FinalWin Prob.pScore
2523%89
102
1377%98
109
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
102.010096.4
MIA logo MIA
110.19984.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
109
100%
OT1 - 0:07.0NOKNachbar REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:07.0NOKNachbar Tip Shot (12 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:07.0NOKMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot100
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:27.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
OT1 - 0:27.0NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 299
0.1%
107
99.9%
OT1 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
OT1 - 0:35.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
OT1 - 0:41.0NOKPaul Driving Layup (15 PTS)99
0.5%
105
99.5%
OT1 - 0:47.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)97
0.4%
105
99.6%
OT1 - 0:47.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
0.4%
104
99.6%
OT1 - 0:48.0NOKBrown Dunk (24 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)97
0.7%
103
99.3%
OT1 - 0:57.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
0.5%
103
99.5%
OT1 - 0:57.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
0.6%
102
99.4%
OT1 - 1:23NOKNachbar Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
1.3%
101
98.7%
OT1 - 1:23NOKMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 294
1.2%
101
98.8%
OT1 - 1:31NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
1.6%
101
98.4%
OT1 - 1:33NOKMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)94
1.1%
101
98.9%
OT1 - 1:43MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)94
1.9%
101
98.1%
OT1 - 2:02NOKWest 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
4.7%
98
95.3%
OT1 - 2:03NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
3.5%
98
96.5%
OT1 - 2:05NOKMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)92
2.2%
98
97.8%
OT1 - 2:06NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
3.5%
98
96.5%
OT1 - 2:09NOKMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.2%
98
97.8%
OT1 - 2:26MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
3.6%
98
96.4%
OT1 - 2:41NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
4.5%
96
95.5%
OT1 - 2:41NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
4.2%
96
95.8%
OT1 - 2:45NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
3.6%
96
96.4%
OT1 - 2:47MIAMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot90
2.9%
96
97.1%
OT1 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
2.5%
96
97.5%
OT1 - 3:03NOKMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)90
2.9%
96
97.1%
OT1 - 3:17MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)90
4.3%
96
95.7%
OT1 - 3:30NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)90
8.1%
93
91.9%
OT1 - 4:00MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)90
14.5%
93
85.5%
OT1 - 4:22NOKMISS West Layup90
28.5%
90
71.5%
OT1 - 4:29NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)90
26.1%
90
73.9%
OT1 - 4:31NOKMISS Paul 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
28.5%
90
71.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)90
23.7%
90
76.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0NOKMISS West 20' Jump Shot90
30.0%
90
70.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
46.5%
90
53.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
59.2%
88
40.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOKMISS Claxton 22' Jump Shot90
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)90
68.7%
88
31.3%
Q4 - 1:16MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
85.4%
85
14.6%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
89.8%
85
10.2%
Q4 - 1:24NOKClaxton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)90
83.6%
85
16.4%
Q4 - 1:46MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 1:59NOKBrown 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)90
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
86.6%
83
13.4%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
87.6%
82
12.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
83.6%
82
16.4%
Q4 - 2:19NOKMISS Claxton 28' 3PT Jump Shot88
86.3%
82
13.7%
Q4 - 2:40NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
89.2%
82
10.8%
Q4 - 3:00NOKAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 3:00NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 287
79.1%
82
20.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)87
83.6%
82
16.4%
Q4 - 3:29MIAHEAT Rebound87
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q4 - 3:30NOKMISS Claxton Driving Layup87
76.9%
82
23.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
77.0%
82
23.0%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
79.2%
81
20.8%
Q4 - 4:08NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)87
83.0%
80
17.0%
Q4 - 4:25NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
70.6%
80
29.4%
Q4 - 4:27NOKMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot84
64.5%
80
35.5%
Q4 - 4:34NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
70.7%
80
29.3%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
68.1%
80
31.9%
Q4 - 4:43NOKWalker STEAL (2 STL)84
61.8%
80
38.2%
Q4 - 4:54NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot84
68.3%
80
31.7%
Q4 - 5:17NOKBrown Layup (17 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)84
56.3%
80
43.7%
Q4 - 5:20NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
48.3%
80
51.7%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
45.7%
80
54.3%
Q4 - 5:44NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)82
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q4 - 5:52MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)79
25.6%
80
74.4%
Q4 - 6:09NOKAndersen Dunk (8 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)79
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q4 - 6:17NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
24.9%
78
75.1%
Q4 - 6:17NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q4 - 6:39MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)77
24.9%
78
75.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
30.2%
76
69.8%
Q4 - 6:54NOKMISS Claxton 20' Jump Shot77
32.4%
76
67.6%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)77
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q4 - 7:31NOKBrown 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)77
48.7%
73
51.3%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
42.8%
73
57.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q4 - 8:03NOKAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)75
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIAWalker Layup (18 PTS)73
40.8%
71
59.2%
