FinalWin Prob.pScore
1340%94
102
1760%97
103
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
102.0100102.3
MIL logo MIL
104.09996.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL102
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILWilliams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)102
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)102
92.5%
100
7.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)102
97.8%
100
2.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMISS O'Neal Layup102
94.8%
100
5.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2102
83.8%
100
16.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
92.0%
100
8.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILRedd Free Throw 3 of 3 (28 PTS)101
82.4%
100
17.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 3 (27 PTS)101
84.5%
99
15.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 3 (26 PTS)101
86.6%
98
13.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
96.1%
97
3.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2100
95.5%
97
4.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)100
96.7%
97
3.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Williams Layup100
95.4%
97
4.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
86.4%
97
13.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 299
84.2%
97
15.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)99
88.2%
97
11.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
96.5%
94
3.5%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 298
95.9%
94
4.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILBogut 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)98
97.1%
94
2.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Redd Layup98
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMISS Redd 8' Jump Shot98
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
97.5%
92
2.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 298
97.7%
92
2.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 298
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
98.6%
91
1.4%
Q4 - 1:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 1:01INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 298
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 1:01INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 298
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 1:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 1:13MILMISS Simmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 1:22INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)98
97.8%
90
2.2%
Q4 - 1:22INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 297
97.5%
90
2.5%
Q4 - 1:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 1:23MILFord REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)97
96.2%
90
3.8%
Q4 - 1:23MILMISS Ford Dunk97
97.5%
90
2.5%
Q4 - 1:25MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot97
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 1:33INDBogut STEAL (1 STL)97
95.4%
90
4.6%
Q4 - 1:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
96.7%
90
3.3%
Q4 - 1:52MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
96.2%
90
3.8%
Q4 - 2:01INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
93.8%
90
6.2%
Q4 - 2:01INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 296
93.4%
90
6.6%
Q4 - 2:08MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
94.8%
90
5.2%
Q4 - 2:08MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
95.1%
89
4.9%
Q4 - 2:22INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T16)96
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 2:46MILFord Layup (19 PTS)96
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 2:50INDFord STEAL (2 STL)96
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 3:00MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)96
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 3:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 3:07INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot96
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 3:29MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 3:29MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 3:29MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)96
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:31MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 3:39INDJones Dunk (16 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)96
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:42MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)94
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 4:03INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 4:03INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 4:09MILWilliams 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)92
97.5%
82
2.5%
Q4 - 4:15MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 4:17INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot92
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 4:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 292
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 4:39MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 4:50INDMagloire STEAL (1 STL)92
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 4:54MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)92
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 4:56MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 4:58MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot92
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 5:15INDO'Neal Layup (26 PTS)92
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 5:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
97.1%
79
2.9%
Q4 - 5:19INDMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot90
96.4%
79
3.6%
Q4 - 5:33INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 5:35MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot90
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q4 - 5:47INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)90
96.1%
79
3.9%
Q4 - 6:04MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
92.8%
79
7.2%
Q4 - 6:04MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 288
93.2%
78
6.8%
Q4 - 6:04MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)88
92.4%
78
7.6%
Q4 - 6:06MILMISS Magloire Hook Shot88
94.0%
78
6.0%
Q4 - 6:27INDO'Neal 8' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
92.5%
78
7.5%
Q4 - 6:45MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)86
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q4 - 6:49MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)86
87.2%
78
12.8%
Q4 - 6:51INDMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 7:12INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
88.3%
78
11.7%
