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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Raptors27%9693
19Celtics73%104100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
41.9
34.2
12
41%
3
7
2
1
0
4
0
3
4-6
67%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
41.2
40.5
24
60%
14
3
0
1
1
3
7
7
8-11
73%
8-15
7-14
53%
47%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
37.6
21.9
11
31%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-14
3-7
36%
45%
0-3
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
34.6
29.4
16
71%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
22.6
16.3
5
50%
3
0
4
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.2
27.7
29.3
18
50%
6
0
4
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-12
4-9
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
13.2
21.2
3
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.7
9.3
7.2
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
38%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
7.5
27.0
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
4.5
4.6
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
43.3
39.6
26
78%
5
7
1
2
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
10-13
7-14
77%
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
39.8
37.2
26
61%
11
5
2
2
1
4
3
8
10-12
83%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
2-4
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.3
35.7
31.3
13
65%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
31.1
26.9
8
45%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
56%
2-5
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
21.0
28.8
14
79%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.0
18.6
3.6
0
0%
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.2
12.3
12.8
5
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
10.8
9.6
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
9.2
17.3
4
35%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
7.3
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
7.0
6.5
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
3.9
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.0
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.8
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.