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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23SuperSonics35%9796
18Wizards65%102137
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
35.0
21.7
17
54%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
48%
2-4
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
33.9
34.8
17
49%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
8-8
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
47%
1-9
11%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
30.1
29.7
16
64%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
8-8
100%
1-7
2-6
14%
41%
2-2
100%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.6
27.4
14.9
6
51%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.5
18.8
18.3
10
52%
9
2
1
1
0
1
7
2
2-6
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
22.7
16.4
14
50%
5
4
0
1
0
4
2
3
1-2
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
15.2
24.2
2
18%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.0
13.5
5.3
3
52%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.2
13.2
10.4
2
25%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.0
11.6
21.3
5
66%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.8
11.1
21.7
4
69%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
46%
1-2
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.6
7.5
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.4
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 19.9
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
30.9
39.8
32
84%
0
7
1
2
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
7-9
5-12
78%
47%
4-7
57%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
27.3
35.3
19
59%
11
3
2
1
0
2
1
10
5-5
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.7
24.6
15.1
10
69%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.0
24.4
30.5
12
89%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-4
50%
5-5
4-7
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
18.9
21.8
2
53%
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
25.3
25.7
10
71%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.7
21.7
28.6
24
64%
6
5
2
1
0
2
2
4
6-6
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.2
21.6
18.0
5
47%
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
16.0
14.4
5
64%
7
1
0
0
0
1
5
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.6
14.4
1.3
13
75%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-6
50%
5-6
0-0
83%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
7.5
3.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.2
7.5
2.5
5
56%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.5
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.