FinalWin Prob.pScore
254%94
103
1046%93
90
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
113.29197.1
MIA logo MIA
98.99185.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALHoward Dunk (25 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)100
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:10DALWade STEAL (5 STL)100
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:24DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot100
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 1:36DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 1:36DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)98
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 1:55DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 1:55DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWilliams Driving Layup (24 PTS)96
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 2:12DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 2:12DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)94
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 2:31DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot94
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)94
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Posey 12' Jump Shot94
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:25DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)94
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWilliams Layup (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)91
97.5%
82
2.5%
Q4 - 3:47DALWade STEAL (4 STL)91
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)91
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 4:10DALWilliams STEAL (2 STL)91
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot91
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 4:34DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)91
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMourning Dunk (13 PTS)88
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup88
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 5:16DALDampier Layup (13 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)88
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAHEAT Rebound86
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Mourning Layup86
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 6:01DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 6:01DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 285
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 285
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 285
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 6:32DALHoward Layup (23 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)85
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 6:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot83
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q4 - 7:04DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)83
92.5%
74
7.5%
Q4 - 7:19DALMavericks Rebound81
90.7%
74
9.3%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
89.9%
74
10.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
87.8%
74
12.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
89.9%
74
10.1%
Q4 - 8:03DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)81
86.3%
74
13.7%
Q4 - 8:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
79.1%
74
20.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot78
77.8%
74
22.2%
Q4 - 8:32DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)78
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 8:36MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)78
79.2%
74
20.8%
Q4 - 8:57DALDaniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
74.7%
74
25.3%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWilliams 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
69.0%
74
31.0%
Q4 - 9:24MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
73.7%
72
26.3%
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
75.2%
72
24.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)76
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q4 - 9:58MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
82.0%
70
18.0%
Q4 - 10:00DALMISS Harris Driving Layup76
83.1%
70
16.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)76
84.2%
70
15.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHEAT Rebound76
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Walker 4' Hook Shot76
88.7%
68
11.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Walker 4' Hook Shot76
88.7%
68
11.3%
Q4 - 11:02DALWilliams STEAL (1 STL)76
85.7%
68
14.3%
Q4 - 11:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
88.3%
68
11.7%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q4 - 11:43DALDaniels Running Dunk (10 PTS)76
85.8%
68
14.2%
Q4 - 11:46MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)74
83.1%
68
16.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL74
79.6%
68
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound74
83.1%
68
16.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot74
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)74
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Simien Tip Shot74
88.9%
65
11.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot74
88.9%
65
11.1%
Q3 - 1:02DALHarris 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)72
84.0%
65
16.0%
Q3 - 1:28DALHoward Driving Dunk (16 PTS)72
81.2%
65
18.8%
Q3 - 1:41DALMavericks Rebound70
78.1%
65
21.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot70
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
74.5%
65
25.5%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup70
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
73.2%
65
26.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Walker 6' Hook Shot70
75.9%
65
24.1%
Q3 - 2:26MIAHEAT Rebound70
73.3%
65
26.7%
Q3 - 2:27DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
74.5%
65
25.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWalker 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
80.0%
63
20.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Walker 10' Hook Shot70
82.2%
63
17.8%
Q3 - 3:19DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)70
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 3:32DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
73.1%
63
26.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot67
72.0%
63
28.0%
Q3 - 3:53DALHarris 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)67
69.2%
63
30.8%
Q3 - 4:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
65.3%
63
34.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Payton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot65
63.9%
63
36.1%
Q3 - 4:25MIAHEAT Rebound65
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 4:27DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot65
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 4:49DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
65.3%
63
34.7%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 265
64.7%
63
35.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
61.8%
63
38.2%
Q3 - 4:52DALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)65
64.7%
62
35.3%
Q3 - 5:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.3%
62
32.7%
Q3 - 5:35DALHoward Layup (14 PTS)65
64.5%
62
35.5%
Q3 - 5:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
61.0%
62
39.0%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot63
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMourning Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)63
60.7%
62
39.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Williams Layup63
66.9%
60
33.1%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 6:16DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot63
