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q3 - 10:08MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)42
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q3 - 10:14MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)42
74.8%
37
25.2%
Q3 - 10:16DETMISS Prince 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q3 - 10:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q3 - 10:40MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 142
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q3 - 10:57DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)42
79.8%
35
20.2%
Q3 - 11:08MILMagloire Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)39
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q3 - 11:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q3 - 11:14MILMISS Simmons Layup39
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q3 - 11:19DETSimmons STEAL (1 STL)39
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q3 - 11:31MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q3 - 11:46DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
72.3%
35
27.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET39
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound39
75.1%
35
24.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILMISS Ford 11' Jump Shot39
73.8%
35
26.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
71.2%
35
28.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot37
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 1:03DETPrince Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)37
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Bogut Layup35
62.2%
35
37.8%
Q2 - 1:16MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 1:18DETMISS Wallace Layup35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 1:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 1:28DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 1:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 1:49MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 235
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 1:49MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 235
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 1:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 1:57DETPrince Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)35
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 1:57DETMISS Prince Layup35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 2:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 2:15MILMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot35
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 2:32MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)35
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 2:34DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot35
61.4%
35
38.6%
Q2 - 2:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
63.2%
35
36.8%
Q2 - 2:55MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
62.4%
35
37.6%
Q2 - 3:16DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)35
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 3:29MILMagloire Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)33
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 3:38MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)33
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot33
55.7%
35
44.3%
Q2 - 3:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Layup33
55.7%
35
44.3%
Q2 - 4:08MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 4:41DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)33
60.9%
33
39.1%
Q2 - 4:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
55.3%
33
44.7%
Q2 - 4:57MILMISS Redd 3' Jump Hook Shot30
54.5%
33
45.5%
Q2 - 5:29DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
52.7%
33
47.3%
Q2 - 5:48MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)30
55.8%
33
44.2%
Q2 - 6:05MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 6:07MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot30
60.7%
31
39.3%
Q2 - 6:21DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)30
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 6:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 6:38MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 228
55.9%
31
44.1%
Q2 - 6:38MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 6:57DETHamilton Layup (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)28
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 7:01MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 7:18DETMcDyess Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)26
51.2%
30
48.8%
Q2 - 7:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 7:22DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot24
46.8%
30
53.2%
Q2 - 7:34MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 7:39MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 7:40DETMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot24
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q2 - 7:53DETArroyo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)24
56.6%
27
43.4%
Q2 - 8:10MILKukoc 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)23
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 8:21DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)23
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q2 - 8:45MILKukoc Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
59.2%
25
40.8%
Q2 - 9:00DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q2 - 9:00DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 9:23MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
54.4%
25
45.6%
Q2 - 9:42DETEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 9:42DETEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
56.1%
23
43.9%
Q2 - 9:42DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
54.4%
23
45.6%
Q2 - 9:44DETMISS Delfino 13' Jump Shot19
52.4%
23
47.6%
Q2 - 10:05MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 10:09DETBell STEAL (1 STL)19
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q2 - 10:22DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot19
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q2 - 10:32DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q2 - 10:34DETMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot19
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q2 - 10:52MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 219
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q2 - 11:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
59.2%
20
40.8%
Q2 - 11:05DETMcDyess Dunk (2 PTS)19
59.2%
20
40.8%
Q2 - 11:07DETMISS Delfino Reverse Layup17
55.1%
20
44.9%
Q2 - 11:26MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)17
56.8%
20
43.2%
Q2 - 11:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q2 - 11:39DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot17
59.9%
18
40.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET17
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)17
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
66.0%
15
34.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0DETMISS Milicic 16' Jump Shot17
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
67.6%
15
32.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot17
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 1:04MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)17
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 1:04MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 1:05MILMISS Gadzuric Layup17
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 1:28MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
72.5%
12
27.5%
Q1 - 1:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
73.5%
12
26.5%
Q1 - 1:45MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot17
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 2:05DETMilicic Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)17
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 2:23MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)15
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 2:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Gadzuric 11' Jump Shot15
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 2:46MILBUCKS Rebound15
