FinalWin Prob.pScore
2538%86
98
2362%90
95
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
111.48896.2
ORL logo ORL
109.28780.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKORL
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK98
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOKNachbar Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOKMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 297
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLTurkoglu Layup (22 PTS)97
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Garrity 28' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)96
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLDooling Layup (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)95
98.5%
91
1.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)95
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)94
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOKWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
97.1%
89
2.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
92.3%
89
7.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Battie Layup93
96.0%
89
4.0%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Dooling Layup93
96.0%
89
4.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMAGIC Rebound93
92.7%
89
7.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Howard Layup93
96.2%
89
3.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0NOKPaul 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
90.0%
89
10.0%
Q4 - 1:02ORLFrancis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)90
66.3%
89
33.7%
Q4 - 1:16NOKPaul Layup (16 PTS)90
83.4%
86
16.6%
Q4 - 1:19ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)88
75.3%
86
24.7%
Q4 - 1:22ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)88
61.2%
86
38.8%
Q4 - 1:25ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot88
70.6%
86
29.4%
Q4 - 1:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)88
59.8%
86
40.2%
Q4 - 1:45NOKMISS West Layup88
63.5%
86
36.5%
Q4 - 2:09ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (20 PTS)88
72.1%
86
27.9%
Q4 - 2:29NOKWest Layup (32 PTS)88
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 2:50ORLDooling Slam Dunk (18 PTS)86
72.4%
84
27.6%
Q4 - 2:55NOKDooling STEAL (1 STL)86
74.7%
82
25.3%
Q4 - 3:12NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
84.3%
82
15.7%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot86
81.8%
82
18.2%
Q4 - 3:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)86
71.4%
82
28.6%
Q4 - 3:38NOKMISS Paul Layup86
73.8%
82
26.2%
Q4 - 3:56NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
79.2%
82
20.8%
Q4 - 3:57ORLMISS Battie Layup86
77.1%
82
22.9%
Q4 - 4:18NOKWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q4 - 4:18NOKWest Tip Shot (30 PTS)86
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q4 - 4:21NOKMISS Nachbar Driving Layup84
58.1%
82
41.9%
Q4 - 4:27NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
64.7%
82
35.3%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.9%
82
38.1%
Q4 - 4:46NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
55.2%
82
44.8%
Q4 - 4:46NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
53.6%
82
46.4%
Q4 - 4:55ORLDooling Driving Layup (16 PTS)82
46.2%
82
53.8%
Q4 - 5:15NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q4 - 5:15NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)81
51.2%
80
48.8%
Q4 - 5:20ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)80
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 5:35NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
36.4%
80
63.6%
Q4 - 5:35NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 279
34.9%
80
65.1%
Q4 - 5:53ORLFrancis 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q4 - 6:10NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
42.9%
78
57.1%
Q4 - 6:10NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 278
41.6%
78
58.4%
Q4 - 6:12NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
44.1%
78
55.9%
Q4 - 6:13ORLMISS Outlaw Layup78
41.5%
78
58.5%
Q4 - 6:40NOKBass Layup (2 PTS)78
35.8%
78
64.2%
Q4 - 6:42NOKBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q4 - 6:44NOKOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)76
25.2%
78
74.8%
Q4 - 7:10ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)76
30.7%
78
69.3%
Q4 - 7:13ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
36.1%
76
63.9%
Q4 - 7:15NOKMISS Snyder 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
38.3%
76
61.7%
Q4 - 7:25NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q4 - 7:26ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
36.1%
76
63.9%
Q4 - 7:26ORLMISS Outlaw Tip Shot76
41.2%
76
58.8%
Q4 - 7:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot76
41.2%
76
58.8%
Q4 - 7:49ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q4 - 7:50NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 276
37.0%
76
63.0%
Q4 - 7:50NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
40.6%
76
59.4%
Q4 - 7:50NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
36.9%
76
63.1%
Q4 - 7:52NOKMISS Bass Layup75
31.9%
76
68.1%
Q4 - 7:58NOKBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
36.9%
76
63.1%
Q4 - 8:00NOKMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot75
31.9%
76
68.1%
Q4 - 8:21ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)75
36.6%
76
63.4%
Q4 - 8:38NOKBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)75
42.6%
74
57.4%
Q4 - 8:38ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)75
49.1%
74
50.9%
Q4 - 9:03NOKSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
42.1%
74
57.9%
Q4 - 9:03NOKSnyder Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
40.5%
74
59.5%
Q4 - 9:24ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)73
36.6%
74
63.4%
Q4 - 9:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)73
42.1%
72
57.9%
Q4 - 9:45NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 273
43.0%
72
57.0%
Q4 - 9:45NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q4 - 10:00NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
42.4%
72
57.6%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot72
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q4 - 10:20NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
36.2%
72
63.8%
Q4 - 10:20NOKMason Tip Shot (3 PTS)72
36.2%
72
63.8%
Q4 - 10:23NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot70
28.0%
72
72.0%
Q4 - 10:43NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
31.5%
72
68.5%
Q4 - 10:46ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot70
29.9%
72
70.1%
Q4 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)70
26.5%
72
73.5%
Q4 - 10:59ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot70
29.9%
72
70.1%
Q4 - 11:21NOKWest 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)70
27.0%
72
73.0%
Q4 - 11:42ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)68
23.1%
