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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies27%87112
2Mavericks73%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
41.7
37.7
36
63%
15
5
0
1
2
2
4
11
10-13
77%
13-22
7-15
59%
49%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
38.6
33.0
8
57%
6
1
4
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
36.7
37.5
11
54%
2
5
2
1
2
0
1
1
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
36.0
31.5
22
68%
4
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
5-9
2-6
56%
41%
3-5
60%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
25.1
26.1
5
64%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
31.6
24.0
15
58%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.4
12.1
3.7
11
87%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
1-3
33%
5-5
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.8
12.0
7.8
2
50%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.5
6.0
6.1
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.8
0.1
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
8.5
0
1-2
42%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
6.2
0
1-1
46%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
37.9
37.6
17
62%
9
2
1
1
1
2
4
5
5-6
83%
3-9
6-12
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
33.4
38.0
27
55%
9
2
0
1
0
2
3
6
8-10
80%
8-15
7-14
53%
48%
1-5
20%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
29.0
28.4
9
57%
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
25.7
36.3
6
41%
3
3
2
2
0
1
2
1
0-3
0%
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
25.3
32.8
5
63%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
31.1
23.0
14
51%
0
1
2
1
1
3
0
0
4-6
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
29.5
17.1
10
59%
7
0
4
0
0
3
2
5
7-8
88%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
10.7
2.5
2
25%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.8
8.3
15.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
6.0
5.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
1.6
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1.6
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.