FinalWin Prob.pScore
831%86
80
369%93
86
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
93.08694.3
SAS logo SAS
100.08679.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS80
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)80
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Alston 1' Layup77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASSPURS Rebound77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUBarry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)77
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:01SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot74
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:09HOUWesley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)74
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:11SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot74
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 1:35HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 1:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 1:49HOUGinobili STEAL (4 STL)74
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 2:02SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 2:02SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 2:24HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)74
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 2:40SASParker 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 3:09HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 3:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 3:18SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot68
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 3:34HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 3:50SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)66
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 4:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot66
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 4:13SASSPURS Rebound66
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 4:13SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup66
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 4:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 4:41SASMISS Parker 2' Layup66
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 5:03HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 5:25HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 5:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 263
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 5:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q4 - 5:39HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 5:39HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 262
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 5:54HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)62
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot62
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 6:10HOUParker STEAL (2 STL)62
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 6:15SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)62
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q4 - 6:28HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 6:28HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 261
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 6:43SASSanders Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 6:56HOUWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)61
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q4 - 7:23SASNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)58
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q4 - 7:31SASSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q4 - 7:33HOUMISS Head 16' Jump Shot58
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 7:38HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot58
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 8:00SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q4 - 8:02HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q4 - 8:20SASParker Traveling Turnover (P5.T10)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 8:39HOUWesley Foul Turnover (P2.T14)58
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q4 - 8:42HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot58
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 8:48HOUWesley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)58
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q4 - 8:49HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 8:52SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot58
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 9:08SASSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 9:10HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q4 - 9:22SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)58
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q4 - 9:43HOUWesley 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 9:44HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot56
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q4 - 9:53HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 10:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot56
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q4 - 10:19HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 10:19HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 255
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 10:23SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 10:37HOUSwift 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)55
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q4 - 10:46HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:05HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:05HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 252
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:19SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:19SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q4 - 11:41SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q4 - 11:43HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU52
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot52
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T12)52
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot52
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)52
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOURockets Rebound52
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 1:18SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 1:18SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 1:18SASSPURS Rebound52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 1:18SASMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot52
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 1:27HOUGinobili STEAL (3 STL)52
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 1:44SASHorry 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 1:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 1:59HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 2:05SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)52
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 2:25HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)52
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 2:41SASNesterovic 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)52
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 2:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 2:58HOUHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS)52
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 3:01HOUDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)50
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 3:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 3:05HOUMISS Alston 3' Layup50
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 3:24SASVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)50
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 4:08SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)48
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 4:17SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 4:20HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot48
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 4:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 4:38SASMISS Parker 2' Layup48
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 4:52HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 4:52HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 4:52HOURockets Rebound46
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 4:53HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 5:08HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 5:11SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 5:37HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 5:37HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 5:41HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 5:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 5:58HOUMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot44
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 6:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 6:17SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 244
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 6:17SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 244
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 6:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot44
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 6:51HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 6:55SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 7:20SASSPURS Rebound44
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 7:23SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot44
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 7:40HOUAlston 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)44
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 8:01SASParker 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)42
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 8:11HOUYao Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 8:30SASDuncan 1' Layup (18 PTS)42
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 8:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 8:54HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q3 - 9:26SASNesterovic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)42
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 9:47HOUMcGrady Layup (10 PTS)42
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 9:48HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 9:49HOUMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot40
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q3 - 10:09SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)40
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q3 - 10:37HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)40
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q3 - 10:40HOURockets Rebound38
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q3 - 10:41HOUNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)38
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 10:58HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot38
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 11:29HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q3 - 11:47SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)36
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU36
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound36
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady 40' 3PT Running Jump Shot36
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)36
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASSPURS Rebound36
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Yao 4' Jump Shot36
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan 1' Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)36
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup36
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUSwift 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)36
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 1:08SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)34
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 1:22HOUYao 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)34
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 1:46SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 1:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 1:57SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot32
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 2:09HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)32
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 2:09HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 231
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 2:22SASParker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)31