Q4 - 8:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot73
51.5%
69
48.5%
Q4 - 8:43NOKAndersen Tip Shot (4 PTS)73
47.1%
69
52.9%
Q4 - 8:45NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q4 - 8:47NOKMISS Claxton 6' Running Jump Shot71
36.6%
69
63.4%
Q4 - 8:54NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot71
39.0%
69
61.0%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
33.4%
69
66.6%
Q4 - 9:16NOKMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot71
35.2%
69
64.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T11)71
39.3%
69
60.7%
Q4 - 9:55NOKAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)71
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q4 - 9:56NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q4 - 9:57NOKMISS Mason Driving Layup69
25.2%
69
74.8%
Q4 - 10:02NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
28.3%
69
71.7%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot69
26.8%
69
73.2%
Q4 - 10:24MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q4 - 10:26NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot69
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q4 - 10:53MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)69
28.3%
69
71.7%
Q4 - 11:11NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)69
37.6%
66
62.4%
Q4 - 11:11NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
43.1%
66
56.9%
Q4 - 11:12NOKMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)69
39.3%
66
60.7%
Q4 - 11:35NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
43.1%
66
56.9%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
41.4%
66
58.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK69
37.6%
66
62.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKHornets Rebound69
43.1%
66
56.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot69
39.3%
66
60.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
41.3%
66
58.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
39.9%
66
60.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOKBrown Tip Shot (13 PTS)69
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOKMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
30.6%
66
69.4%
Q3 - 1:05NOKClaxton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
20.0%
66
80.0%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 1:39NOKNachbar 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS)64
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 1:40NOKNachbar REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 1:42NOKMISS Nachbar Driving Layup62
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWalker 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 2:27NOKNachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)62
22.6%
62
77.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAWilliams Layup (17 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)59
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 2:51NOKPayton STEAL (1 STL)59
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 3:05MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)59
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q3 - 3:32NOKBrown 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)59
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q3 - 3:42NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot57
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
22.7%
57
77.3%
Q3 - 3:57NOKMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
23.7%
57
76.3%
Q3 - 4:10NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup57
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 4:26NOKNachbar Driving Layup (4 PTS)57
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)55
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q3 - 4:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 4:59NOKMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot55
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q3 - 5:21NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
31.8%
52
68.2%
Q3 - 5:21NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
31.0%
52
69.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 5:41NOKSnyder Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q3 - 5:42NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 5:45NOKMISS Snyder 9' Hook Shot53
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)53
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 6:13NOKNachbar Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)53
34.5%
49
65.5%
Q3 - 6:27MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)53
38.5%
49
61.5%
Q3 - 6:44NOKPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)53
34.6%
49
65.4%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)53
38.6%
49
61.4%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
34.6%
49
65.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot53
37.3%
49
62.7%
Q3 - 7:22NOKWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)53
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q3 - 7:26NOKNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Jump Shot53
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q3 - 7:40NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
33.7%
49
66.3%
Q3 - 7:40NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q3 - 7:41NOKMISS Nachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q3 - 8:01NOKNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
27.2%
49
72.8%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 8:22NOKSnyder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)50
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 8:34NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot47
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Haslem Layup47
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q3 - 8:48NOKWade BLOCK (1 BLK)47
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q3 - 8:52NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup47
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 9:18NOKPaul Layup (8 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)47
16.4%
49
83.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)45
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q3 - 9:25NOKMISS Snyder Layup45
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 9:27NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q3 - 9:29NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot45
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q3 - 9:39MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)45
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q3 - 10:02NOKNachbar Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)45