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 2:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 2:47MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot15
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 2:49MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot15
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 3:08MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 3:11MILMISS Gadzuric Layup15
73.0%
10
27.0%
Q1 - 3:12MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 3:14MILMISS Williams Layup15
73.0%
10
27.0%
Q1 - 3:15MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 3:17MILMISS Ford Dunk15
73.0%
10
27.0%
Q1 - 3:22DETFord STEAL (1 STL)15
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 3:33DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
73.6%
10
26.4%
Q1 - 3:35MILMISS Gadzuric Layup15
73.0%
10
27.0%
Q1 - 3:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
71.6%
10
28.4%
Q1 - 3:51DETMISS Milicic Layup15
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 4:05DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)15
73.7%
10
26.3%
Q1 - 4:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 4:19MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot14
71.2%
10
28.8%
Q1 - 4:34DETBillups 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 4:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 4:43MILMISS Magloire Layup12
67.5%
10
32.5%
Q1 - 5:09DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 5:09DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 5:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 5:10DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot10
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 5:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 5:27MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot10
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 5:50MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 5:52DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 6:17MILFord 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 6:26DETBillups Layup (2 PTS)10
65.8%
8
34.2%
Q1 - 6:30MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 6:51MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)8
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 6:53MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot8
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 6:56MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)8
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 6:57MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot8
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 7:08MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 7:11MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot8
63.6%
8
36.4%
Q1 - 7:28MILBUCKS Rebound8
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 7:30MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot8
63.6%
8
36.4%
Q1 - 7:47DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 7:52DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 7:54MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot6
60.0%
8
40.0%
Q1 - 8:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 8:13DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot6
59.8%
8
40.2%
Q1 - 8:32DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 8:34MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot6
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 8:42MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 8:44DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot6
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 8:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 8:56MILMISS Magloire 11' Hook Shot6
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 9:14DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 9:31MILRedd Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 9:45MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot4
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 10:07MILSimmons 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)4
61.0%
6
39.0%
Q1 - 10:10MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 10:11MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot4
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 10:23DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 10:23DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 10:27MILMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 10:34MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 10:36MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot2
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:48DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 11:13MILBogut Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 11:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 11:28DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot0
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 11:43MILFord Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)0
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Wallace: Tip to Simmons0
62.8%
0
37.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.96 47.8%
MIL
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
20
60%
MIL
15
31
48%
Midrange
DET
7
32
22%
MIL
9
35
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
DET
26
32
81%
MIL
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2056%10.0 / 18
T. Prince1747%8.5 / 18
C. Billups1761%8.5 / 14
R. Wallace1558%7.5 / 13
A. McDyess542%2.5 / 6
M. Evans467%2.0 / 3
C. Arroyo350%1.5 / 3
B. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
D. Milicic233%1.0 / 3
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2350%11.5 / 23
A. Bogut1250%6.0 / 12
J. Magloire945%4.5 / 10
T. Kukoc975%4.5 / 6
M. Williams880%4.0 / 5
B. Simmons627%3.0 / 11
D. Gadzuric525%2.5 / 10
T. Ford433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
74
+13
-7
87
MIL
67
+19
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.96 47.8%
MIL
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
105.9
DET 104.9
MIL 92.7 +12.3
Pace
87.4
91.6
DET 78.4
MIL 84.8 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
15.6
DET 18.4
MIL 17.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
49.2%
DET 42.1%
MIL 43.4% +1.3%
TO %
12.2%
15.2%
DET 8.7% +8.2%
MIL 16.9%
ORB %
28.9%
27.4%
DET 23.9%
MIL 34.8% +10.9%
FTrt
29.7
32.2
DET 45.7 +23.3
MIL 22.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.1%
59.4%
DET 61.5% +8.2%
MIL 53.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
DET 11.1% +7.4%
MIL 3.7%
BLK %
9.0%
5.4%
DET 7.6% +3.8%
MIL 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.0%
DET 47.8% +3.6%
MIL 44.2%
Rim FG%
59.0%
54.9%
DET 60.0% +11.6%
MIL 48.4%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.6%
DET 21.9%
MIL 25.7% +3.8%
3P %
38.4%
38.0%
DET 38.9%
MIL 60.0% +21.1%
FT %
72.7%
73.8%
DET 81.3% +22.5%
MIL 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.3%
39.7%
DET 28.6%
MIL 40.8% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
40.0%
DET 45.7% +0.3%
MIL 46.1%
3P Att. %
22.1%
20.3%
DET 25.7% +12.6%
MIL 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions8182
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points8576
Rebounds4151
Assists1616
Steals93
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)35 (0)
Field Goals26-7030-76
At-the-Rim FG12-2015-31
Midrange FG7-329-35
2-Point FG19-5224-66
3-Point FG7-186-10
Free Throws26-3210-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
39.7
20
56%
3
2
1
0
1
5
1
2
5-5
100%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
38.4
17
47%
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
6
6-6
100%
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 31
37.7
2
20%
18
2
3
0
0
0
3
15
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
37.0
17
61%
4
7
2
0
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
F · 6'11" 230 · 31
32.4
15
58%
4
3
1
2
1
4
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31
15.6
5
42%
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
11.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
10.9
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 20
10.3
2
33%
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
41
16
9
5
7
0
11
30
26-32
81%
19-52
37%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.