FinalWin Prob.pScore
730%88
89
470%94
114
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
100.08996.4
DET logo DET
126.79083.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET89
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)89
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMaxiell Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)86
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Arroyo Layup86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENMISS Najera 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:15DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:19DENMilicic BLOCK (3 BLK)86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:32DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DENBuckner 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DETEvans Dunk (16 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17DENMISS Watson Layup84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DETMaxiell Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DETMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DENBuckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DENMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DETArroyo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11DENWatson 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23DETMilicic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44DENJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DETMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 274
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DENDelfino STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18DETMaxiell Layup (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14DENNuggets Rebound73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15DENMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40DETMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03DENMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29DENMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32DENNuggets Rebound73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33DENMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DETMISS Evans 11' Jump Shot73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44DETMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07DENElson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS Najera 18' Jump Shot70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31DENMISS Boykins Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETEvans 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)69
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47DENMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 169
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31DETMcDyess Driving Dunk (9 PTS)69
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:01DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03DETMISS McDyess Layup67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:25DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50DENMartin 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:20DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:36DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)62
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETMISS Wallace Dunk60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENCamby Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)60
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0DETEvans Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)58
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 1:15DENBillups STEAL (2 STL)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:18DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)58
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 1:23DENEvans STEAL (3 STL)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39DETHamilton Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)58
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 1:53DENCamby Tip Shot (13 PTS)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 1:54DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 1:55DENMISS Camby Layup56
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 2:10DETWallace 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)56
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 2:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 2:24DENWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)56
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 2:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 2:41DETMISS Wallace Dunk56
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 2:57DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 2:57DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)55
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 3:05DETEvans 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)54
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 3:27DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 3:32DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 3:34DENWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 3:37DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 3:39DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 3:49DENNuggets Rebound54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 3:50DENMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 4:04DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:20DENMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:21DETBillups Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)54
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 4:43DETBillups Layup (15 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)54
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 4:47DENBillups STEAL (1 STL)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 4:52DENWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 4:54DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 5:05DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 5:12DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 5:15DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot54
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 5:23DENWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 5:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:35DENMISS Anthony Layup51
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Anthony Layup51
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 6:17DENKleiza 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)51
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 6:35DENWatson Free Throw Clear Path (4 PTS)49
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 6:35DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)48
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 6:56DENAnthony Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)48
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 7:21DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 7 AST)46
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 7:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 7:39DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot46
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 7:53DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)46
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 8:00DENWallace STEAL (2 STL)46
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 8:24DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)46
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 8:44DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 8:44DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 245
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:02DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot45
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 9:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:09DENMISS Anthony Layup45
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 9:16DENMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot45
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 9:37DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 9:55DENCamby 13' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)45
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 9:56DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 10:00DENWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)43
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 10:18DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 5 AST)43
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 10:33DETPISTONS Rebound43
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 10:34DENMISS Watson Layup43
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 10:42DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)43
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 11:13DETPISTONS Rebound43
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 11:14DENMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 11:31DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 11:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 11:38DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot43
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)43
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot43
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot43
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 1:05DENCamby Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)43
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 1:23DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)41
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 1:39DENMiller Layup (7 PTS)41
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 2:01DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
5.2%
55
94.8%
Q2 - 2:02DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 139
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q2 - 2:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)39
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 2:09DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot39
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 2:30DENAnthony Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)39
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q2 - 2:41DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 2:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)37
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Martin Layup37
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 2:51DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Wallace Layup37
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 3:08DENJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 3:14DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)37
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q2 - 3:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)37
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 3:25DENMISS Camby 11' Jump Shot37
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 3:39DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 3:55DENMiller Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 4:06DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 4:06DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 235
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 4:24DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)35
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:29DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 4:30DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot33
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 4:48DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 4:48DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 5:05DETMcDyess Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)31
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 5:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 5:07DETMISS Arroyo Layup31
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 5:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 5:15DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot31
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 5:41DETEvans Dunk (8 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)31
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:49DENEvans STEAL (2 STL)31
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 6:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 6:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 6:23DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 230
