FinalWin Prob.pScore
2911%86
79
189%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
92.98582.9
SAS logo SAS
121.28587.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLEdwards 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASMISS Udrih 8' Jump Shot77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Childress 13' Jump Shot77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30ATLSanders STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Hook Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Oberto 9' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01SASSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ATLMISS Ivey 14' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30SASSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ATLMISS Edwards 13' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47ATLHawks Rebound77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASMISS Sanders 3' Layup77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASNesterovic 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25SASSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49SASSanders 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45SASSanders Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00SASSanders Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03ATLHorry BLOCK (3 BLK)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01ATLLue REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)72
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31SASMISS Horry 5' Jump Shot72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:11ATLSmith 1' Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54SASOberto Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:15ATLGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:42ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 267
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 267
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:30SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:50SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 9:52ATLMISS Harrington 1' Layup67
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Horry 1' Layup67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:23SASVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 10:30ATLOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:31ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 10:34ATLMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot67
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:57SASOberto 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 11:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 11:11ATLHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)67
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 11:23SASGinobili 1' Slam Dunk (20 PTS)67
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 11:27ATLGinobili STEAL (5 STL)67
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 11:42SASOberto 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)67
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS67
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound67
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Oberto 40' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLEdwards 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)67
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot65
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup65
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 1:13SASSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:16SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 1:29ATLStoudamire Backcourt Turnover (P4.T16)63
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLHawks Rebound63
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:51SASMISS Sanders 16' Jump Shot63
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 2:08SASSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 2:10ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot63
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 2:19ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 2:21SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup63
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 2:46ATLStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)63
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:05SASSanders 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 3:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:11SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 3:17ATLHorry STEAL (1 STL)61
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 3:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot61
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 3:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 3:38SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot61
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 3:57ATLParker STEAL (3 STL)61
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 4:10SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Sanders 1' Layup61
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:14SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 4:15SASMISS Sanders 16' Jump Shot61
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:34ATLStoudamire 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 4:45SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)59
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 5:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 5:04ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)59
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 5:23ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 159
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 5:40SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 5:42ATLMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot59
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 5:54ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)59
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 5:57SASMISS Sanders 1' Layup59
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 6:20ATLHarrington Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)59
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 6:33ATLHawks Rebound59
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 6:33ATLHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)59
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 6:49SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 7:18ATLPachulia 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS)59
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 7:34SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)57
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 7:46ATLGinobili STEAL (4 STL)57
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 7:59ATLHawks Rebound57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 8:00ATLMISS Harrington Layup57
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:02ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 8:03ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 257
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 8:03ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)57
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 8:19SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)56
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 8:39ATLLue 2' Layup (3 PTS)56
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 9:02SASParker 1' Layup (16 PTS)54
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 9:16ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot54
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 9:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)54
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 9:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 9:44ATLPachulia 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)54
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 9:46ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q3 - 10:11SASDuncan 3' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)52
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 10:21ATLParker STEAL (2 STL)52
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 10:37ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 10:38SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 152
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 10:42ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)52
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q3 - 10:57SASGinobili 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 11:11SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot52
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q3 - 11:19SASSPURS Rebound52
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Parker 1' Layup52
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q3 - 11:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 11:26ATLMISS Lue 15' Jump Bank Shot52
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q3 - 11:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q3 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL52
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMohammed 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLStoudamire 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot50
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Finger Roll50
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 1:17ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
15.5%
48
84.5%
Q2 - 1:26SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 1:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 1:44ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 1:44ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)46
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 2:14ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)46
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASOberto 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)46
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 3:02ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)46
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 3:27SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:27SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS)44
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:29SASMISS Van Exel 1' Layup44
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 3:51ATLLue Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)44
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:06SASParker 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 4:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 4:18ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot44
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 4:34SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 4:35SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot44
21.7%
38
78.3%
Q2 - 4:53ATLPachulia 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 5:11SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 5:28ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T7)42
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 5:28ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 5:30ATLMISS Harrington 2' Layup42
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 5:45ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 5:47ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot42
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
21.2%
36
78.8%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS)42
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 6:04SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Shot42
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 6:06SASSPURS Rebound42
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot42
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 6:12ATLGinobili STEAL (3 STL)42