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q3 - 10:07NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot43
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q3 - 10:25NOKWade STEAL (1 STL)43
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q3 - 10:27NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 10:29NOKMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q3 - 11:05NOKSnyder 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)43
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)41
14.2%
45
85.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q3 - 11:46NOKMISS West Layup41
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKPaul 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOKMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot39
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOKHaslem STEAL (1 STL)39
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
23.8%
38
76.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot39
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 1:57NOKWest 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 2:17NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 2:19NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot37
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 2:34NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 2:42MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 2:44NOKMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot37
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 2:59MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 3:23NOKBrown 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)37
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)35
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 4:06NOKWest Dunk (10 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)35
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 4:15NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot33
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 4:23NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)33
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAHEAT Rebound32
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Mourning 3' Jump Shot32
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 4:35NOKMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)32
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound32
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 5:12NOKMISS Claxton Driving Layup32
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 5:16NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot32
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHEAT Rebound32
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 5:35NOKMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot32
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 5:42NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup32
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 5:56MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q2 - 6:07NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 232
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 6:07NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)31
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
24.2%
28
75.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot31
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 6:53NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 6:57NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q2 - 7:18NOKPaul Driving Layup (3 PTS)31
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 7:33NOKMason Driving Dunk (2 PTS)29
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 7:39NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot27
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 8:02NOKClaxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)27
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 8:14NOKMISS Mason 15' Fadeaway Jumper24
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 8:32MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 8:52NOKBrown 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q2 - 9:04NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Walker 9' Running Jump Shot22
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 9:24NOKVroman Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q2 - 9:24NOKMISS Vroman Free Throw 1 of 221
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 9:28MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
12.0%
26
88.0%
Q2 - 9:44NOKMISS Vroman Free Throw 2 of 221
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q2 - 9:44NOKMISS Vroman Free Throw 1 of 221
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 9:44NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 9:46NOKMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot21
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q2 - 10:00NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot21
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q2 - 10:10NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 10:23NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q2 - 10:37NOKMISS Vroman 8' Running Hook Shot21
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 10:50NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q2 - 11:08NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 221
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q2 - 11:08NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 221
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 11:30MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)21
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Walker 8' Running Jump Shot21
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q2 - 11:40NOKWalker STEAL (1 STL)21
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK21
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOKClaxton Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)21
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0NOKClaxton Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 1:10NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:20NOKMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot17
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 1:34NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound17
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Walker 14' Fadeaway Jumper17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 2:04NOKClaxton Reverse Layup (2 PTS)17
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 2:27MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)15