72
76.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound68
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Outlaw 16' Jump Shot68
30.3%
70
69.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0NOKButler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snyder 6 AST)68
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)66
27.6%
68
72.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)65
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
23.6%
68
76.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOKMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot64
21.2%
68
78.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
23.6%
68
76.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot64
22.5%
68
77.5%
Q3 - 1:08NOKPaul Violation:Jump Ball64
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q3 - 1:27NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
24.2%
68
75.8%
Q3 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 1:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 1:40NOKTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)64
24.1%
67
75.9%
Q3 - 1:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
27.9%
67
72.1%
Q3 - 1:55ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
29.1%
66
70.9%
Q3 - 2:05NOKPaul Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
31.5%
65
68.5%
Q3 - 2:17ORLOutlaw Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T14)62
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 2:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 262
25.4%
65
74.6%
Q3 - 2:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)62
24.1%
65
75.9%
Q3 - 2:32NOKMISS West 22' Jump Shot62
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 2:55ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 2:55ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
28.7%
64
71.3%
Q3 - 3:04NOKButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)62
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 3:16ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
36.2%
63
63.8%
Q3 - 3:16ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 262
36.9%
62
63.1%
Q3 - 3:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
36.0%
62
64.0%
Q3 - 3:22NOKMISS Nachbar 3PT Jump Shot62
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 3:28NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot62
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 3:54NOKVroman Driving Layup (4 PTS)62
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 4:17ORLHoward Slam Dunk (13 PTS)60
32.2%
62
67.8%
Q3 - 4:39NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
35.5%
60
64.5%
Q3 - 5:03ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)60
39.8%
60
60.2%
Q3 - 5:17NOKWest Layup (24 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)60
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 5:23ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)58
32.2%
60
67.8%
Q3 - 5:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)58
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 5:39NOKMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
29.5%
60
70.5%
Q3 - 5:53ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)58
32.2%
60
67.8%
Q3 - 6:18NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)58
28.5%
60
71.5%
Q3 - 6:18NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 6:18NOKHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)58
29.6%
60
70.4%
Q3 - 6:45ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)58
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 7:06NOKWest 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)58
38.6%
57
61.4%
Q3 - 7:20ORLFrancis 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 7:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 7:47NOKMISS Andersen Layup56
39.9%
55
60.1%
Q3 - 8:08ORLTurkoglu Layup (13 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)56
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 8:21NOKSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
46.0%
53
54.0%
Q3 - 8:21NOKSnyder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
45.0%
53
55.0%
Q3 - 8:27NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
42.8%
53
57.2%
Q3 - 8:29ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot54
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q3 - 8:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 8:49NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot54
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 9:10ORLHoward Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)54
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 9:28NOKAndersen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)54
45.4%
51
54.6%
Q3 - 9:39ORLFrancis 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)52
42.0%
51
58.0%
Q3 - 10:06NOKPaul Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
44.7%
49
55.3%
Q3 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)50
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q3 - 10:32ORLMAGIC Rebound50
48.3%
46
51.7%
Q3 - 10:33NOKMISS Snyder 21' Jump Shot50
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q3 - 10:56ORLFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)50
52.2%
46
47.8%
Q3 - 11:14ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q3 - 11:16NOKMISS West 16' Jump Shot50
59.2%
43
40.8%
Q3 - 11:31ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P4.T10)50
61.6%
43
38.4%
Q3 - 11:40NOKSnyder Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)50
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK48
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)48
53.5%
43
46.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
61.0%
40
39.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0NOKWest Tip Shot (20 PTS)48
61.0%
40
39.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0NOKMISS West Layup46
55.3%
40
44.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
56.9%
40
43.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 246
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLMAGIC Rebound46
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot46
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 1:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 1:12NOKMISS Paul 6' Running Jump Shot46
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 1:27ORLStevenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)46
59.2%
39
40.8%
Q2 - 1:48NOKVroman Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)46
57.6%
39
42.4%
Q2 - 1:54ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 2:18NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)44
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 2:33NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 2:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 2:48NOKVroman Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 3:00NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46.5%
