FinalWin Prob.pScore
3014%87
99
1086%101
108
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
96.1103121.0
MIA logo MIA
104.910389.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA99
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0CHARobinson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABarron Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T27)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHAMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)97
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHARobinson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T26)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHAMay Dunk (18 PTS) (Burleson 2 AST)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWalsh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T25)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08CHAAnderson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Walsh Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Walsh Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHAMISS May Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHAMay Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHABobcats Rebound90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43CHABurleson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T24)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10CHAMay Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIASimien Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T23)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31CHAMay Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31CHAMay Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23CHABrezec Layup (11 PTS) (May 5 AST)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59CHABrezec 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Burleson 1 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41CHABurleson Layup (8 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T21)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04CHABrezec Layup (7 PTS) (May 4 AST)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29CHAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29CHAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49CHAMISS Rush 6' Running Jump Shot72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32CHABurleson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAPayton 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55CHAMISS May 12' Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04CHARush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Walker Layup69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Simien 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36CHAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36CHAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41CHARush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43CHAMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05CHAMISS Voskuhl Layup67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13MIASimien Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:33CHAVoskuhl Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05CHABurleson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20CHAMISS Burleson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38CHABobcats Rebound64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50CHAMISS Robinson Layup64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHEAT Rebound64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:44CHAMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Walker Layup64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:28CHAMay Dunk (10 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS May 6' Running Jump Shot62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (20 PTS)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHAVoskuhl 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0CHAMISS Felton Layup60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:37CHAAnderson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)60
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:51CHABobcats Rebound58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:06CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:06CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 257
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)57
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:34CHAMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot57
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)57
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 2:57CHAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot57
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWalker Layup (8 PTS)57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 3:27MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Walker 7' Fadeaway Jumper57
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 3:49CHAVoskuhl 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)57
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)55
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 4:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 4:04CHAMISS Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot55
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 4:24CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)55
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 4:37CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot55
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 4:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 4:52CHAPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)55
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 5:01MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 5:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 5:21CHAMISS Carroll 22' Jump Shot55
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 5:48CHARush 6' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 5:59CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 6:08CHAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)53
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 6:10CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 6:12CHAMISS Knight 16' Jump Shot53
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)53
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 6:41CHARush Foul Turnover (P1.T5)53
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 7:18CHAMISS Okafor 17' Jump Shot53
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 7:27CHARush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot53
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 7:43CHARush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)53
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)50
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 8:29CHACarroll Tip Shot (8 PTS)50
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 8:30CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 8:32CHAMISS Knight 9' Jump Shot48
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 8:58CHABobcats Rebound48
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot48
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 9:12CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 248
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 9:12CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)47
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot47
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 9:50CHAKnight 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)45
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade Layup45
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q3 - 10:32CHARush Reverse Layup (10 PTS)45
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q3 - 10:36CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot43
