FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%88
82
458%91
119
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
100.08287.0
DAL logo DAL
141.78479.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET82
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALArmstrong Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)82
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot82
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 282
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)82
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 281
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMarshall Layup (2 PTS)81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:12DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 281
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:12DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 281
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:22DETPistons Rebound81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:25DALMISS Mbenga 12' Jump Shot81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:44DETMilicic Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:58DALArmstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:20DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:36DALMbenga Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:36DALMISS Mbenga Free Throw 1 of 277
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:49DALMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:51DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:07DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:25DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 3:27DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DETTerry STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DETMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46DETMISS Arroyo Driving Layup77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DETMaxiell 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48DETArroyo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33DETMaxiell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46DALMarshall 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49DALMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DETEvans 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26DALMISS Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DETMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27DETArroyo 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48DALHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54DETMISS Evans Layup67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34DETDelfino Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57DALPowell Slam Dunk (5 PTS)65
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19DETMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20DALDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:30DETMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50DALPowell Layup (3 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)65
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:16DETPistons Rebound64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:16DETDiop BLOCK (3 BLK)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58DETEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16DALDaniels 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:36DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:38DETMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALHarris 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound62
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot62
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot62
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALMISS Daniels Alley Oop Layup62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot62
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:02DETDaniels STEAL (1 STL)62
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 1:19DALHoward Layup (19 PTS)62
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 1:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:22DALMISS Howard Layup62
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 1:26DETHoward STEAL (2 STL)62
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:49DALHoward 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 2:14DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)62
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 2:28DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 2:28DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 2:49DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 2:49DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:09DALDaniels 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:12DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 3:14DALMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot57
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 3:36DETWallace Layup (12 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)57
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 3:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 3:51DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot55
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 4:03DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)55
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 4:05DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot55
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 4:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)55
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 4:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)55
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 4:26DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical55
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 4:43DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)55
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 5:07DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST)52
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 5:25DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)52
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 5:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)52
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 6:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)52
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 6:04DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot52
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 6:14DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 6:33DETHamilton Driving Layup (13 PTS)52
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 6:47DALHoward Inbound Turnover (P1.T6)50
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 6:51DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)50
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 7:12DALDampier 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)47
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 7:30DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)47
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 7:49DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)45
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 8:07DETWallace Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 8:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 8:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 8:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 8:30DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot43
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 8:49DALDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T5)43
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 9:06DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)43
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 9:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 9:22DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 9:41DETPrince 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)41
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 9:59DALDampier 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)39
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 10:14DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 10:14DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 10:29DETPistons Rebound37
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 10:29DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot37
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 10:31DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 10:32DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot37
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 10:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 10:43DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot37
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 11:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)37
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 11:00DALDampier Tip Shot (12 PTS)37
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot37
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 11:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)37
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 11:14DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot37
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 11:35DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET37
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound37
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPistons Rebound37
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace Layup37
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup37
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALDampier Layup (10 PTS)37
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)37
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot37
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot37
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 1:08DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 1:08DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q2 - 1:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q2 - 1:09DALMISS Howard Layup37
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 1:32DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)37
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q2 - 1:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 1:38DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot35
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 1:50DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)35
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 1:51DETMISS Hamilton Layup35
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 1:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 1:59DALMISS Nowitzki Hook Shot35
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 2:22DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)35
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 2:32DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot32
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 2:59DETArroyo 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 3:19DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)30
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 3:25DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q2 - 3:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 3:26DETMISS Wallace Layup30
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 3:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 3:28DETMISS Wallace Layup30
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 3:30DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot30
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 3:47DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 3:47DALDampier Slam Dunk (8 PTS)30
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 3:50DALMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot30
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:18DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS)30
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:22DETDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)28
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 4:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 4:41DALNowitzki Layup (8 PTS)28
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 4:43DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 4:48DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 4:50DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot28
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 4:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 4:57DALMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot28
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 5:22DETPrince Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)28
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 5:31DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot26
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:47DETWallace Layup (2 PTS)26
