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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 21, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs64%9896
13Kings36%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
36.3
34.6
22
62%
19
4
1
1
4
4
3
16
4-4
100%
9-16
8-16
56%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.4
34.5
35.6
10
63%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
32.4
38.5
23
60%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-7
71%
9-16
8-16
56%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.3
30.9
31.1
12
45%
0
4
3
2
1
4
0
0
4-5
80%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
15.6
19.0
10
56%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
24.4
9.2
6
80%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.7
22.8
23.9
8
46%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
16.5
6.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
15.6
14.4
4
69%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.9
7.8
13.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.2
3.3
22.2
1
57%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
Alex Scales
G · 6'4" 195 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
45.2
33.4
18
42%
14
3
5
2
1
3
6
8
2-5
40%
8-19
5-11
42%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.5
35.7
36.0
33
61%
3
2
1
1
1
3
1
2
9-9
100%
9-18
5-11
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
35.6
4.9
12
61%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
0-1
63%
43%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.6
33.8
35.8
2
25%
5
6
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
29.0
33.3
11
45%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
1-1
100%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.3
25.2
17.7
9
50%
6
0
2
0
1
1
3
3
7-7
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
15.5
13.1
2
25%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.0
8.2
5.8
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.5
7.9
5.9
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.8
3.7
16.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-1
40%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.