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 2:49NOKClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 3:18NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot15
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWalker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 3:59NOKWest Dunk (8 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)15
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 4:02NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot13
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 4:13NOKMISS West 17' Fadeaway Jumper13
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWilliams Layup (9 PTS)13
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 4:40NOKWilliams STEAL (1 STL)13
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 213
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 5:08NOKMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:26NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 213
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 5:39NOKMISS West 15' Jump Shot13
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)13
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:18NOKButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)13
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 6:44NOKMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.8%
9
80.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWilliams 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
21.4%
7
78.6%
Q1 - 7:03NOKMISS Nachbar Driving Layup11
21.8%
7
78.2%
Q1 - 7:16NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot11
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 7:38NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)11
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 7:49NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.3%
7
79.7%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup9
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 8:07NOKBrown Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)9
18.8%
7
81.2%
Q1 - 8:21NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
17.8%
7
82.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 8:41NOKSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 8:41NOKSnyder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
17.3%
5
82.7%
Q1 - 8:50NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning Layup4
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 9:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:21NOKWest 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)4
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 9:47MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
3
84.7%
Q1 - 9:49NOKMISS Brown Driving Dunk2
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 10:08NOKNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.1%
3
83.9%
Q1 - 10:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
3
84.7%
Q1 - 10:23NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot2
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
3
84.7%
Q1 - 10:50NOKMISS Snyder 20' Jump Shot2
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 11:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:20NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 11:23NOKHornets Rebound0
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:24NOKMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Brown: Tip to Williams0
16.4%
0
83.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
24
37
65%
MIA
9
22
41%
Midrange
NOK
13
41
32%
MIA
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
NOK
16
25
64%
MIA
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Brown2475%12.0 / 16
C. Paul1653%8.0 / 15
D. West1647%8.0 / 17
B. Nachbar1246%6.0 / 13
S. Claxton1250%6.0 / 12
C. Andersen964%4.5 / 7
K. Snyder750%3.5 / 7
D. Mason319%1.5 / 8
R. Butler220%1.0 / 5
J. Vroman117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2545%12.5 / 28
A. Walker2158%10.5 / 18
J. Williams1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
A. Mourning1063%5.0 / 8
G. Payton956%4.5 / 8
J. Kapono990%4.5 / 5
J. Posey675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
87
+20
-13
107
MIA
88
+12
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
108.0
NOK 102.0
MIA 110.1 +8.1
Pace
89.6
92.2
NOK 96.4 +11.8
MIA 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
NOK 14.9 +2.1
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
51.7%
NOK 46.2%
MIA 50.6% +4.4%
TO %
13.9%
15.0%
NOK 12.6%
MIA 11.1% +1.5%
ORB %
27.0%
26.8%
NOK 36.0% +17.8%
MIA 18.2%
FTrt
33.9
36.3
NOK 26.9
MIA 33.3 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
55.7%
NOK 51.2%
MIA 62.2% +11.0%
STL %
8.3%
6.9%
NOK 7.0% +0.9%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.5%
NOK 3.4%
MIA 7.7% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
53.9%
NOK 47.7%
MIA 54.0% +6.3%
Rim FG%
53.8%
64.2%
NOK 64.9% +24.0%
MIA 40.9%
Mid FG%
39.6%
38.9%
NOK 31.7%
MIA 47.2% +15.5%
3P %
33.9%
34.5%
NOK 26.7%
MIA 42.3% +15.6%
FT %
75.8%
70.0%
NOK 64.0%
MIA 85.7% +21.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
39.3%
NOK 39.8% +13.6%
MIA 26.2%
Mid Att. %
49.3%
38.0%
NOK 44.1%
MIA 42.9% +1.2%
3P Att. %
13.8%
22.7%
NOK 16.1%
MIA 31.0% +14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsNOKMIA
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.928.1
Points102109
Rebounds5440
Assists2123
Steals76
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals41-9337-84
At-the-Rim FG24-379-22
Midrange FG13-4117-36
2-Point FG37-7826-58
3-Point FG4-1511-26
Free Throws16-2524-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
43.8
16
53%
2
10
1
0
2
4
1
1
6-7
86%
5-11
45%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 239 · 36
43.0
24
75%
12
1
2
0
1
3
5
7
2-2
100%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
39.6
16
47%
10
2
2
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 25
23.9
12
46%
5
1
0
0
3
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 225 · 22
12.4
7
50%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 5'11" 170 · 28
34.5
12
50%
6
5
2
0
3
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 222 · 28
29.1
3
19%
9
1
0
0
1
3
1
8
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27
17.3
9
64%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
1-4
25%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
15.4
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
6.1
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 214 · 26
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
#23 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'11" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
102
48%
54
21
7
2
13
0
18
36
16-25
64%
37-78
47%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.