FinalWin Prob.pScore
1463%101
94
2637%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.29289.8
TOR logo TOR
116.39294.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR94
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORRAPTORS Rebound94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 290
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00TORJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:00TORJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)90
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot88
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14TORBosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) (James 6 AST)88
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 1:33TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 1:45TORJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)88
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 2:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
10.1%
93
89.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot88
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 2:27TORVillanueva Running Layup (8 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)88
18.9%
93
81.1%
Q4 - 2:33TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
22.5%
91
77.5%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
26.5%
91
73.5%
Q4 - 3:02TORJames Driving Layup (20 PTS)88
37.1%
91
62.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (30 PTS)88
43.2%
89
56.8%
Q4 - 3:41TORVillanueva Layup (6 PTS)86
39.0%
89
61.0%
Q4 - 3:44TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)86
47.5%
87
52.5%
Q4 - 3:46TORMISS Villanueva Driving Layup86
54.2%
87
45.8%
Q4 - 4:04MIARose STEAL (1 STL)86
47.0%
87
53.0%
Q4 - 4:24TORBosh Layup (25 PTS)86
56.8%
87
43.2%
Q4 - 4:26TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
65.2%
85
34.8%
Q4 - 4:28TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup86
71.3%
85
28.7%
Q4 - 4:37TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
65.2%
85
34.8%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot86
68.0%
85
32.0%
Q4 - 4:58TORRose 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)86
73.8%
85
26.2%
Q4 - 5:09TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
83.9%
82
16.1%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
85.3%
82
14.7%
Q4 - 5:36TORBosh Layup (23 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)86
88.1%
82
11.9%
Q4 - 5:39TORRAPTORS Rebound86
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q4 - 5:39TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot86
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 5:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q4 - 5:42TORMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot86
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)86
89.6%
80
10.4%
Q4 - 6:18MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
83.2%
80
16.8%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
79.6%
80
20.4%
Q4 - 6:30TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
83.2%
80
16.8%
Q4 - 6:30TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)83
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q4 - 7:05TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)81
82.4%
78
17.6%
Q4 - 7:23MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)81
88.7%
75
11.3%
Q4 - 7:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
86.1%
75
13.9%
Q4 - 7:33TORMISS Graham 16' Jump Shot79
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q4 - 7:46MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)79
81.9%
75
18.1%
Q4 - 8:06TORJames Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)77
76.7%
75
23.3%
Q4 - 8:08TORCalderon 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)77
80.9%
74
19.1%
Q4 - 8:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
84.5%
72
15.5%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup77
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q4 - 8:35TORJames 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)77
87.7%
72
12.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T12)77
92.2%
69
7.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
93.2%
69
6.8%
Q4 - 9:04TORMISS James 3PT Jump Shot77
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 9:12TORRAPTORS Rebound77
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 9:31TORGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T12)77
93.3%
69
6.7%
Q4 - 9:48MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)77
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
87.1%
69
12.9%
Q4 - 9:58TORMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot74
86.2%
69
13.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)74
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q4 - 10:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
86.2%
69
13.8%
Q4 - 10:31TORMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
85.3%
69
14.7%
Q4 - 10:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Payton Reverse Layup74
84.1%
69
15.9%
Q4 - 11:04TORVillanueva 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)74
85.1%
69
14.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q4 - 11:25TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)72
85.1%
67
14.9%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWalker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
82.0%
67
18.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
78.8%
67
21.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
78.8%
67
21.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORBosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)70
78.4%
67
21.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
81.7%
65
18.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot70
82.7%
65
17.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORGraham 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)70
84.6%
65
15.4%
Q3 - 1:01TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
86.5%
63
13.5%
Q3 - 1:03MIABosh BLOCK (3 BLK)70
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 1:14TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)70
88.7%
63
11.3%
Q3 - 1:22TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot70
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound70
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 1:45TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 270
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 1:45TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
92.4%
60
7.6%
Q3 - 1:57TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 2:01TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot69
