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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Jazz20%9183
11Kings80%102119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
36.0
27.1
12
40%
2
4
0
1
1
5
0
2
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
43%
1-3
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
22.0
35.0
5
42%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
48%
1-1
100%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
21.9
16.4
7
36%
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
16.9
15.7
9
46%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
1-4
29%
42%
1-2
50%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
15.4
19.3
9
78%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
4-4
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
29.3
15.8
19
68%
2
6
1
0
1
2
1
1
7-9
78%
6-9
2-4
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
28.2
12.7
4
27%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
26.0
3.7
8
44%
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
0-1
44%
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.0
24.0
24.4
4
67%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
20.3
10.8
6
28%
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
43%
0-3
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
21.0
1
3-7
49%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
14.8
1
1-3
38%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.4
32.9
40.2
21
69%
3
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
49%
2-6
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.5
30.6
34.4
25
90%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
9-9
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.6
29.1
34.1
14
55%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
6-6
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
28.3
29.6
15
70%
11
7
3
1
0
0
5
6
2-4
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
47%
1-1
100%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
23.2
36.5
10
68%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
4-6
6-11
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.3
19.2
12.4
10
57%
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.8
17.7
17.0
7
41%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
15.1
2.4
4
41%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.9
14.0
4.0
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.5
13.9
16.9
5
63%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.5
10.4
9.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.4
5.5
1.1
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.