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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Jazz18%9294
6Suns82%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
38.9
29.5
21
52%
5
3
2
1
0
5
2
3
5-5
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
44%
2-2
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
36.7
30.4
29
65%
9
2
1
1
1
1
3
6
7-10
70%
8-15
5-9
53%
48%
2-3
67%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
36.4
19.7
4
25%
3
2
2
1
0
5
0
3
0-2
0%
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
20.5
26.7
7
58%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
10.7
17.8
0
0%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
34.6
16.0
11
36%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-5
60%
4-10
2-4
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
26.6
17.6
16
58%
10
0
1
1
1
0
4
6
2-4
50%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.0
15.9
24.1
3
54%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
8.3
14.5
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-2
50%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
6.1
12.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
5.3
18.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
11.2
0
1-2
39%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.5
34.7
40.9
10
34%
7
3
2
2
2
4
3
4
2-2
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
0-3
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
32.5
28.2
12
55%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.8
31.2
34.6
6
38%
4
10
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.0
25.8
35.0
18
80%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-5
40%
5-6
5-9
83%
52%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
18.7
23.9
2
20%
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
29.8
9.9
31
87%
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
7-11
64%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.6
29.3
25.9
12
59%
6
5
0
1
1
3
1
5
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
15.2
1.4
6
60%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
12.6
9.2
3
150%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.1
10.3
22.6
2
26%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
5.2
0
1-1
49%
Sharrod Ford
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.