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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 17, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks14%8778
4Mavericks86%10187
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
43.4
31.8
15
41%
10
2
1
1
0
2
4
6
1-3
33%
7-15
6-13
47%
45%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.8
42.3
26.7
21
50%
12
3
0
1
0
2
6
6
7-11
64%
7-16
3-7
44%
42%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
40.6
38.1
18
49%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
7-14
5-11
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.4
19.1
23.9
4
33%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.4
19.0
22.7
2
25%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.0
30.6
22.6
6
39%
5
2
0
1
3
1
1
4
4-4
100%
1-6
3-8
17%
44%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
22.3
22.6
7
81%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
14.2
23.8
5
32%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
39%
0-4
0%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.3
5.7
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.2
2.9
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.9
3.8
0
0-1
41%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
40.9
22.7
25
85%
4
1
1
1
5
0
1
3
3-4
75%
8-11
3-7
73%
51%
2-2
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
39.9
31.3
11
51%
4
4
2
2
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
38.7
37.5
20
45%
13
1
0
1
1
2
4
9
3-3
100%
7-20
7-14
35%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
33.8
30.4
12
32%
4
2
1
1
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
52%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.3
20.3
16.0
0
0%
8
0
0
0
0
6
3
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
25.4
26.3
14
60%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.8
21.3
24.8
2
33%
7
0
1
1
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
19.9
24.5
3
19%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-5
3-6
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
9.1
0
0-1
47%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.7
5.2
0
1-1
51%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
3.3
0
0-1
52%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1.3
0
0-0
55%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.8
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.