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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics21%86100
2Pistons79%96115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
41.8
36.3
31
69%
5
9
1
1
0
2
3
2
2-3
67%
13-20
5-12
65%
45%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
38.5
36.2
23
61%
7
3
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
45%
3-5
60%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
32.7
27.6
15
54%
1
2
0
1
2
4
0
1
1-2
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.3
30.7
29.7
4
25%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
29.1
27.5
11
80%
9
0
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.2
17.7
16.0
2
33%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
16.2
17.4
10
71%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
15.0
15.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
12.1
10.7
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
4.2
7.3
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.0
1.1
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
1.1
5.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.8
12.3
0
1-3
41%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.7
41.4
37.3
15
55%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
6-8
5-10
75%
51%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.2
40.9
29.9
20
45%
14
2
3
1
1
2
4
10
3-3
100%
7-15
3-7
47%
49%
1-6
17%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.8
37.9
35.6
25
55%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
10-21
7-15
48%
48%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.2
37.5
37.1
10
64%
9
3
3
2
3
0
4
5
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.1
37.1
35.1
25
66%
4
10
1
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
3-7
43%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
11.1
20.3
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.3
10.9
12.0
8
74%
1
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.0
10.1
14.1
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
7.0
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.4
5.1
4.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.7
1.1
2.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.6
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.5
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.