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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks26%9484
14Warriors74%10286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.7
40.4
36.7
22
59%
7
4
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-4
25%
9-13
4-10
69%
47%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.6
38.7
28.8
21
59%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
43%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.6
36.5
22.8
9
50%
7
0
2
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
1-4
25%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.0
26.6
21.8
6
51%
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.9
24.9
25.5
12
60%
11
2
1
0
0
2
3
8
6-7
86%
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.5
19.8
17.0
8
40%
4
0
3
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.0
17.3
15.7
4
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.3
16.9
12.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.4
9.2
21.9
0
0%
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.0
7.4
13.0
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.4
2.3
13.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
38%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
14.0
0
2-4
45%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.7
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 20.7
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
43.5
36.5
24
51%
3
6
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-6
50%
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
3-9
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
40.6
32.4
19
80%
11
2
0
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
45%
3-5
60%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.7
35.5
25.4
5
36%
8
0
2
0
4
0
3
5
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.6
34.0
30.3
12
40%
6
12
0
2
0
3
0
6
5-7
71%
2-8
3-7
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.2
22.4
32.7
4
27%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.3
24.1
23.8
6
47%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
1-5
20%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
21.5
20.7
10
51%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.7
12.6
14.0
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.5
5.0
12.1
4
106%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Miles
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
1.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
6.5
0
1-2
46%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.0
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.