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 10:50CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)43
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 10:50CHABobcats Rebound43
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 10:50CHAMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)43
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 10:54CHABobcats Rebound43
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 10:55CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)43
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)43
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q3 - 11:33CHAMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot43
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA43
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHAMISS May 21' Jump Shot43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHABobcats Rebound43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHAKapono BLOCK (1 BLK)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Haslem 12' Turnaround Jump Shot43
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:05CHAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 1:17CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 243
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 243
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:38MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:40CHAMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 243
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:40CHABrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 1:40CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:42CHAMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 1:47CHARobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 2:08CHAMay 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)42
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 2:26CHABobcats Rebound40
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 2:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)40
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 2:37CHAMISS Okafor 11' Jump Shot40
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 2:46MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)40
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 3:06CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 240
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 3:06CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 3:08CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Payton Layup39
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 3:24CHAKnight 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)37
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
1.7%
55
98.3%
Q2 - 3:49CHAMISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot37
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q2 - 3:56CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Walker Layup37
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 4:15CHARobinson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)37
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound37
2.3%
53
97.7%
Q2 - 4:46CHAMISS Carroll 6' Jump Shot37
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 5:08MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
2.9%
51
97.1%
Q2 - 5:23CHAMISS Okafor 7' Turnaround Jump Shot37
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q2 - 5:34CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade Dunk37
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 5:50CHARobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)37
2.9%
51
97.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)37
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 6:15CHARobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 6:39CHAMISS Rush 19' Turnaround Jump Shot35
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)35
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 7:16CHAMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot35
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)35
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 7:58CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 7:58CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)33
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 8:19CHAMISS Okafor 17' Jump Shot33
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 8:32CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade Dunk33
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 8:54CHAOkafor Foul Turnover (P1.T1)33
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)33
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 9:26CHAMISS May 17' Jump Shot33
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)33
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 10:09CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 10:09CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 232
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)32
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 10:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
7.2%
38
92.8%
Q2 - 10:16CHAMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)32
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
9.5%
35
90.5%
Q2 - 10:57CHAMISS Okafor 7' Hook Shot32
9.8%
35
90.2%
Q2 - 11:08MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)32
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 11:28CHARush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (May 3 AST)32
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 11:32CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 11:33CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 229
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 11:33CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 11:50CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 11:50CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 227
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA27
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound27
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Felton 45' 3PT Jump Shot27
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)27
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAMay Dunk (6 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)27
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)25
5.4%
35
94.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAMay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHAMay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHAMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 223
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHAMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 223
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
4.6%
34
95.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
5.1%
33
94.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHAMISS Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot23
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 1:02MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)23
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 1:10CHAMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 1:16CHAMay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Williams Layup23
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 1:40CHACarroll 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (May 2 AST)23
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIASimien Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)20
5.0%
31
95.0%
Q1 - 2:15CHAMay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
5.5%
29
94.5%
Q1 - 2:15CHAMay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
5.4%
29
94.6%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)18
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 2:37CHAMISS Voskuhl Layup18