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
68.1%
60
31.9%
Q3 - 6:41DALWade STEAL (3 STL)63
71.2%
58
28.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
74.6%
58
25.4%
Q3 - 6:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
75.2%
57
24.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
76.3%
56
23.7%
Q3 - 7:14DALMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot63
77.3%
56
22.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade Reverse Dunk (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)63
79.4%
56
20.6%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 7:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot63
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMourning 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)63
83.7%
54
16.3%
Q3 - 8:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 8:50MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)60
81.5%
52
18.5%
Q3 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound60
78.2%
52
21.8%
Q3 - 9:07DALMISS Howard Driving Layup60
79.0%
52
21.0%
Q3 - 9:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
80.7%
52
19.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot60
80.0%
52
20.0%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHEAT Rebound60
78.3%
52
21.7%
Q3 - 9:32DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot60
79.1%
52
20.9%
Q3 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
80.8%
52
19.2%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 260
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
78.9%
52
21.1%
Q3 - 10:14DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)60
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
75.5%
51
24.5%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
75.9%
50
24.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q3 - 10:43DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot57
78.6%
49
21.4%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)57
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q3 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 11:22DALMISS Howard Driving Layup57
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q3 - 11:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q3 - 11:48DALMourning BLOCK (6 BLK)57
86.3%
45
13.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
87.5%
45
12.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
87.5%
45
12.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 68' 3PT Jump Shot57
87.0%
45
13.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMavericks Rebound57
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 256
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
84.8%
45
15.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot56
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
83.6%
45
16.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
81.1%
45
18.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Daniels: Tip to Williams54
83.6%
43
16.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)54
84.0%
43
16.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
84.1%
43
15.9%
Q2 - 1:31DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)54
86.5%
41
13.5%
Q2 - 1:31DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
86.1%
41
13.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
84.1%
41
15.9%
Q2 - 1:51DALDampier Tip Shot (10 PTS)52
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q2 - 1:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 1:53DALMISS Howard Tip Shot50
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 1:54DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 1:55DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot50
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)50
83.8%
39
16.2%
Q2 - 2:32DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
85.6%
37
14.4%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T6)50
87.0%
37
13.0%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
85.6%
37
14.4%
Q2 - 2:54DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
86.1%
37
13.9%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
86.3%
37
13.7%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
86.6%
36
13.4%
Q2 - 3:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)50
87.5%
35
12.5%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
84.9%
35
15.1%
Q2 - 4:04DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)47
85.5%
33
14.5%
Q2 - 4:08DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
86.9%
33
13.1%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot47
86.5%
33
13.5%
Q2 - 4:29DALHoward 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)47
85.6%
33
14.4%
Q2 - 4:42DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
84.1%
33
15.9%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup45
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
82.5%
33
17.5%
Q2 - 4:50DALMISS Dampier 8' Turnaround Jump Shot45
83.0%
33
17.0%
Q2 - 5:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
83.3%
33
16.7%
Q2 - 5:32DALWade STEAL (2 STL)45
82.1%
33
17.9%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
84.1%
32
15.9%
Q2 - 6:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
84.6%
31
15.4%
Q2 - 6:08DALMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot45
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 6:12DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
86.3%
31
13.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot45
85.8%
31
14.2%
Q2 - 6:35DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
84.6%
31
15.4%
Q2 - 6:57MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
81.9%
31
18.1%
Q2 - 7:02DALWade STEAL (1 STL)42
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
84.1%
29
15.9%
Q2 - 7:37DALTerry Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
85.4%
27
14.6%
Q2 - 7:41DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
84.1%
27
15.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup40
83.7%
27
16.3%
Q2 - 7:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
82.5%
27
17.5%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.0%
27
17.0%
Q2 - 8:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
84.1%
27
15.9%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot40
83.2%
27
16.8%
Q2 - 8:15DALDampier 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 8:20DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot38
79.4%
27
20.6%
Q2 - 8:31MIAPosey 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q2 - 8:47DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAHEAT Rebound36
80.1%
25
19.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
80.1%
25
19.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 236
80.7%
24
19.3%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
81.2%
24
18.8%
Q2 - 9:29DALDaniels 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)36
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)34
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:02DALMISS Van Horn 22' Jump Shot34
76.8%
24
23.2%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
78.1%
24
21.9%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
78.7%
23
21.3%
Q2 - 10:33DALVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)34
79.6%
22
20.4%
Q2 - 10:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
76.4%
22
23.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot31
75.8%
22
24.2%
Q2 - 11:15DALVan Horn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)31
74.0%
22
26.0%
Q2 - 11:21DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup29
71.5%
22
28.5%
Q2 - 11:43DALHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris Driving Layup27
66.6%
22
33.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)27
67.4%
22
32.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALKapono STEAL (1 STL)25
