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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat63%10194
26Raptors37%96107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
41.4
39.6
33
51%
8
9
1
2
0
3
2
6
4-7
57%
13-25
9-19
52%
50%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.3
38.0
34.3
6
28%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-4
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.9
35.4
34.3
11
46%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
3-9
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.8
35.2
27.7
11
64%
7
0
0
0
4
4
3
4
3-6
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
20.8
35.1
6
75%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
31.1
29.5
15
54%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
14.8
15.0
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.0
14.4
1.6
9
104%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
3-3
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.7
8.9
5.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.9
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.3
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
0.8
0
0-0
52%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.0
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.4
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
43.3
40.1
27
60%
12
0
1
1
3
3
4
8
5-6
83%
11-20
6-14
55%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
40.8
36.3
25
66%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
6-7
86%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
5-9
56%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
28.6
27.7
22
66%
4
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
11-13
85%
4-8
4-9
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
27.6
31.1
8
44%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
19.7
4.7
2
35%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.2
28.1
28.3
8
34%
12
0
0
1
1
0
5
7
0-2
0%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
26.3
19.7
8
75%
3
9
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
20.4
18.0
3
22%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
4.9
18.6
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.7
0.3
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
3.3
0
0-1
41%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.