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot86
87.3%
78
12.7%
Q4 - 7:23MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
84.8%
78
15.2%
Q4 - 7:24INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 286
85.3%
78
14.7%
Q4 - 7:24INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 7:39MILFord 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
85.3%
78
14.7%
Q4 - 7:54INDJasikevicius Foul Turnover (P2.T13)85
88.1%
76
11.9%
Q4 - 8:08INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
88.9%
76
11.1%
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 285
88.5%
76
11.5%
Q4 - 8:09MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
86.8%
76
13.2%
Q4 - 8:09MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)85
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q4 - 8:11MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
90.5%
75
9.5%
Q4 - 8:26INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q4 - 8:26INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)84
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 8:41MILMagloire Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T18)83
86.3%
75
13.7%
Q4 - 9:00INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
82.9%
75
17.1%
Q4 - 9:00INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
82.1%
75
17.9%
Q4 - 9:03MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)81
77.1%
75
22.9%
Q4 - 9:13MILBUCKS Rebound81
72.4%
75
27.6%
Q4 - 9:13MILMISS Simmons 10' Jump Shot81
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q4 - 9:25MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
72.4%
75
27.6%
Q4 - 9:28INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q4 - 9:56MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
77.2%
75
22.8%
Q4 - 9:56MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
78.5%
74
21.5%
Q4 - 9:57MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 9:58MILMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot81
83.6%
73
16.4%
Q4 - 10:11MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
79.1%
73
20.9%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Pollard 16' Jump Shot81
80.3%
73
19.7%
Q4 - 10:21INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
82.9%
73
17.1%
Q4 - 10:24MILMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot81
81.9%
73
18.1%
Q4 - 10:40INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
79.2%
73
20.8%
Q4 - 10:40INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
78.4%
73
21.6%
Q4 - 10:40INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
75.6%
73
24.4%
Q4 - 10:40INDMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
72.3%
73
27.7%
Q4 - 10:48INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
75.6%
73
24.4%
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot79
74.2%
73
25.8%
Q4 - 11:06INDWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)79
69.5%
73
30.5%
Q4 - 11:21MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q4 - 11:21MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
60.6%
72
39.4%
Q4 - 11:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
64.7%
71
35.3%
Q4 - 11:23MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot76
68.2%
71
31.8%
Q4 - 11:41INDWorld Peace Dunk (15 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)76
64.7%
71
35.3%
Q4 - 11:47MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)74
59.9%
71
40.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
54.3%
71
45.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSimmons 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
59.9%
71
40.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
64.8%
69
35.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Ford 29' 3PT Jump Shot74
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)74
63.6%
69
36.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDJones 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)74
63.7%
69
36.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)72
58.8%
69
41.2%
Q3 - 1:07MILBUCKS Rebound72
66.7%
66
33.3%
Q3 - 1:09INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot72
68.1%
66
31.9%
Q3 - 1:25MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P3.T15)72
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q3 - 1:42INDJackson 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)72
66.8%
66
33.2%
Q3 - 1:58MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)69
57.8%
66
42.2%
Q3 - 2:17INDJones 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
60.6%
64
39.4%
Q3 - 2:34MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)67
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q3 - 2:49INDJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)67
65.0%
61
35.0%
Q3 - 2:49INDJones Layup (9 PTS)66
60.7%
61
39.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)64
55.9%
61
44.1%
Q3 - 3:26INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q3 - 3:39MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
42.5%
61
57.5%
Q3 - 3:39MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
43.2%
60
56.8%
Q3 - 3:42MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)61
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q3 - 3:44INDMISS Jackson Layup61
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 3:49MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
51.5%
59
48.5%
Q3 - 3:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q3 - 4:01INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot61
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q3 - 4:15INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
50.8%
59
49.2%
Q3 - 4:17MILMISS Magloire Layup61
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 4:19MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 4:20MILMISS Redd Layup61
49.3%
59
50.7%
Q3 - 4:41INDJasikevicius Foul Turnover (P1.T12)61
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q3 - 4:48MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
50.9%
59
49.1%
Q3 - 4:48MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
51.7%
58
48.3%
Q3 - 5:00MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
54.6%
57
45.4%
Q3 - 5:02INDMISS Croshere Layup61
55.5%
57
44.5%
Q3 - 5:25MILWelsch 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)61
58.5%
57
41.5%
Q3 - 5:32MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
62.2%
55
37.8%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 261
62.8%
55
37.2%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 261
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q3 - 5:38MILWelsch Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)61
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 5:59INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P4.T11)61
62.2%
55
37.8%
Q3 - 6:07MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 6:07MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