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 2:22MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)69
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 2:39MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
89.8%
59
10.2%
Q3 - 2:41TORMISS James 3PT Jump Shot67
89.2%
59
10.8%
Q3 - 2:56MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)67
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
85.4%
59
14.6%
Q3 - 3:18TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot65
84.7%
59
15.3%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
82.9%
59
17.1%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 264
82.0%
59
18.0%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
83.0%
59
17.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot64
81.1%
59
18.9%
Q3 - 3:48TORRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)64
83.0%
59
17.0%
Q3 - 4:06MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)64
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
83.2%
56
16.8%
Q3 - 4:41TORBosh 10' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)62
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 5:06MIAPosey Running Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)62
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
84.5%
54
15.5%
Q3 - 5:24TORMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot60
83.8%
54
16.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)60
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q3 - 6:09TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)57
76.5%
54
23.5%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T10)57
73.3%
54
26.7%
Q3 - 6:42TORBosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
79.1%
52
20.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
76.0%
52
24.0%
Q3 - 7:11TORMISS Rose 6' Running Jump Shot55
75.0%
52
25.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAHaslem 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)55
72.7%
52
27.3%
Q3 - 7:59TORJames 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Araujo 1 AST)53
70.0%
52
30.0%
Q3 - 8:02TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
72.9%
50
27.1%
Q3 - 8:04TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
75.2%
50
24.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)53
72.9%
50
27.1%
Q3 - 8:40TORJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)50
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 8:51TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
64.2%
50
35.8%
Q3 - 9:16TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)50
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)50
73.0%
47
27.0%
Q3 - 9:43TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)50
75.9%
47
24.1%
Q3 - 9:59TORRAPTORS Rebound50
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Payton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot50
79.2%
45
20.8%
Q3 - 10:29TORAraujo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)50
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)50
82.8%
43
17.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q3 - 11:11TORMISS Araujo Layup48
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q3 - 11:12TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
78.6%
43
21.4%
Q3 - 11:14TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot48
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q3 - 11:31TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
78.6%
43
21.4%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
79.3%
43
20.7%
Q3 - 11:44TORAraujo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR48
78.5%
43
21.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound48
78.5%
43
21.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Rose 63' 3PT Running Jump Shot48
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
78.5%
43
21.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
79.3%
43
20.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORVillanueva Tip Shot (2 PTS)48
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)48
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0TORMISS James Driving Layup48
83.7%
41
16.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)48
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
80.2%
41
19.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Walker Reverse Layup46
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0TORRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
80.2%
41
19.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
78.7%
41
21.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup46
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 1:09TORRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)46
79.7%
41
20.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
84.4%
38
15.6%
Q2 - 1:18MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
84.0%
38
16.0%
Q2 - 1:34TORRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
81.7%
38
18.3%
Q2 - 1:34TORRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
82.0%
37
18.0%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)44
84.4%
36
15.6%
Q2 - 2:04TORBosh 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
85.2%
36
14.8%
Q2 - 2:29MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)44
86.8%
34
13.2%
Q2 - 2:34TORMISS Rose Free Throw Technical41
83.5%
34
16.5%
Q2 - 2:47TORJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)41
83.5%
34
16.5%
Q2 - 2:53TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
86.9%
31
13.1%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot41
87.2%
31
12.8%
Q2 - 3:14TORBosh Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)41
87.7%
31
12.3%
Q2 - 3:29TORRAPTORS Rebound41
88.8%
29
11.2%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
89.7%
29
10.3%
Q2 - 3:47TORRose 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 4:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
89.6%
27
10.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot40
90.0%
27
10.0%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
90.7%
27
9.3%
Q2 - 4:19TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot40
90.4%
27
9.6%
Q2 - 4:21TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
89.6%
27
10.4%
Q2 - 4:24TORMISS Bosh Layup40
90.4%
27
9.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
89.6%
27
10.4%
Q2 - 4:54MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
90.7%
27
9.3%
Q2 - 4:56TORMISS Rose 5' Jump Hook Shot40
90.4%
27
9.6%
Q2 - 5:06MIAKapono Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
89.4%
27
10.6%
Q2 - 5:21TORRose 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)40
90.5%
27
9.5%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
91.4%
25
8.6%