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 2:46CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.0%
27
94.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 218
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
5.5%
27
94.5%
Q1 - 2:53CHAMISS Carroll Layup18
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
6.2%
26
93.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 3:18CHAMISS Bogans 21' Jump Shot18
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 3:33MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q1 - 3:49CHAVoskuhl Dunk (2 PTS) (May 1 AST)18
7.8%
23
92.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
7.1%
23
92.9%
Q1 - 4:22CHACarroll Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)16
6.5%
23
93.5%
Q1 - 4:27MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.5%
23
94.5%
Q1 - 4:38CHAMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot14
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 5:00CHAKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
7.0%
20
93.0%
Q1 - 5:00CHAMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 213
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 5:00CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
7.2%
20
92.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot13
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
6.5%
20
93.5%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot13
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
6.5%
20
93.5%
Q1 - 5:24CHAMISS Rush 20' Jump Shot13
6.7%
20
93.3%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS)13
7.1%
20
92.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot13
8.0%
18
92.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade Layup13
8.0%
18
92.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 6:00CHAMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)13
7.8%
18
92.2%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS)13
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
9.3%
16
90.7%
Q1 - 6:34CHARush Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 6:38CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot10
7.5%
16
92.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7.1%
16
92.9%
Q1 - 6:46CHAMISS Brezec Layup10
7.2%
16
92.8%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7.1%
16
92.9%
Q1 - 7:02CHAMISS Brezec 4' Hook Shot10
7.3%
16
92.7%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
7.7%
16
92.3%
Q1 - 7:34CHABrezec 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)10
8.2%
14
91.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:58CHAMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)8
8.6%
12
91.4%
Q1 - 8:23CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 8:23CHABrezec Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 8:24CHAMISS Rush Layup6
8.2%
10
91.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 26
8.9%
9
91.1%
Q1 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 8:46CHAMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
8.8%
9
91.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 9:25CHAKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
8.4%
9
91.6%
Q1 - 9:25CHAKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
8.4%
9
91.6%
Q1 - 9:27CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.0%
9
92.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.8%
9
92.2%
Q1 - 9:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7.3%
9
92.7%
Q1 - 9:40CHAMISS Okafor 17' Jump Shot4
7.5%
9
92.5%
Q1 - 9:59MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
8.0%
9
92.0%
Q1 - 10:20CHAKnight 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.1%
6
90.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)2
8.5%
6
91.5%
Q1 - 10:57CHARush 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)2
9.0%
4
91.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
8.5%
4
91.5%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 20
8.7%
3
91.3%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.5%
3
91.5%
Q1 - 11:18CHAMISS Okafor 7' Jump Shot0
8.7%
3
91.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
9.1%
3
90.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Okafor: Tip to Williams0
10.4%
0
89.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
32
50%
MIA
17
27
63%
Midrange
CHA
12
41
29%
MIA
16
28
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
CHA
25
36
69%
MIA
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. May1869%9.0 / 13
K. Rush1550%7.5 / 15
P. Brezec1155%5.5 / 10
K. Burleson11110%5.5 / 5
B. Knight950%4.5 / 9
A. Anderson850%4.0 / 8
M. Carroll850%4.0 / 8
E. Okafor625%3.0 / 12
J. Voskuhl643%3.0 / 7
B. Robinson643%3.0 / 7
R. Felton113%0.5 / 4
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2273%11.0 / 15
D. Wade1950%9.5 / 19
A. Mourning1680%8.0 / 10
U. Haslem1470%7.0 / 10
A. Walker1243%6.0 / 14
J. Kapono9113%4.5 / 4
J. Posey6100%3.0 / 3
G. Payton450%2.0 / 4
W. Simien467%2.0 / 3
D. Wright233%1.0 / 3
M. Walsh0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
95
+12
-8
107
MIA
77
+11
-26
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
108.0
CHA 96.1 +8.7
MIA 104.9
Pace
93.4
92.2
CHA 121.0 +31.3
MIA 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.9
CHA 11.9 +4.2
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
51.7%
CHA 42.5%
MIA 62.8% +20.3%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
CHA 8.0% +16.2%
MIA 24.2%
ORB %
27.2%
26.8%
CHA 15.1%
MIA 35.5% +20.4%
FTrt
31.9
36.3
CHA 41.4 +9.0
MIA 32.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
55.7%
CHA 61.8%
MIA 61.9% +0.1%
STL %
10.6%
6.9%
CHA 19.4% +16.5%
MIA 2.9%
BLK %
6.9%
8.5%
CHA 9.1%
MIA 9.6% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.59 and 3.59.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
53.9%
CHA 45.8%
MIA 61.4% +15.6%
Rim FG%
55.0%
64.2%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 63.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.9%
CHA 29.3%
MIA 57.1% +27.8%
3P %
33.9%
34.5%
CHA 42.9%
MIA 47.4% +4.5%
FT %
72.9%
70.0%
CHA 69.4% +6.9%
MIA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
39.3%
CHA 36.8% +0.3%
MIA 36.5%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
38.0%
CHA 47.1%
MIA 37.8% +9.3%
3P Att. %
18.4%
22.7%
CHA 16.1%
MIA 25.7% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes20.427.6
Points99108
Rebounds2856
Assists2126
Steals203
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)26 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (5)45 (2)
Field Goals34-8742-74
At-the-Rim FG16-3217-27
Midrange FG12-4116-28
2-Point FG28-7333-55
3-Point FG6-149-19
Free Throws25-3615-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
28.3
15
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-3
33%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
26.9
11
55%
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 166 · 30
26.4
9
50%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 23
22.2
6
25%
4
0
1
3
1
2
0
4
6-10
60%
0-7
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 215 · 26
16.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22
27.6
18
69%
5
5
5
1
0
1
1
4
8-9
89%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
19.1
8
50%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 28
16.6
6
43%
2
1
0
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25
16.0
6
43%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 212 · 25
14.7
8
50%
4
0
3
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 205 · 21
13.3
1
13%
2
2
3
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
12.0
11
110%
0
2
3
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
#2 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'7" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 230 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
46%
28
21
20
5
8
0
8
20
25-36
69%
28-73
38%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.