39
53.5%
Q2 - 3:01ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 242
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 3:01ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 242
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q2 - 3:20NOKWest Layup (16 PTS)42
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 3:38ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)40
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 4:08NOKWest Layup (14 PTS) (Snyder 5 AST)40
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 4:12NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot38
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 4:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
39.7%
36
60.3%
Q2 - 4:34NOKHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)38
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 4:52NOKHornets Rebound38
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
41.7%
36
58.3%
Q2 - 5:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 5:15NOKMISS West Free Throw 1 of 138
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 5:24ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 5:24ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 5:43NOKNachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (West 2 AST)36
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 5:53ORLFrancis Driving Dunk (7 PTS)33
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 5:56NOKFrancis STEAL (1 STL)33
36.7%
32
63.3%
Q2 - 6:04ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)33
39.6%
32
60.4%
Q2 - 6:08ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 6:10NOKMISS Paul 5' Running Jump Shot33
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q2 - 6:16NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.6%
32
60.4%
Q2 - 6:18ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot33
38.6%
32
61.4%
Q2 - 6:46NOKWest 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)33
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 6:57NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
34.5%
32
65.5%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 7:10NOKAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)31
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 7:19NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
34.4%
32
65.6%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Morris 18' Jump Shot31
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 7:51NOKWest Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Snyder 3 AST)31
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 8:06NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 8:08ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot29
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 8:31ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 8:32NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 229
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 8:32NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 8:33NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 8:35NOKMISS Andersen Dunk28
26.1%
32
73.9%
Q2 - 8:52ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)28
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 9:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 9:10NOKMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot28
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 9:34ORLHoward Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)28
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 9:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q2 - 9:54ORLMISS Dooling 13' Jump Shot28
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 10:07NOKMason Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q2 - 10:25ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)28
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 10:30NOKPaul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q2 - 10:37ORLDooling Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)28
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q2 - 10:54NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)28
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q2 - 11:08ORLNelson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)28
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q2 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 11:13NOKMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot28
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q2 - 11:34ORLDooling 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q2 - 11:46NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q2 - 11:46NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 227
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound27
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Dooling Layup27
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)27
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLDooling 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
49.3%
21
50.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0NOKButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)27
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 1:07ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS)27
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 1:28NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
56.8%
17
43.2%
Q1 - 1:28NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
56.4%
17
43.6%
Q1 - 1:33NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
53.9%
17
46.1%
Q1 - 1:35ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot25
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 1:54ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 1:56NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 225
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 1:56NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 225
54.0%
17
46.0%
Q1 - 1:56NOKHornets Rebound25
53.9%
17
46.1%
Q1 - 1:56ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot25
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 2:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 2:24NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot25
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 2:39NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
54.0%
17
46.0%
Q1 - 2:40ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot25
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 3:00NOKButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)25
51.9%
17
48.1%
Q1 - 3:07NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 3:12ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot22
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 3:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 3:29NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 222
44.4%
17
55.6%