Q2 - 5:51MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 5:53TORMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot37
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)37
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 6:28TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)34
85.7%
25
14.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
88.0%
22
12.0%
Q2 - 6:56TORPeterson 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)34
89.3%
22
10.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS)34
89.7%
20
10.3%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
88.8%
20
11.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup32
88.0%
20
12.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWright Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
88.8%
20
11.2%
Q2 - 7:29TORCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)29
85.2%
20
14.8%
Q2 - 7:56MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)29
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q2 - 8:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q2 - 8:01TORMISS Villanueva Layup27
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q2 - 8:02TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q2 - 8:03TORMISS Villanueva Layup27
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q2 - 8:05TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q2 - 8:07TORMISS Graham Layup27
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q2 - 8:13TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
80.9%
20
19.1%
Q2 - 8:31TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
82.1%
20
17.9%
Q2 - 8:31TORMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 227
82.4%
19
17.6%
Q2 - 8:39TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
81.9%
19
18.1%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot27
82.4%
19
17.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
83.6%
19
16.4%
Q2 - 8:51TORMISS Graham 10' Jump Bank Shot27
83.1%
19
16.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)27
81.7%
19
18.3%
Q2 - 9:24TORBonner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)25
80.3%
19
19.7%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 224
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q2 - 9:50MIAHeat Rebound24
81.9%
17
18.1%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup24
80.7%
17
19.3%
Q2 - 9:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
81.9%
17
18.1%
Q2 - 10:01TORMISS Villanueva 10' Turnaround Jump Shot24
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)24
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
81.5%
17
18.5%
Q2 - 10:24TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q2 - 10:35TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot24
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q2 - 11:02TORBonner 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)24
81.2%
17
18.8%
Q2 - 11:25TORRAPTORS Rebound24
82.7%
15
17.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)24
83.1%
15
16.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
84.0%
15
16.0%
Q2 - 11:45TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 124
83.9%
15
16.1%
Q2 - 11:45TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
85.3%
13
14.7%
Q2 - 11:46TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
86.1%
13
13.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
85.3%
13
14.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
86.5%
13
13.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
85.7%
13
14.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
86.0%
13
14.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
85.4%
13
14.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
86.0%
13
14.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
85.7%
13
14.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWalker Finger Roll (4 PTS)24
85.1%
13
14.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
83.6%
13
16.4%
Q1 - 1:04TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
82.8%
13
17.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
83.5%
13
16.5%
Q1 - 1:22TORMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 222
83.4%
13
16.6%
Q1 - 1:22TORMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 222
82.7%
13
17.3%
Q1 - 1:23TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 1:24TORMISS Graham Driving Layup22
83.2%
13
16.8%
Q1 - 1:29TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 1:31MIABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)22
82.8%
13
17.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
83.5%
13
16.5%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Simien Running Layup22
82.8%
13
17.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
83.5%
13
16.5%
Q1 - 1:42TORMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot22
83.2%
13
16.8%
Q1 - 1:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Hook Shot22
82.8%
13
17.2%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHeat Rebound22
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:17TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot22
83.3%
13
16.7%
Q1 - 2:35MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 2:42TORMISS James Driving Finger Roll20
80.6%
13
19.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIASimien 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)20
79.6%
13
20.4%
Q1 - 3:16TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
80.7%
13
19.3%
Q1 - 3:16TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
81.0%
12
19.0%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)20
81.9%
11
18.1%
Q1 - 3:55TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
80.7%
11
19.3%
Q1 - 3:59MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)18
82.0%
9
18.0%
Q1 - 4:23TORJames 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)18
83.3%
9
16.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)18
85.4%
6
14.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
85.2%
6
14.8%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
84.5%
6
15.5%
Q1 - 4:40TORMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot16
84.1%
6
15.9%
Q1 - 4:52MIAPayton 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
83.1%
6
16.9%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 4:59TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup14
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 5:02TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 5:04TORMISS James 19' Jump Shot14
81.2%
6
18.8%
Q1 - 5:16TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 114
80.4%
6
19.6%
Q1 - 5:29TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
79.0%
6
21.0%