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 5:59DALDiop Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 5:59DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 6:00DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot24
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:24DETPrince Layup (6 PTS)24
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:27DETNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)22
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 6:33DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 6:35DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot22
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 6:41DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 6:43DETDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)22
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 6:58DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 7:00DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot22
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 7:07DALMAVERICKS Rebound22
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 7:08DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 7:23DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 7:24DETMISS Milicic 18' Jump Shot22
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 7:39DALHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)22
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 7:56DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 8:03DETMISS Milicic 4' Hook Shot22
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 8:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 8:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 8:40DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T5)22
4.9%
46
95.1%
Q2 - 9:01DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 9:20DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 9:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 9:31DETDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)20
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 9:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 9:38DALMISS Diop 19' Jump Shot20
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 9:58DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 10:02DETPistons Rebound18
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 10:04DETHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)18
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 10:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 10:24DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 218
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 10:24DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)18
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 10:44DETPowell STEAL (1 STL)18
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 11:01DALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 11:01DALMISS Powell Free Throw 1 of 218
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 11:16DETDelfino 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)18
5.6%
42
94.4%
Q2 - 11:36DALDaniels 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)16
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 11:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 11:42DALMISS Howard Layup16
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL16
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBillups Driving Layup (9 PTS)16
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0DALHarris 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETWallace Layup (4 PTS)14
5.9%
38
94.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)12
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q1 - 1:00DETMcDyess Inbound Turnover (P1.T3)12
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q1 - 1:01DALDiop Dunk (2 PTS)12
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q1 - 1:04DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q1 - 1:07DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot12
7.4%
34
92.6%
Q1 - 1:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q1 - 1:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS McDyess Layup12
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q1 - 1:30DETMISS Evans Layup12
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q1 - 1:45DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)12
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q1 - 1:55DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q1 - 1:58DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot12
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q1 - 2:16DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)12
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q1 - 2:16DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)12
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 2:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot12
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q1 - 2:43DALDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)12
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 2:59DETWallace Layup (2 PTS)12
13.0%
27
87.0%
Q1 - 3:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 3:03DETMISS Evans 11' Jump Shot10
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 3:30DALHoward 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)10
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q1 - 3:50DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 4:07DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)10
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 4:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 4:24DALMISS Harris Driving Layup10
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 4:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 4:33DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot10
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 4:39DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 4:42DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 4:47DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 4:48DETDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)10
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 5:07DALHoward 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 5:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
19.0%
21
81.0%
Q1 - 5:26DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 5:26DETMISS Evans Layup10
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 5:28DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot10
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 5:47DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 5:47DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 6:05DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Hamilton Layup10
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 6:25DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS)10
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 6:43DETBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)10
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 6:43DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 6:43DETBillups Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)9
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 7:05DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS)6
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 7:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 7:10DALMISS Dampier 4' Hook Shot6
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 7:27DETHamilton 11' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 7:46DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)4
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 8:02DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 8:02DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 23
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 8:21DALDampier Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)3
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 8:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 8:27DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 8:48DALDaniels 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 8:58DETHoward STEAL (1 STL)3
27.3%
9
72.7%
Q1 - 9:17DALTerry Driving Layup (4 PTS)3
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 9:23DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
30.1%
7
69.9%
Q1 - 9:24DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 23
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 9:24DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 23
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 9:50DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)3
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 10:02DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)3
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 10:20DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)1
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 10:25DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 10:27DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot1
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 10:46DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)1
35.4%
3
64.6%
Q1 - 10:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 10:57DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot1
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:21DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:37DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot1
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:48DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Wallace: Tip to Prince0
38.6%
0
61.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.6%
DAL
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
30
50%
DAL
24
31
77%
Midrange
DET
14
39
36%
DAL
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
DAL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
DET
12
19
63%
DAL
27
32
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1850%9.0 / 18
R. Wallace1243%6.0 / 14
C. Billups1275%6.0 / 8
T. Prince1071%5.0 / 7
J. Maxiell770%3.5 / 5
B. Wallace660%3.0 / 5
C. Arroyo531%2.5 / 8
M. Evans425%2.0 / 8
C. Delfino440%2.0 / 5
D. Milicic450%2.0 / 4
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2668%13.0 / 19
D. Nowitzki2357%11.5 / 20
E. Dampier1689%8.0 / 9
M. Daniels1563%7.5 / 12
D. Harris1478%7.0 / 9
J. Terry1260%6.0 / 10
J. Powell583%2.5 / 3
R. Marshall375%1.5 / 2
D. Diop250%1.0 / 2
D. Armstrong2100%1.0 / 1
D. Mbenga125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+16
-10
88
DAL
73
+16
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.89 44.6%
DAL
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
111.3
DET 100.0
DAL 141.7 +41.7
Pace
87.4
88.2
DET 87.0 +7.6
DAL 79.4
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
16.9
DET 16.5 +1.6
DAL 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
49.5%
DET 43.8%
DAL 60.5% +16.7%
TO %
12.2%
14.4%
DET 11.1%
DAL 10.9% +0.2%
ORB %
28.9%
31.9%
DET 27.3%
DAL 51.7% +24.4%
FTrt
29.7
36.4
DET 23.8
DAL 42.1 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.1%
50.0%
DET 51.5% +18.2%
DAL 33.3%
STL %
8.0%
8.1%
DET 2.4%
DAL 6.0% +3.6%
BLK %
9.0%
9.4%
DET 2.9%
DAL 10.1% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.3%
DET 44.6%
DAL 66.1% +21.5%
Rim FG%
59.0%
55.4%
DET 50.0%
DAL 77.4% +27.4%
Mid FG%
41.0%
43.4%
DET 35.9%
DAL 50.0% +14.1%
3P %
38.4%
37.4%
DET 36.4% +7.8%
DAL 28.6%
FT %
72.7%
78.3%
DET 63.2%
DAL 84.4% +21.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.3%
32.5%
DET 37.5%
DAL 40.8% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
50.0%
DET 48.8% +1.3%
DAL 50.0%
3P Att. %
22.1%
17.5%
DET 13.8% +4.5%
DAL 9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions8284
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points82119
Rebounds2647
Assists1715
Steals25
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals33-8045-76
At-the-Rim FG15-3024-31
Midrange FG14-3919-38
2-Point FG29-6943-69
3-Point FG4-112-7
Free Throws12-1927-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 230 · 31
30.0
12
43%
5
2
1
0
1
3
3
2
0-0
-
3-10
30%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
27.8
18
50%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
27.4
10
71%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
25.0
12
75%
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 240 · 31
24.1
6
60%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
23.3
5
31%
2
5
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
20.6
4
25%
3
1
1
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
20.2
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 275 · 20
15.9
4
50%
2
0
0
1
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31
14.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
7.1
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
26
17
2
2
10
0
12
14
12-19
63%
29-69
42%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.