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 6:28SASParker 3' Layup (8 PTS)42
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 6:32SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 6:35ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot42
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 6:48ATLLue Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)42
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 7:05SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 241
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q2 - 7:14ATLHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)41
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q2 - 7:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q2 - 7:43ATLStoudamire Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T4)41
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q2 - 7:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 7:50SASMISS Oberto 15' Jump Shot41
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 7:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 8:00ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot41
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q2 - 8:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 8:29ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q2 - 8:34ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
29.9%
27
70.1%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup38
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q2 - 8:56ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q2 - 8:56ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 237
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q2 - 8:59ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q2 - 9:01SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup37
26.0%
27
74.0%
Q2 - 9:08ATLGinobili STEAL (2 STL)37
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q2 - 9:32SASDuncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)37
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 9:41ATLEdwards 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)37
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q2 - 9:43ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q2 - 9:45ATLMISS Lue 4' Jump Shot35
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q2 - 10:16SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)35
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 10:34ATLStoudamire 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)35
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)33
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q2 - 11:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q2 - 11:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)32
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q2 - 11:30SASGinobili 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)31
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q2 - 11:42ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)31
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL31
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound31
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 44' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.0%
18
70.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASUdrih 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)31
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLHarrington 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)31
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Johnson 2' Tip Shot29
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot29
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Mohammed Dunk29
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 1:04SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS Udrih 7' Jump Shot29
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 1:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 228
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 1:33SASVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 1:38SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Mohammed 1' Layup28
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 1:40SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot28
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 1:59ATLHarrington 1' Layup (20 PTS)28
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 2:18SASSanders Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 2:23ATLHarrington 2' Layup (18 PTS)26
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 2:44SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 2:59SASMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot24
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 3:19ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 3:36SASUdrih 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 3:50ATLStoudamire Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)22
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 4:00SASMarks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)22
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 4:23ATLChildress 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)22
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 4:32ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 220
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 220
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 4:47ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 4:47ATLEdwards 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 4:49ATLMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot18
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 5:03SASVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 5:19ATLHarrington 2' Layup (16 PTS)18
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 5:27ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Marks 14' Jump Shot16
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 5:44ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 6:05SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)14
15.5%
8
84.5%
Q1 - 6:36ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 6:36ATLHarrington Tip Shot (14 PTS)14
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 6:37ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
13.5%
8
86.5%
Q1 - 6:37ATLMISS Harrington 3' Layup12
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 6:40ATLMISS Harrington 1' Layup12
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 6:50ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.5%
8
86.5%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot12
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 7:21ATLHarrington Dunk (12 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)12
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 7:32SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 7:50ATLHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)10
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 8:09SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)7
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 8:37ATLHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)7
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 8:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.4%
6
91.6%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
8.2%
6
91.8%
Q1 - 9:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:11ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot4
7.9%
6
92.1%
Q1 - 9:23SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
8.4%
6
91.6%
Q1 - 9:39ATLHarrington 1' Layup (4 PTS)4
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:54ATLHawks Rebound2
7.3%
6
92.7%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot2
7.1%
6
92.9%
Q1 - 10:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6.7%
6
93.3%
Q1 - 10:03ATLMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot2
6.8%
6
93.2%
Q1 - 10:22SASGinobili 3' Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 10:43ATLHarrington 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
7.7%
4
92.3%
Q1 - 11:03SASParker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
7.2%
4
92.8%
Q1 - 11:16SASSPURS Rebound0
7.7%
2
92.3%
Q1 - 11:16ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot0
7.9%
2
92.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
8.2%
2
91.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Pachulia: Tip to Parker0
8.8%
0
91.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.90 44.9%
SAS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
33
52%
SAS
23
40
57%
Midrange
ATL
10
34
29%
SAS
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
SAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
16
24
67%
SAS
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2348%11.5 / 24
J. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
S. Stoudamire1161%5.5 / 9
J. Edwards867%4.0 / 6
T. Lue758%3.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
J. Smith528%2.5 / 9
M. Williams440%2.0 / 5
J. Childress225%1.0 / 4
R. Ivey125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2480%12.0 / 15
T. Duncan2377%11.5 / 15
T. Parker1860%9.0 / 15
F. Oberto844%4.0 / 9
B. Bowen650%3.0 / 6
N. Van Exel660%3.0 / 5
M. Sanders531%2.5 / 8
B. Udrih536%2.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic467%2.0 / 3
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
N. Mohammed233%1.0 / 3
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
67
+21
-18
88
SAS
76
+19
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.90 44.9%
SAS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.1
ATL 92.9 +28.2
SAS 121.2
Pace
90.3
88.8
ATL 82.9
SAS 87.2 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.9
ATL 17.4
SAS 16.5 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
51.3%
ATL 43.2%
SAS 54.2% +11.0%
TO %
16.5%
14.8%
ATL 18.5%
SAS 10.6% +7.9%
ORB %
31.5%
26.1%
ATL 42.9%
SAS 43.2% +0.3%
FTrt
34.0
29.8
ATL 32.9 +10.3
SAS 22.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
57.4%
ATL 26.7%
SAS 50.0% +23.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.4%
ATL 3.5%
SAS 12.9% +9.4%
BLK %
7.5%
8.4%
ATL 10.7% +1.7%
SAS 9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.1%
ATL 44.9%
SAS 54.2% +9.3%
Rim FG%
55.8%
61.7%
ATL 51.5%
SAS 57.5% +6.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.0%
ATL 29.4%
SAS 51.4% +22.0%
3P %
36.7%
38.5%
ATL 50.0% +16.7%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
75.0%
70.2%
ATL 66.7% +3.5%
SAS 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
36.7%
ATL 45.2%
SAS 47.6% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
41.8%
ATL 46.6%
SAS 41.7% +4.9%
3P Att. %
17.8%
21.5%
ATL 8.2%
SAS 10.7% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points79103
Rebounds3940
Assists822
Steals311
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)24 (1)
Field Goals30-7344-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3323-40
Midrange FG10-3418-35
2-Point FG27-6741-75
3-Point FG3-63-9
Free Throws16-2412-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 24
37.5
12
43%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
34.7
23
48%
9
1
0
0
5
2
5
4
1-4
25%
8-19
42%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 210 · 22
27.2
2
25%
6
1
1
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
22.7
7
58%
2
1
0
0
2
3
2
0
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
21.0
6
60%
2
1
0
0
3
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 19
24.6
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
23.1
8
67%
7
0
0
2
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
23.1
11
61%
3
1
1
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-1
100%
· 6'9" 225 · 20
21.3
5
28%
3
0
1
5
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
5.0
1
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
#00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
45%
39
8
3
8
18
0
18
21
16-24
67%
27-67
40%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.