Q1 - 5:29TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
81.5%
3
18.5%
Q1 - 5:31TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
82.5%
3
17.5%
Q1 - 5:37TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
81.5%
3
18.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot12
81.9%
3
18.1%
Q1 - 5:53TORBosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
82.9%
3
17.1%
Q1 - 6:09MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)12
81.1%
3
18.9%
Q1 - 6:23TORJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
79.9%
3
20.1%
Q1 - 6:23TORJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)10
80.1%
2
19.9%
Q1 - 6:33TORRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
81.1%
1
18.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot10
81.5%
1
18.5%
Q1 - 6:50TORAraujo Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
82.3%
1
17.7%
Q1 - 6:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
81.1%
1
18.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Mourning 6' Turnaround Hook Shot10
81.5%
1
18.5%
Q1 - 7:07TORJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
81.8%
1
18.2%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
80.5%
1
19.5%
Q1 - 7:39TORBosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)10
81.9%
1
18.1%
Q1 - 7:52TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
80.6%
1
19.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)10
81.0%
1
19.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
82.2%
1
17.8%
Q1 - 8:02TORMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
81.8%
1
18.2%
Q1 - 8:07TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
80.9%
1
19.1%
Q1 - 8:09TORMISS James Driving Layup10
81.8%
1
18.2%
Q1 - 8:24MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
80.9%
1
19.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
79.8%
1
20.2%
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
79.4%
1
20.6%
Q1 - 8:46TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
78.4%
1
21.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIARose BLOCK (1 BLK)8
78.8%
1
21.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
79.8%
1
20.2%
Q1 - 9:05TORMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot8
79.3%
1
20.7%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMourning 11' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
78.2%
1
21.8%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
77.3%
1
22.7%
Q1 - 9:44TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
76.8%
1
23.2%
Q1 - 9:53TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
75.6%
1
24.4%
Q1 - 9:54TORMISS Araujo Free Throw 2 of 26
77.1%
1
22.9%
Q1 - 9:54TORMISS Araujo Free Throw 1 of 26
76.3%
1
23.7%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)6
75.6%
1
24.4%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
74.3%
1
25.7%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot4
73.2%
1
26.8%
Q1 - 10:46TORJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
74.4%
1
25.6%
Q1 - 10:46TORMISS James Free Throw 1 of 24
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 10:55MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 11:02TORMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:11TORAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot2
71.8%
0
28.2%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.7%
0
27.3%
Q1 - 11:27TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMourning 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Mourning: Tip to Payton0
69.7%
0
30.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
TOR
10
25
40%
Midrange
MIA
16
33
48%
TOR
19
36
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
TOR
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
12
18
67%
TOR
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3353%16.5 / 31
A. Walker1554%7.5 / 14
J. Posey1146%5.5 / 12
A. Mourning1161%5.5 / 9
D. Wright9150%4.5 / 3
G. Payton627%3.0 / 11
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
J. Kapono350%1.5 / 3
W. Simien0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2761%13.5 / 22
M. James2566%12.5 / 19
J. Rose2269%11.0 / 16
M. Peterson844%4.0 / 9
C. Villanueva833%4.0 / 12
J. Calderon880%4.0 / 5
M. Bonner467%2.0 / 3
J. Graham321%1.5 / 7
R. Araujo233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-13
91
TOR
80
+17
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.7
MIA 102.2
TOR 116.3 +14.1
Pace
92.2
91.8
MIA 89.8
TOR 94.3 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.7
MIA 16.0
TOR 15.3 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
50.0%
MIA 49.4%
TOR 50.0% +0.6%
TO %
15.0%
13.4%
MIA 12.5%
TOR 11.0% +1.5%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 22.0%
TOR 33.3% +11.3%
FTrt
36.3
31.5
MIA 21.7
TOR 42.7 +21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
52.9%
MIA 54.1%
TOR 64.9% +10.8%
STL %
6.9%
7.0%
MIA 5.4% +1.1%
TOR 4.3%
BLK %
8.5%
5.3%
MIA 6.6%
TOR 8.9% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.4%
MIA 51.6%
TOR 54.6% +3.0%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.4%
MIA 56.5% +16.5%
TOR 40.0%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.3%
MIA 48.5%
TOR 52.8% +4.3%
3P %
34.5%
37.5%
MIA 29.6%
TOR 38.1% +8.5%
FT %
70.0%
79.1%
MIA 66.7%
TOR 71.4% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
31.1%
MIA 27.7%
TOR 30.5% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
44.5%
MIA 39.8% +4.1%
TOR 43.9%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.4%
MIA 32.5% +6.9%
TOR 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points94107
Rebounds3947
Assists2024
Steals54
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)32 (5)
Field Goals37-8337-82
At-the-Rim FG13-2310-25
Midrange FG16-3319-36
2-Point FG29-5629-61
3-Point FG8-278-21
Free Throws12-1825-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
41.4
33
53%
8
9
1
0
3
2
2
6
4-7
57%
13-25
52%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
38.0
6
27%
3
7
1
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
35.4
11
46%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-9
33%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
35.2
11
61%
7
0
0
4
4
4
3
4
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
20.8
6
75%
3
1
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
31.1
15
54%
4
2
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
14.8
3
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
14.4
9
150%
6
0
1
0
1
2
0
6
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
8.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · C · 6'11" 262 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
39
20
5
4
13
0
9
30
12-18
67%
29-56
52%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.