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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 22, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Jazz26%9393
15SuperSonics74%10187
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
40.9
32.6
24
71%
9
2
1
1
0
1
3
6
1-2
50%
7-13
5-11
54%
49%
3-3
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
37.9
34.9
4
18%
6
7
1
1
0
4
0
6
4-7
57%
0-6
5-10
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
29.0
26.7
17
72%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
27.6
20.9
6
60%
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
25.6
15.5
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
29.5
24.9
14
63%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
24.8
21.8
12
44%
5
2
0
1
1
2
0
5
6-8
75%
3-10
2-6
30%
43%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.0
20.4
21.8
10
89%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
4.2
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
20.3
0
3-7
50%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
7.2
0
1-2
45%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
44.0
37.9
26
53%
8
4
1
1
0
0
3
5
7-10
70%
5-15
5-9
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
41.4
39.2
23
52%
1
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
5-5
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
2-10
20%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
36.1
31.8
8
45%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
34.1
33.2
8
58%
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.8
10.5
20.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.5
15.9
6.3
5
53%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-4
25%
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
15.1
23.8
2
14%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.2
13.9
13.3
9
95%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.7
13.7
17.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
10.7
14.2
4
34%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
4.8
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
12.9
0
2-4
45%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.4
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.