Q1 - 3:29NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 3:50ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 4:10NOKSnyder Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)21
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 4:16NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 4:17ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup19
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 4:42NOKNachbar 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 5:05ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P3.T5)17
38.9%
15
61.1%
Q1 - 5:19NOKNachbar 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 5:36ORLBattie Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 5:51NOKWest 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)15
33.0%
15
67.0%
Q1 - 6:12ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 6:12ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 213
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:25NOKPaul 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 6:32NOKHornets Rebound11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 6:33NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 6:33NOKMISS West Tip Shot11
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 6:35NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot11
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 6:54ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 7:12NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)11
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 7:27ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 7:27NOKStevenson STEAL (1 STL)9
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 7:43ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 7:43ORLFrancis Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 7:44ORLMISS Stevenson Layup9
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 7:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 7:52NOKMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot9
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 8:11ORLFrancis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 8:23NOKPaul 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHoward Slam Dunk (5 PTS)7
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 8:51NOKWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)7
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 9:04ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)5
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 9:24NOKPaul Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 9:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 9:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 9:54NOKMISS Nachbar Free Throw 2 of 23
29.5%
5
70.5%
Q1 - 9:54NOKNachbar Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 10:07NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot2
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)2
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 10:31ORLMAGIC Rebound2
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 10:31NOKMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 12
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 10:54ORLTurkoglu 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 11:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 11:14NOKMISS West 10' Running Hook Shot0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:44ORLBattie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Andersen: Tip to Francis0
32.6%
0
67.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.13 56.3%
ORL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
19
32
59%
ORL
18
28
64%
Midrange
NOK
13
26
50%
ORL
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
ORL
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOK
25
38
66%
ORL
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West3471%17.0 / 24
C. Paul2170%10.5 / 15
B. Nachbar1155%5.5 / 10
K. Snyder867%4.0 / 6
D. Mason844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen542%2.5 / 6
R. Butler563%2.5 / 4
J. Vroman4100%2.0 / 2
B. Bass220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2279%11.0 / 14
K. Dooling2261%11.0 / 18
S. Francis2175%10.5 / 14
D. Howard1667%8.0 / 12
J. Nelson850%4.0 / 8
T. Battie450%2.0 / 4
D. Stevenson220%1.0 / 5
B. Outlaw0-0.0 / 2
T. Morris0-0.0 / 1
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
75
+11
-13
86
ORL
72
+12
-15
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.13 56.3%
ORL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
106.6
NOK 111.4 +2.2
ORL 109.2
Pace
89.6
88.1
NOK 96.2 +16.1
ORL 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.6
NOK 15.0 +3.0
ORL 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
49.6%
NOK 57.0% +2.2%
ORL 54.8%
TO %
13.9%
16.2%
NOK 16.5% +0.6%
ORL 17.1%
ORB %
27.0%
28.6%
NOK 29.4% +6.8%
ORL 22.6%
FTrt
33.9
36.9
NOK 59.4 +29.3
ORL 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
51.4%
NOK 48.6%
ORL 54.1% +5.5%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
NOK 5.7% +1.1%
ORL 4.6%
BLK %
6.5%
7.2%
NOK 5.3% +0.1%
ORL 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
52.5%
NOK 56.3% +1.1%
ORL 55.2%
Rim FG%
53.8%
57.7%
NOK 59.4%
ORL 64.3% +4.9%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.0%
NOK 50.0% +5.2%
ORL 44.8%
3P %
33.9%
37.6%
NOK 50.0% +12.5%
ORL 37.5%
FT %
75.8%
73.0%
NOK 65.8%
ORL 68.2% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
39.9%
NOK 50.0% +11.6%
ORL 38.4%
Mid Att. %
49.3%
47.2%
NOK 40.6%
ORL 39.7% +0.9%
3P Att. %
13.8%
12.9%
NOK 9.4%
ORL 21.9% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKORL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points9895
Rebounds3431
Assists1720
Steals54
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals35-6437-73
At-the-Rim FG19-3218-28
Midrange FG13-2613-29
2-Point FG32-5831-57
3-Point FG3-66-16
Free Throws25-3815-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
43.2
21
70%
5
8
2
0
3
5
0
5
6-6
100%
6-11
55%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
41.5
34
71%
8
2
0
1
1
2
4
4
4-5
80%
15-22
68%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 22
36.4
8
67%
5
6
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 221 · 25
34.0
11
55%
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
33.3
5
42%
8
1
1
1
2
4
3
5
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
17.1
5
63%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 222 · 28
14.1
8
44%
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
6-12
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
13.9
2
20%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
6.6
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 28
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20
G · 6'4" 214 · 26
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'11" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
34
17
5
3
13
0
10
24
25-38
66%
32-58
55%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.