65.6%
54
34.4%
Q3 - 6:09MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 6:12INDMagloire BLOCK (5 BLK)61
69.5%
53
30.5%
Q3 - 6:14MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
72.0%
53
28.0%
Q3 - 6:16MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 6:17MILMISS Welsch Layup61
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 6:25MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 6:27INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 261
68.9%
53
31.1%
Q3 - 6:27INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
71.3%
53
28.7%
Q3 - 6:43MILMagloire Tip Shot (7 PTS)60
68.7%
53
31.3%
Q3 - 6:44MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)60
71.8%
51
28.2%
Q3 - 6:48MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot60
74.2%
51
25.8%
Q3 - 7:00INDFord STEAL (1 STL)60
71.9%
51
28.1%
Q3 - 7:20MILSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)60
74.0%
51
26.0%
Q3 - 7:22MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
70.4%
51
29.6%
Q3 - 7:25MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot60
73.0%
51
27.0%
Q3 - 7:27MILBUCKS Rebound60
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 7:28MILMISS Ford Layup60
73.0%
51
27.0%
Q3 - 7:37MILBUCKS Rebound60
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 7:37INDMagloire BLOCK (4 BLK)60
71.6%
51
28.4%
Q3 - 7:59MILMagloire 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)60
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 8:02MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)60
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 8:03MILMISS Simmons Layup60
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q3 - 8:19MILBUCKS Rebound60
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 8:20INDMagloire BLOCK (3 BLK)60
76.8%
49
23.2%
Q3 - 8:37INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 8:38MILMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot60
78.0%
49
22.0%
Q3 - 9:05INDJackson 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
74.6%
49
25.4%
Q3 - 9:22MILSmith 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)58
71.9%
49
28.1%
Q3 - 9:34MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
74.7%
47
25.3%
Q3 - 9:36INDMISS O'Neal Layup58
75.6%
47
24.4%
Q3 - 9:50MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 9:50MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 258
77.9%
46
22.1%
Q3 - 9:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
77.5%
46
22.5%
Q3 - 9:54INDMISS O'Neal Layup58
78.3%
46
21.7%
Q3 - 9:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
80.0%
46
20.0%
Q3 - 9:59INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)58
78.3%
46
21.7%
Q3 - 10:22MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)58
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q3 - 10:40INDO'Neal Layup (19 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)58
81.0%
44
19.0%
Q3 - 11:05MILSimmons Layup (8 PTS)56
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q3 - 11:10INDSimmons STEAL (1 STL)56
80.1%
42
19.9%
Q3 - 11:20MILFord 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
82.3%
42
17.7%
Q3 - 11:37INDWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)56
84.2%
40
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
86.1%
40
13.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound56
84.2%
40
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Welsch 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
83.3%
40
16.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot56
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 156
84.5%
40
15.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot56
87.1%
38
12.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
87.8%
38
12.2%
Q2 - 1:08INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
88.9%
36
11.1%
Q2 - 1:08INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
88.6%
36
11.4%
Q2 - 1:20INDPacers Rebound54
86.9%
36
13.1%
Q2 - 1:21MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot54
86.7%
36
13.3%
Q2 - 1:37INDJones Dunk (4 PTS)54
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q2 - 1:41MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)52
83.7%
36
16.3%
Q2 - 1:48MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
82.7%
36
17.3%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS World Peace Layup52
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 1:52INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
83.7%
36
16.3%
Q2 - 1:54INDMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)52
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 2:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 252
82.8%
36
17.2%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 252
81.5%
36
18.5%
Q2 - 2:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
81.3%
36
18.7%
Q2 - 2:20INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot52
81.9%
36
18.1%
Q2 - 2:37INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
83.1%
36
16.9%
Q2 - 2:39MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
82.6%
36
17.4%
Q2 - 2:55INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
81.4%
36
18.6%
Q2 - 3:14INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
77.9%
36
22.1%
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Magloire 3' Hook Shot50
77.2%
36
22.8%
Q2 - 3:25INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 3:29MILSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)50
78.0%
36
22.0%
Q2 - 3:55INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
75.7%
36
24.3%
Q2 - 3:56INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
78.1%
36
21.9%
Q2 - 3:58INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
76.4%
36
23.6%
Q2 - 4:16INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
76.6%
36
23.4%
Q2 - 4:17MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot50
76.0%
36
24.0%
Q2 - 4:44INDWorld Peace Running Dunk (13 PTS)50
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 5:05MILFord 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)48
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 5:08INDJackson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)48
75.8%
33
24.2%
Q2 - 5:08MILBUCKS Rebound47
73.7%
33
26.3%
Q2 - 5:08MILMISS Ford Layup47
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 5:14INDWorld Peace Layup (11 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)47
73.7%
33
26.3%
Q2 - 5:17INDPacers Rebound45
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 5:17INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)45
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q2 - 5:24MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)45
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 5:42INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
69.2%
33
30.8%
