FinalWin Prob.pScore
1257%91
77
2743%89
80
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.78483.2
ORL logo ORL
94.18586.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL77
0%
80
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)74
8.0%
76
92.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Rebound74
23.7%
76
76.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)74
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
27.0%
76
73.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot74
21.7%
76
78.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)74
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot74
22.7%
76
77.3%
Q4 - 1:10MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q4 - 1:13ORLMISS Stevenson Layup74
29.9%
76
70.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)74
24.5%
76
75.5%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMAGIC Rebound72
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Battie 32' 3PT Jump Shot72
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q4 - 2:07ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Francis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot72
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 2:37MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q4 - 2:55ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)69
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 3:13ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
10.0%
74
90.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 269
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 269
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:10 Def:11)69
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot69
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 3:32ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q4 - 3:32ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 269
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)69
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:9 Def:11)66
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 4:02ORLMISS Nelson 9' Running Jump Shot66
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)66
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q4 - 4:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q4 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound63
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q4 - 4:39MIAStevenson BLOCK (1 BLK)63
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q4 - 4:54ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 4:54ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 5:13ORLMAGIC Rebound63
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Posey 17' Turnaround Jump Shot63
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:9 Def:10)63
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q4 - 5:39ORLMISS Howard Layup63
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q4 - 5:58MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)63
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 6:14ORLHoward Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)63
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q4 - 6:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q4 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)63
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Haslem Layup63
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q4 - 7:07MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
23.4%
69
76.6%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot63
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q4 - 7:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)63
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
19.6%
69
80.4%
Q4 - 7:58ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)63
23.1%
69
76.9%
Q4 - 8:16MIAWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)63
35.6%
66
64.4%
Q4 - 8:21ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)61
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS)61
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Walker Layup59
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q4 - 9:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)59
22.5%
66
77.5%
Q4 - 9:30ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q4 - 9:40ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Payton 6' Running Jump Shot59
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q4 - 9:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q4 - 9:53ORLMISS Nelson 7' Running Jump Shot59
35.5%
63
64.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q4 - 10:13ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)57
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q4 - 10:32MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)57
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q4 - 10:53ORLAugmon Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)54
16.6%
63
83.4%
Q4 - 11:03ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
20.8%
61
79.2%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Simien 6' Turnaround Hook Shot54
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q4 - 11:26ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q4 - 11:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
20.8%
61
79.2%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Simien 17' Jump Shot54
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL54
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound54
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot54
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)54
22.7%
61
77.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Cato 11' Turnaround Jump Shot51
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 1:12ORLMAGIC Rebound49
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot49
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 1:22ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup49
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)49
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 1:51ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot49
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)49
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 2:26ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 2:26ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 2:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot47
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 3:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
20.2%
57
79.8%
Q3 - 3:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)47
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 3:38MIAHeat Rebound45
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Francis Layup45
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 3:46ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Walker Layup45
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)45
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot45
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot45
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 4:05ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q3 - 4:05ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 245
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q3 - 4:19ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMISS Howard Layup45
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMAGIC Rebound45
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 4:27ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup45
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 4:44ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 145
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.5%
54
83.5%
Q3 - 5:06ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q3 - 5:20ORLMAGIC Rebound43
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)43
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot43
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)43
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot43
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot43
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 5:47ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 6:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)43
