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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz57%9599
28Raptors43%9284
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
41.4
36.1
9
59%
6
7
1
2
3
4
0
6
3-6
50%
3-4
5-10
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
36.5
28.1
29
70%
12
0
2
1
0
0
4
8
9-11
82%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
24.0
24.8
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
17.4
17.1
2
100%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.0
17.1
22.5
3
30%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
26.5
21.6
15
59%
0
6
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
2-3
67%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
24.0
3.0
15
69%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
1-1
83%
44%
1-4
25%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.9
22.1
24.6
7
61%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.4
18.1
19.7
7
49%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
3-5
60%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
8.4
15.4
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
4.4
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
11.8
0
1-3
44%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.6
44.4
37.4
19
60%
10
3
2
1
1
1
3
7
11-13
85%
4-10
6-12
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
41.9
33.4
13
49%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
45%
0-4
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
21.2
28.1
8
60%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
18.4
16.3
7
51%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
10.6
5.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
30.6
9.6
15
75%
8
2
4
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
26.8
25.6
12
53%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.2
26.0
22.6
8
44%
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
20.1
31.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
12.4
0
1-3
42%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
11.9
0
1-2
44%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
6.6
0
1-1
46%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.