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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies60%9885
28Hawks40%9584
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.2
40.6
28.7
22
59%
8
5
1
1
0
2
5
3
4-6
67%
9-13
2-5
69%
50%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
38.2
33.2
20
61%
9
2
0
1
4
4
1
8
8-10
80%
6-12
7-14
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.1
36.3
30.9
14
50%
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
4-8
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
35.0
19.5
17
61%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
30.7
22.4
4
67%
4
3
1
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.7
26.4
28.4
5
26%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.7
12.9
4.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
7.7
16.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.3
6.8
9.0
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
4.3
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
1.1
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.2
24.6
1
2-5
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.4
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
44.0
39.3
17
39%
6
12
3
1
0
3
4
2
2-2
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.8
34.6
32.4
10
34%
12
1
1
1
2
1
6
6
6-8
75%
2-11
4-9
18%
45%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
24.9
35.0
6
27%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
7-14
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
22.5
23.9
7
44%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.4
11.0
24.0
2
35%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.9
31.6
18.8
14
60%
10
1
0
1
2
1
0
10
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
27.3
24.1
10
71%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.4
19.2
27.0
12
87%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
46%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.3
13.4
8.3
6
47%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.2
6.5
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
2.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.9
2.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.