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot43
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHeat Rebound43
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot43
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)43
26.3%
52
73.7%
Q3 - 6:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 243
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q3 - 6:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
26.6%
51
73.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
26.0%
51
74.0%
Q3 - 7:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 7:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot41
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q3 - 7:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)41
21.0%
51
79.0%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 7:40ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup41
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q3 - 8:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)41
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 241
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
23.7%
51
76.3%
Q3 - 8:21ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)40
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)40
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q3 - 8:54ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q3 - 8:54ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS)40
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)38
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem Layup38
26.5%
47
73.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q3 - 9:26ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot38
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q3 - 9:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)38
25.6%
47
74.4%
Q3 - 9:56ORLBattie 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)38
28.6%
47
71.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
32.5%
45
67.5%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q3 - 10:36ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)37
32.9%
45
67.1%
Q3 - 10:39ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q3 - 10:39ORLMISS Howard Dunk37
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q3 - 10:59MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q3 - 11:14ORLBattie 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)35
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)35
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)33
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot33
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA33
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound33
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot33
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
33.8%
41
66.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
32.4%
41
67.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)31
28.7%
41
71.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Hook Shot31
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLGarrity 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)31
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 1:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
33.3%
39
66.7%
Q2 - 1:02ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup31
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)31
33.3%
39
66.7%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 1:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 131
34.6%
39
65.4%
Q2 - 1:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)31
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Stevenson Layup31
40.4%
37
59.6%
Q2 - 1:36ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot31
39.7%
37
60.3%
Q2 - 1:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)31
40.8%
37
59.2%
Q2 - 1:50ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS)31
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 1:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)31
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 1:52ORLMISS Howard Layup31
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)31
48.5%
34
51.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 2:27ORLMISS Francis 14' Jump Shot29
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)29
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 2:37ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)29
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 2:57ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)29
45.0%
34
55.0%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMourning 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)29
42.9%
34
57.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAHeat Rebound27
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot27
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 3:52ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
40.3%
34
59.7%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 227
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 3:57MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)27
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 4:11ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS)27
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 4:13ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 4:14ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot27
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
46.6%
31
53.4%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)25
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot25
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 4:45MIAHeat Rebound25
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Mourning Layup25
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)25
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 4:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
42.9%
31
57.1%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
40.8%
31
59.2%
Q2 - 5:36ORLAugmon Layup (5 PTS)23
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 5:37ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 5:39ORLMISS Howard Layup23
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)23
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)23
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot23
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 6:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)23
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 223
42.3%
29
57.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 6:44ORLCato Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
42.4%
29
57.6%
Q2 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)22
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Augmon 13' Turnaround Jump Shot22
42.3%
29
57.7%
Q2 - 7:18ORLFrancis Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)22
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 7:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
43.8%
28
56.2%
Q2 - 7:51ORLAugmon Layup (3 PTS)22
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 7:52ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q2 - 7:53ORLMISS Augmon Layup22
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q2 - 8:26ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)19
43.3%
26
56.7%
Q2 - 8:31MIAAugmon STEAL (2 STL)19
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 8:33MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 8:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot19
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q2 - 8:35ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q2 - 8:41ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)19
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q2 - 9:19ORLMISS Augmon Layup17
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 9:31ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q2 - 9:33ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIASimien 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)17
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q2 - 10:02MIAPosey Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q2 - 10:12ORLAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
