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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards54%9383
29Magic46%9291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
43.0
41.1
19
43%
4
9
2
1
0
4
2
2
6-7
86%
5-14
5-11
36%
46%
1-5
20%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
38.0
37.2
25
63%
16
0
1
1
0
2
6
10
1-2
50%
9-13
6-13
69%
47%
2-6
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
29.0
27.1
11
40%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.0
21.5
23.9
2
50%
1
0
0
1
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
18.7
19.4
5
51%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.7
24.1
25.1
9
57%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.7
20.9
25.6
2
17%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
4-9
0%
45%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
18.2
18.3
4
52%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.3
13.3
6.0
6
40%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.8
13.2
9.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.3
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.6
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.5
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.6
41.4
29.1
15
61%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
6-10
3-8
60%
44%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.7
36.3
29.0
23
58%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
5-14
3-7
36%
43%
3-4
75%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
29.7
22.6
11
62%
2
5
1
1
0
6
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.0
26.6
36.8
5
28%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-8
6-11
25%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
20.3
25.2
12
67%
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.8
25.3
17.9
15
58%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.2
24.4
7.6
2
33%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
16.4
7.2
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.3
12.5
10.2
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.6
7.1
3.4
4
67%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
13.4
0
1-2
48%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.8
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.