Q2 - 5:42INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 244
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 5:57MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
69.3%
33
30.7%
Q2 - 5:57MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 244
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 6:15INDO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)44
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 6:22MILMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
66.3%
32
33.7%
Q2 - 6:23MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
63.3%
32
36.7%
Q2 - 6:26MILMISS Simmons Layup42
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q2 - 6:40INDJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)42
63.3%
32
36.7%
Q2 - 6:47MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
66.3%
32
33.7%
Q2 - 6:47MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
66.7%
31
33.3%
Q2 - 7:04INDJones Palming Turnover (P2.T4)42
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 7:17MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
69.7%
30
30.3%
Q2 - 7:17MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 7:23MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 7:25INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 7:38INDPacers Rebound42
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 7:39INDMISS Croshere 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
72.4%
28
27.6%
Q2 - 7:52MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 8:09MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
75.1%
26
24.9%
Q2 - 8:11INDMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot42
75.7%
26
24.3%
Q2 - 8:28MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
77.2%
26
22.8%
Q2 - 8:52INDJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
75.1%
26
24.9%
Q2 - 9:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
70.3%
26
29.7%
Q2 - 9:05MILMISS Redd Layup39
69.6%
26
30.4%
Q2 - 9:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 9:20INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot39
68.7%
26
31.3%
Q2 - 9:40MILWilliams Layup (6 PTS)39
70.4%
26
29.6%
Q2 - 9:45INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)39
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q2 - 9:47INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
74.5%
24
25.5%
Q2 - 9:50MILMISS Magloire Layup39
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 10:06INDJasikevicius 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)39
71.7%
24
28.3%
Q2 - 10:13MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)36
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q2 - 10:19INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 10:39MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
63.3%
24
36.7%
Q2 - 10:45MILBUCKS Rebound34
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 10:46MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 10:46MILMISS Magloire Tip Shot34
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q2 - 10:47MILMISS Magloire Layup34
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q2 - 10:48MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
65.3%
22
34.7%
Q2 - 10:49MILMISS Redd Layup34
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q2 - 11:04INDWorld Peace Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)34
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 11:14INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
62.2%
22
37.8%
Q2 - 11:16MILMISS Simmons 12' Jump Shot32
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 11:39MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
60.0%
22
40.0%
Q2 - 11:42INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot32
60.7%
22
39.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND32
62.3%
22
37.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
62.3%
22
37.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot32
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 232
59.8%
22
40.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)31
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDJasikevicius 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)31
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 1:12INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 1:14MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Jump Shot29
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 1:37INDWorld Peace Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
57.2%
20
42.8%
Q1 - 1:40INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 1:42INDMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot27
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 1:48INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 1:49MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
52.5%
20
47.5%
Q1 - 1:49MILMISS Ford Layup27
53.8%
20
46.2%
Q1 - 1:51MILMISS Smith 3' Layup27
53.8%
20
46.2%
Q1 - 2:03INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 2:03INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 2:11INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 2:12MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 125
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q1 - 2:16MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
52.3%
18
47.7%
Q1 - 2:18INDMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot25
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 2:30MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 2:45MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
52.3%
18
47.7%
Q1 - 2:47INDMISS World Peace Layup25
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 3:03INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 3:04MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 225
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q1 - 3:04MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 225
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 3:16INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 3:30INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 3:32MILMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot22
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 3:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 3:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 3:56MILWelsch 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)20
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 4:10MILBUCKS Rebound20
44.1%
16
55.9%
Q1 - 4:11INDMISS Jackson Layup20
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 4:20INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 4:22MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot20
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 4:35INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
44.1%
16
55.9%