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 2:45HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)31
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 3:07HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 3:08SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot28
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 3:22HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)28
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 3:37SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)25
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 3:42HOUParker STEAL (1 STL)25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 3:49HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 3:51SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot25
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 4:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 4:01HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 4:28SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)25
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 4:53HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 4:53HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
12.2%
33
87.8%
Q2 - 4:59HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q2 - 5:01SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot23
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q2 - 5:20HOUYao 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)23
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 5:55SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)21
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 6:10HOUMISS Head 15' Jump Shot21
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 6:16HOURockets Rebound21
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 6:16HOUVan Exel BLOCK (1 BLK)21
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 6:24HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 6:26HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot21
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 6:46SASVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 7:01HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 7:16SASMohammed 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q2 - 7:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q2 - 7:28HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot21
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q2 - 7:46SASDuncan 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q2 - 8:04SASSPURS Rebound21
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q2 - 8:05HOUMISS McGrady 1' Layup21
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q2 - 8:07HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q2 - 8:08HOUMISS McGrady 6' Running Jump Shot21
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q2 - 8:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q2 - 8:33SASNesterovic 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot21
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q2 - 8:58HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)21
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q2 - 9:08SASNesterovic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)18
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q2 - 9:16SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Yao 4' Running Layup18
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q2 - 9:21HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Parker 2' Layup18
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q2 - 9:30HOUHorry STEAL (2 STL)18
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q2 - 9:47SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)18
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q2 - 10:22HOUHead 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q2 - 10:38SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T4)16
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q2 - 10:56HOUYao 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)16
14.7%
23
85.3%
Q2 - 11:11HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q2 - 11:29HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 11:29HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q2 - 11:49SASGinobili 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)12
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS12
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUYao 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUHorry STEAL (1 STL)10
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)10
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot10
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 1:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 1:04SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 1:08SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 1:10HOUMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot10
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 1:23HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 1:32SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 1:33HOUMISS Yao 2' Layup10
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 1:45SASGinobili 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)10
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 1:49HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)10
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 2:05SASNesterovic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)10
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 2:13SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 2:15HOUMISS Howard 2' Layup10
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 2:39SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 2:49HOUAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 3:11SASHorry 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)10
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 3:32HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 3:32HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 3:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 3:42SASMISS Duncan 4' Turnaround Jump Shot8
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 3:59HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot8
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 4:19SASHorry 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)8
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 4:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 4:41SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot8
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 4:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 4:57SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot8
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:19HOUYao 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 5:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 5:32SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot6
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 5:43SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.5%
11
82.5%
Q1 - 5:45HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Shot6
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 5:47HOURockets Rebound6
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 5:47HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)6
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 6:04SASDuncan 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 6:22HOUYao 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)6
20.2%
9
79.8%
Q1 - 6:42HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 6:44SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot4
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 6:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 6:56HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot4
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 7:25SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
19.1%
9
80.9%
Q1 - 7:45HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 7:45HOUAnderson 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 7:47HOUMISS Yao 1' Layup2
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 7:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot2
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 8:10SASParker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 8:23HOUMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot2
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 8:40HOURockets Rebound2
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot2
18.7%
7
81.3%
Q1 - 9:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 9:02HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot2
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 9:22SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 9:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
19.8%
5
80.2%
Q1 - 9:29HOUNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)2
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 9:38HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 9:40SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot2
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 9:58HOUYao 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 10:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 10:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:32HOUMISS Alston Layup0
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:54SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:56SASMISS Duncan 2' Driving Layup0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:13HOUMcGrady Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:27HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:45HOUMISS Yao 6' Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Yao: Tip to McGrady0
25.1%
0
74.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
9
25
36%
SAS
21
30
70%
Midrange
HOU
12
28
43%
SAS
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
SAS
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
SAS
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2750%13.5 / 27
Yao1950%9.5 / 19
L. Head1179%5.5 / 7
D. Wesley643%3.0 / 7
S. Swift6100%3.0 / 3
J. Howard429%2.0 / 7
J. Barry375%1.5 / 2
R. Alston217%1.0 / 6
D. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
T. Parker1747%8.5 / 18
R. Horry16100%8.0 / 8
M. Ginobili1554%7.5 / 14
R. Nesterovic1056%5.0 / 9
N. Van Exel425%2.0 / 8
B. Bowen338%1.5 / 4
N. Mohammed2100%1.0 / 1
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
70
+15
-16
85
SAS
74
+12
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
107.1
HOU 93.0 +7.0
SAS 100.0
Pace
88.2
88.8
HOU 94.3 +15.3
SAS 79.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.9
HOU 15.3 +3.0
SAS 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
51.3%
HOU 43.8%
SAS 48.0% +4.2%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
HOU 17.2%
SAS 12.5% +4.7%
ORB %
25.5%
26.1%
HOU 25.7% +3.2%
SAS 22.5%
FTrt
31.7
29.8
HOU 30.6 +6.9
SAS 23.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.4%
HOU 42.9%
SAS 65.7% +22.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
HOU 7.0%
SAS 9.3% +2.3%
BLK %
6.6%
8.4%
HOU 3.1%
SAS 9.4% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
53.1%
HOU 47.1%
SAS 50.0% +2.9%
Rim FG%
56.1%
61.7%
HOU 36.0%
SAS 70.0% +34.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.0%
HOU 42.9% +11.5%
SAS 31.4%
3P %
33.2%
38.5%
HOU 36.8% +9.5%
SAS 27.3%
FT %
75.9%
70.2%
HOU 77.3% +5.1%
SAS 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
36.7%
HOU 34.7%
SAS 39.5% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
41.8%
HOU 38.9% +7.2%
SAS 46.1%
3P Att. %
22.6%
21.5%
HOU 26.4% +11.9%
SAS 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points8086
Rebounds4035
Assists1223
Steals68
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals28-7235-76
At-the-Rim FG9-2521-30
Midrange FG12-2811-35
2-Point FG21-5332-65
3-Point FG7-193-11
Free Throws17-2213-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'6" 310 · 25
41.9
19
50%
7
1
1
0
1
3
1
6
3-5
60%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
39.0
27
50%
12
4
1
0
3
0
2
10
9-11
82%
6-14
43%
2-8
25%
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
28.8
2
17%
3
3
1
1
3
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
24.0
4
29%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 31
22.7
2
25%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 35
25.3
6
43%
6
2
1
1
3
5
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26
24.9
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 23
19.2
11
79%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
10.7
3
75%
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 30
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
#35 · F · 6'8" 260 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
40
12
6
2
16
0
9
31
17-22
77%
21-53
40%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.