41.4%
24
58.6%
Q2 - 10:12ORLMISS Augmon Free Throw 1 of 216
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 10:13ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Cato Dunk16
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q2 - 10:16ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q2 - 10:17ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot16
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q2 - 10:25ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup16
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 10:45ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q2 - 10:45ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 216
44.4%
22
55.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q2 - 11:17ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)16
48.9%
20
51.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Cato 6' Turnaround Hook Shot16
50.5%
20
49.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound16
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)16
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot16
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)16
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot16
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)16
55.8%
18
44.2%
Q1 - 1:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper16
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 1:19ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot16
54.6%
18
45.4%
Q1 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)16
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 2:13ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
60.9%
16
39.1%
Q1 - 2:25MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
56.4%
16
43.6%
Q1 - 2:32ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot14
55.7%
16
44.3%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 3:21ORLMISS Howard Layup12
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWilliams Layup (6 PTS)12
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.7%
16
52.3%
Q1 - 3:43ORLMISS Cato Layup10
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 3:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 210
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 4:16ORLStevenson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
46.0%
16
54.0%
Q1 - 4:22ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup9
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 4:46ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)9
50.4%
14
49.6%
Q1 - 4:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)9
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)9
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 5:11ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup9
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
52.7%
12
47.3%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 28
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 5:45ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
54.8%
10
45.2%
Q1 - 5:52MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)8
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 6:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 6:14ORLHoward Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMISS Stevenson Layup8
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIAWilliams 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade Layup6
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 7:08ORLStevenson Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
57.4%
8
42.6%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 7:29MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)6
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 7:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)6
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 7:51ORLMISS Battie Layup6
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot6
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot4
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:28ORLMISS Francis 17' Fadeaway Jumper4
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMAGIC Rebound4
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 9:18MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
55.5%
6
44.5%
Q1 - 9:44ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 9:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 9:46ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup2
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 9:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
54.4%
3
45.6%
Q1 - 10:27ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot0
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:40ORLMISS Battie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:55ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 11:22ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Mourning: Tip to Williams0
61.2%
0
38.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.79 39.7%
ORL
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
29
45%
ORL
15
36
42%
Midrange
MIA
7
31
23%
ORL
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
ORL
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
Free Throws
MIA
19
29
66%
ORL
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2144%10.5 / 24
A. Mourning1547%7.5 / 16
J. Williams1444%7.0 / 16
A. Walker941%4.5 / 11
G. Payton880%4.0 / 5
U. Haslem627%3.0 / 11
J. Kapono330%1.5 / 5
J. Posey117%0.5 / 3
W. Simien0-0.0 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu1850%9.0 / 18
D. Howard1550%7.5 / 15
D. Stevenson1238%6.0 / 16
S. Francis1050%5.0 / 10
T. Battie850%4.0 / 8
S. Augmon750%3.5 / 7
J. Nelson525%2.5 / 10
P. Garrity583%2.5 / 3
K. Cato0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
69
+26
-15
95
ORL
74
+19
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.79 39.7%
ORL
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
106.6
MIA 91.7
ORL 94.1 +2.5
Pace
92.2
88.1
MIA 83.2
ORL 86.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.6
MIA 17.3
ORL 16.6 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.6%
MIA 35.8% +0.1%
ORL 35.7%
TO %
15.0%
16.2%
MIA 14.6%
ORL 11.6% +3.0%
ORB %
26.8%
28.6%
MIA 38.0% +4.7%
ORL 33.3%
FTrt
36.3
36.9
MIA 35.8
ORL 41.6 +5.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
51.4%
MIA 50.0% +9.3%
ORL 40.7%
STL %
6.9%
7.3%
MIA 7.1% +1.2%
ORL 5.9%
BLK %
8.5%
7.2%
MIA 11.4% +1.4%
ORL 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.5%
MIA 39.7%
ORL 42.6% +2.9%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.7%
MIA 44.8% +3.1%
ORL 41.7%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
MIA 22.6%
ORL 32.4% +9.8%
3P %
34.5%
37.6%
MIA 28.6% +14.3%
ORL 14.3%
FT %
70.0%
73.0%
MIA 65.5%
ORL 78.1% +12.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.9%
MIA 35.8%
ORL 46.8% +11.0%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
47.2%
MIA 38.3% +5.9%
ORL 44.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
12.9%
MIA 25.9% +16.8%
ORL 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points7780
Rebounds5147
Assists1311
Steals65
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (7)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)31 (4)
Field Goals26-8127-77
At-the-Rim FG13-2915-36
Midrange FG7-3111-34
2-Point FG20-6026-70
3-Point FG6-211-7
Free Throws19-2925-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
39.8
14
44%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-9
22%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
39.8
21
44%
6
4
0
2
4
3
1
5
5-10
50%
8-20
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
38.5
15
47%
21
0
0
4
4
3
10
11
7-12
58%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
34.3
6
27%
8
0
2
0
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
22.3
1
17%
3
0
1
0
1
5
1
2
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
27.9
9
41%
6
3
1
2
1
3
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
19.4
8
80%
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
7.0
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
#51 · C · 6'11" 262 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
40%
51
13
6
8
15
0
19
32
19-29
66%
20-60
33%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.