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot25
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 1:15DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 1:15DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
65.3%
20
34.7%
Q1 - 1:36DALMavericks Rebound23
63.1%
20
36.9%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
62.6%
20
37.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q1 - 1:45DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot23
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 2:03MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot23
66.3%
18
33.7%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q1 - 2:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
69.8%
16
30.2%
Q1 - 2:41DALMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)23
70.4%
16
29.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHaslem Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 3:23DALHoward Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 3:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
71.2%
14
28.8%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot21
70.6%
14
29.4%
Q1 - 4:00DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)21
69.2%
14
30.8%
Q1 - 4:14DALMavericks Rebound18
65.4%
14
34.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup18
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot18
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 4:24DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
65.3%
14
34.7%
Q1 - 4:26DALMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)18
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
65.3%
14
34.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 4:35DALMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)18
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 4:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
65.3%
14
34.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot18
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 5:06DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
62.7%
14
37.3%
Q1 - 5:14MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 116
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 5:39DALHoward Reverse Layup (4 PTS)16
62.7%
12
37.3%
Q1 - 5:50DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
60.9%
12
39.1%
Q1 - 5:52DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 6:03DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot14
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 6:25DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 6:32DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
60.3%
12
39.7%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
59.3%
12
40.7%
Q1 - 6:48DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)14
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 6:55DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
56.6%
12
43.4%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot12
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 7:18DALDaniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 7:50DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot10
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)10
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 8:24DALDampier 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)10
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 8:55DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)8
55.0%
8
45.0%
Q1 - 9:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot6
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 9:14DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
50.9%
8
49.1%
Q1 - 9:14DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
50.5%
8
49.5%
Q1 - 9:14DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 9:15DALMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)4
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot4
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 9:30DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 9:54DALMISS Howard 12' Running Jump Shot4
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 10:10DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 14
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 10:21DALNowitzki Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAPosey 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 10:54DALDampier 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)4
54.7%
4
45.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)2
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 11:29DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)2
55.0%
2
45.0%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Dampier: Tip to Posey0
55.0%
0
45.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.18 59.2%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
23
52%
MIA
19
30
63%
Midrange
DAL
17
36
47%
MIA
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
MIA
11
0%
Free Throws
DAL
21
24
88%
MIA
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2563%12.5 / 20
D. Nowitzki2364%11.5 / 18
E. Dampier1771%8.5 / 12
M. Daniels1454%7.0 / 13
J. Terry1063%5.0 / 8
K. Van Horn857%4.0 / 7
D. Harris643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2457%12.0 / 21
D. Wade2348%11.5 / 24
U. Haslem1478%7.0 / 9
A. Mourning1359%6.5 / 11
J. Posey1071%5.0 / 7
A. Walker28%1.0 / 13
G. Payton225%1.0 / 4
S. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
W. Simien0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
77
+9
-14
86
MIA
79
+16
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.18 59.2%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
108.0
DAL 113.2
MIA 98.9 +14.3
Pace
88.2
92.2
DAL 97.1 +11.5
MIA 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.9
DAL 14.8 +2.0
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
51.7%
DAL 55.4% +11.6%
MIA 43.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
DAL 15.1%
MIA 11.5% +3.6%
ORB %
31.9%
26.8%
DAL 25.8%
MIA 27.3% +1.5%
FTrt
36.4
36.3
DAL 32.4
MIA 36.3 +3.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.0%
55.7%
DAL 51.4% +17.1%
MIA 34.3%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
DAL 7.7%
MIA 9.9% +2.2%
BLK %
9.4%
8.5%
DAL 2.9%
MIA 10.2% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
53.9%
DAL 59.2% +12.3%
MIA 46.9%
Rim FG%
55.4%
64.2%
DAL 52.2%
MIA 63.3% +11.1%
Mid FG%
43.4%
38.9%
DAL 47.2% +6.2%
MIA 41.0%
3P %
37.4%
34.5%
DAL 53.3% +53.3%
MIA 0.0%
FT %
78.3%
70.0%
DAL 87.5% +18.5%
MIA 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
39.3%
DAL 31.1%
MIA 37.5% +6.4%
Mid Att. %
50.0%
38.0%
DAL 48.6% +0.1%
MIA 48.8%
3P Att. %
17.5%
22.7%
DAL 20.3% +6.5%
MIA 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points10390
Rebounds4035
Assists1912
Steals79
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)23 (5)
Field Goals37-7435-80
At-the-Rim FG12-2319-30
Midrange FG17-3616-39
2-Point FG29-5935-69
3-Point FG8-150-11
Free Throws21-2420-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 26
40.6
25
63%
11
1
1
0
0
3
3
8
2-2
100%
10-17
59%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 200 · 25
40.5
14
54%
9
4
4
0
6
2
2
7
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 245 · 27
39.6
23
64%
8
1
0
0
1
2
0
8
5-6
83%
3-11
27%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
33.0
17
71%
6
1
0
2
1
4
2
4
5-6
83%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
30.5
10
63%
0
10
0
0
4
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 23
21.1
6
43%
2
2
2
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
21.0
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 280 · 24
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 23
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
40
19
7
2
14
0
8
32
21-24
88%
29-59
49%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.