Q1 - 4:48MILFord 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)17
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 4:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 4:59INDMISS World Peace 8' Jump Shot17
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 5:18INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:20MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot17
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 5:35INDO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)17
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 5:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:35INDMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)17
42.2%
14
57.8%
Q1 - 5:57MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)17
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 6:07INDO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)17
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 6:31MILSimmons 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)15
43.3%
12
56.7%
Q1 - 6:47INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
45.2%
10
54.8%
Q1 - 7:06MILBogut 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 7:25INDWorld Peace Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)13
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 7:42INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot11
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 8:02MILRedd 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 8:25INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:25INDPollard Tip Shot (5 PTS)11
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 8:27INDMISS Johnson Layup9
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 8:32MILMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 8:44INDPollard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 8:59MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)6
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:04MILBUCKS Rebound6
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot6
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 9:20INDJackson Layup (4 PTS)6
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 9:24MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 9:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 9:32INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot4
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:50MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)4
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:10INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:20INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:22MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot4
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:30MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:32INDMISS World Peace Layup4
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:47MILMagloire Layup (2 PTS)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:48MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 10:48MILMISS Bogut Layup4
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 10:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 10:51MILMISS Ford Layup4
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 10:59INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 10:59INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:11INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:14MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:29INDJackson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:44INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:46MILMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. O'Neal: Tip to Bogut0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
37
49%
MIL
11
33
33%
Midrange
IND
10
24
42%
MIL
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
31
47
66%
MIL
28
39
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2748%13.5 / 28
M. World Peace2457%12.0 / 21
S. Jackson2067%10.0 / 15
F. Jones1761%8.5 / 14
S. Jasikevicius9113%4.5 / 4
S. Pollard563%2.5 / 4
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 5
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2848%14.0 / 29
T. Ford1956%9.5 / 17
M. Williams1979%9.5 / 12
B. Simmons1233%6.0 / 18
J. Magloire938%4.5 / 12
A. Bogut880%4.0 / 5
J. Smith425%2.0 / 8
J. Welsch450%2.0 / 4
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+12
-17
95
MIL
78
+28
-21
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
105.9
IND 102.0
MIL 104.0 +2.0
Pace
90.1
91.6
IND 102.3 +5.6
MIL 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.6
IND 14.1 +0.8
MIL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
49.2%
IND 48.6% +6.5%
MIL 42.1%
TO %
16.3%
15.2%
IND 15.4% +1.1%
MIL 16.5%
ORB %
27.1%
27.4%
IND 24.4%
MIL 41.5% +17.1%
FTrt
34.4
32.2
IND 64.4 +20.6
MIL 43.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
59.4%
IND 57.6% +9.0%
MIL 48.6%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
IND 18.0% +11.9%
MIL 6.1%
BLK %
7.5%
5.4%
IND 11.8% +0.3%
MIL 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.0%
IND 52.6% +5.4%
MIL 47.2%
Rim FG%
57.7%
54.9%
IND 48.6% +15.3%
MIL 33.3%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.6%
IND 41.7%
MIL 44.2% +2.5%
3P %
34.9%
38.0%
IND 41.7% +3.2%
MIL 38.5%
FT %
73.7%
73.8%
IND 66.0%
MIL 71.8% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
39.7%
IND 50.7% +13.6%
MIL 37.1%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
40.0%
IND 32.9% +15.4%
MIL 48.3%
3P Att. %
24.5%
20.3%
IND 16.4% +1.8%
MIL 14.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points102103
Rebounds4153
Assists1917
Steals186
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)22 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (4)
Field Goals33-7335-89
At-the-Rim FG18-3711-33
Midrange FG10-2419-43
2-Point FG28-6130-76
3-Point FG5-125-13
Free Throws31-4728-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
39.6
27
48%
10
4
1
4
2
5
4
6
7-9
78%
10-24
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
39.1
24
57%
6
1
4
1
4
5
2
4
9-14
64%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'8" 220 · 28
35.9
20
67%
6
4
2
2
1
2
1
5
6-10
60%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
33.5
0
0%
0
3
1
1
5
4
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 278 · 31
23.9
5
63%
6
0
3
0
0
4
2
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 27
31.1
17
61%
5
5
4
1
3
3
0
5
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
· 6'4" 197 · 30
20.0
9
113%
4
1
2
0
2
4
0
4
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 240 · 31
15.3
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23
F · 7'0" 230 · 25
F · 6'9" 260 · 30
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
53%
41
19
18
9
17
0
10
31
31-47
66%
28-61
46%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.