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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 25, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors53%9494
28Jazz47%9390
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
41.3
33.8
13
30%
6
10
1
2
0
2
0
6
6-11
55%
2-9
4-8
22%
43%
1-8
13%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
35.9
34.7
29
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-7
43%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
4-8
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
33.1
32.1
9
36%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
1-7
4-8
14%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
32.1
27.7
11
70%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
21.4
26.0
6
68%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.3
27.9
25.0
11
50%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
3-7
43%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
18.1
16.1
11
71%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
13.8
9.3
0
0%
4
0
2
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
6.7
7.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.6
5.8
7.7
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
3.9
10.1
4
86%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.7
5.2
0
1-1
48%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.1
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
40.7
35.2
24
65%
5
7
2
1
0
3
0
5
0-1
0%
9-10
4-10
90%
44%
2-8
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
35.6
34.7
8
39%
15
4
0
1
1
2
4
11
4-5
80%
2-7
6-11
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
32.5
27.1
10
33%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
0-3
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
26.9
14.3
21
68%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
7-12
2-5
58%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
24.4
22.8
4
100%
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
23.4
26.0
10
46%
4
2
0
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
22.1
22.4
9
58%
5
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.0
20.4
21.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
12.4
18.6
4
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
0.9
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
0.7
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
6.4
0
1-2
45%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.