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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies40%9283
12Nuggets60%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
43.3
35.2
24
53%
12
2
1
1
3
1
2
10
6-8
75%
9-19
7-15
47%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
38.3
36.1
20
63%
7
1
1
1
1
0
5
2
4-4
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
48%
0-3
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
29.9
27.5
6
29%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
1-6
2-6
17%
40%
1-4
25%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
27.5
29.8
9
56%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
17.6
26.5
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.8
31.1
32.6
9
48%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-4
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
23.4
20.7
6
23%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-7
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
13.8
14.8
7
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-6
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
10.1
10.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.4
4.0
2.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.7
1.0
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.4
5.8
0
1-1
45%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
36.8
35.8
21
42%
10
2
0
1
2
2
5
5
1-5
20%
10-21
7-15
48%
47%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
34.1
33.3
21
69%
21
1
1
1
4
0
7
14
3-3
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
33.1
33.8
9
42%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.7
23.9
22.9
6
43%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.5
12.0
20.5
4
29%
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.4
26.0
13.0
5
51%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
25.0
26.0
5
43%
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.5
24.6
24.8
18
63%
2
4
3
1
1
1
0
2
8-10
80%
5-7
3-8
71%
45%
0-3
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
15.2
15.7
7
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 20.9
9.3
0.8
3
61%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
7.6
0
1-2
44%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.0
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.9
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.