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 6:37DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 6:54DENWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)30
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 7:11DETArroyo Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)27
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 7:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 7:15DENWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)27
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 7:16DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 7:18DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)27
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 7:34DETPrince Layup (7 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)27
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 7:53DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 7:56DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot27
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 8:14DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 8:16DENMISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot27
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 8:22DETEvans Tip Shot (6 PTS)27
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 8:23DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 8:25DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot27
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 8:29DENMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)27
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 8:31DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 8:33DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot27
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 8:50DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 8:50DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 9:09DETArroyo Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)25
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:13DENEvans STEAL (1 STL)25
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 9:22DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)25
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 9:34DENMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)25
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 9:42DENNuggets Rebound25
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 9:43DENWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)25
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 9:50DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)25
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 9:50DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 225
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 10:07DENBuckner 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)25
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 10:19DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 10:19DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 10:32DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Elson 21' Jump Shot23
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 10:44DETEvans 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)23
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 10:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)23
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 10:57DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot23
18.0%
28
82.0%
Q2 - 11:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot23
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q2 - 11:39DETArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 11:46DETEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 11:48DENMISS Najera Layup23
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET23
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound23
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot23
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)23
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot23
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)23
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)21
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENBoykins Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 1:17DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)20
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 1:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 1:33DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot20
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 1:53DETEvans 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)20
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 2:14DENMartin 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)20
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q1 - 2:31DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:31DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 2:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 2:32DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 2:34DETMISS Billups 18' Running Jump Shot18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:54DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 3:09DETHamilton Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)18
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 3:13DETPISTONS Rebound18
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:14DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 3:25DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:28DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 3:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 218
26.0%
18
74.0%
Q1 - 3:46DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 3:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.1%
17
73.9%
Q1 - 3:55DENMISS Camby 21' Jump Shot18
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 4:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 4:03DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot18
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 4:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 4:16DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot18
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 4:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 4:36DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot18
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 4:53DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)18
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 4:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 5:00DETMISS Wallace Alley Oop Dunk16
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 5:23DENMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 5:34DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 5:35DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot14
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 5:48DENCamby Layup (6 PTS)14
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 5:50DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot12
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 6:05DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 6:23DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)12
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 6:39DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 6:45DENWallace STEAL (1 STL)10
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 6:55DETWallace Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)10
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:10DENMartin Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)10
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 7:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 7:13DENMISS Camby Layup8
17.7%
13
82.3%
Q1 - 7:31DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 7:31DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 7:54DENCamby 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
19.6%
11
80.4%
Q1 - 8:11DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 8:28DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
19.5%
9
80.5%
Q1 - 8:28DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
19.1%
9
80.9%
Q1 - 8:51DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 8:59DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot4
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 9:13DETPrince Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:30DENAnthony Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:47DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 10:00DENElson Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:01DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot0
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:22DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot0
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:46DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:04DENMISS Elson Alley Oop Layup0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:07DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:10DETMISS Wallace 11' Hook Shot0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:28DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:38DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Camby: Tip to Billups0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
35
57%
DET
22
31
71%
Midrange
DEN
10
40
25%
DET
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
DET
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
DEN
17
21
81%
DET
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Camby1547%7.5 / 16
C. Anthony1235%6.0 / 17
K. Martin1063%5.0 / 8
E. Watson945%4.5 / 10
G. Buckner8100%4.0 / 4
A. Miller758%3.5 / 6
F. Elson750%3.5 / 7
E. Boykins633%3.0 / 9
D. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
E. Najera536%2.5 / 7
L. Kleiza5125%2.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1956%9.5 / 17
C. Billups1667%8.0 / 12
M. Evans1662%8.0 / 13
B. Wallace1350%6.5 / 13
T. Prince1286%6.0 / 7
R. Wallace1179%5.5 / 7
A. McDyess1161%5.5 / 9
C. Arroyo643%3.0 / 7
J. Maxiell675%3.0 / 4
C. Delfino350%1.5 / 3
D. Milicic125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
75
+20
-14
95
DET
78
+20
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.94 46.8%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
110.1
DEN 100.0
DET 126.7 +26.7
Pace
93.9
87.4
DEN 96.4 +12.7
DET 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
17.3
DEN 14.9 +2.3
DET 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
49.7%
DEN 42.4%
DET 57.4% +15.0%
TO %
15.1%
12.2%
DEN 13.7%
DET 12.1% +1.6%
ORB %
26.9%
28.9%
DEN 32.6%
DET 45.0% +12.4%
FTrt
34.7
29.7
DEN 24.7
DET 37.0 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
66.1%
DEN 64.7%
DET 83.7% +19.0%
STL %
8.9%
8.0%
DEN 6.7%
DET 11.1% +4.4%
BLK %
8.8%
9.0%
DEN 3.1%
DET 16.0% +12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
52.1%
DEN 46.8%
DET 58.2% +11.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.0%
DEN 57.1%
DET 71.0% +13.9%
Mid FG%
39.7%
41.0%
DEN 25.0%
DET 41.2% +16.2%
3P %
32.5%
38.4%
DEN 40.0%
DET 43.8% +3.8%
FT %
74.4%
72.7%
DEN 81.0% +11.0%
DET 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
28.3%
DEN 41.2% +2.9%
DET 38.3%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
49.6%
DEN 47.1%
DET 42.0% +5.1%
3P Att. %
16.1%
22.1%
DEN 11.8%
DET 19.8% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points89114
Rebounds3749
Assists2236
Steals610
Blocks212
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals34-8543-81
At-the-Rim FG20-3522-31
Midrange FG10-4014-34
2-Point FG30-7536-65
3-Point FG4-107-16
Free Throws17-2121-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 240 · 32
35.4
15
47%
10
1
1
0
1
2
4
6
1-2
50%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
26.6
7
58%
1
5
1
0
4
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 21
26.2
12
35%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-14
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'9" 210 · 26
23.1
5
36%
3
3
0
1
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 240 · 30
19.5
7
50%
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 26
24.6
9
45%
1
4
1
0
5
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
20.1
10
63%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 29
18.5
6
33%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
17.1
8
100%
5
2
1
0
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
16.6
5
36%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 21
12.3
5
125%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 33
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'7" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
37
22
6
2
14
0
15
22
17-21
81%
30-75
40%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.