FinalWin Prob.pScore
1541%89
84
1159%92
88
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
96.68794.8
MIA logo MIA
102.38679.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU84
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)79
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot77
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot77
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMourning 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)77
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 1:48MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q4 - 1:50HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
14.7%
81
85.3%
Q4 - 2:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot77
36.3%
78
63.7%
Q4 - 2:56HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (24 PTS)77
27.4%
78
72.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)75
22.6%
78
77.4%
Q4 - 3:32HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)75
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 3:56HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
39.1%
76
60.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot75
36.3%
76
63.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)75
30.1%
76
69.9%
Q4 - 4:13HOUMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot75
32.7%
76
67.3%
Q4 - 4:32MIAHaslem Driving Finger Roll (7 PTS)75
39.1%
76
60.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound75
47.9%
74
52.1%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
54.9%
74
45.1%
Q4 - 5:03HOUAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)75
46.8%
74
53.2%
Q4 - 5:11HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)75
55.5%
74
44.5%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot75
52.9%
74
47.1%
Q4 - 5:39HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)75
46.9%
74
53.1%
Q4 - 5:41HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
31.4%
74
68.6%
Q4 - 5:45HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot72
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
32.3%
74
67.7%
Q4 - 6:10HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)72
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)72
46.7%
72
53.3%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q4 - 6:48HOUMISS Yao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot72
40.7%
72
59.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)72
46.2%
72
53.8%
Q4 - 7:15HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 271
57.6%
69
42.4%
Q4 - 7:23HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
59.9%
69
40.1%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Payton 21' Jump Shot71
57.6%
69
42.4%
Q4 - 7:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q4 - 7:33HOUMISS Swift Driving Layup71
54.6%
69
45.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAPayton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)71
60.0%
69
40.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
64.1%
67
35.9%
Q4 - 8:19HOUMISS Yao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot71
65.9%
67
34.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
69.9%
67
30.1%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q4 - 8:57HOUMISS Swift Alley Oop Layup71
76.4%
65
23.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)71
77.6%
65
22.4%
Q4 - 9:12HOUSwift Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
73.0%
65
27.0%
Q4 - 9:25MIASimien 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)71
77.7%
65
22.3%
Q4 - 9:34HOUWilliams STEAL (1 STL)71
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q4 - 9:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
85.0%
63
15.0%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot71
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 10:16HOUWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)71
79.7%
63
20.3%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)68
71.8%
63
28.2%
Q4 - 11:01HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q4 - 11:01HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q4 - 11:14HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
74.7%
60
25.3%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q4 - 11:40HOUWesley 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 2 AST)66
70.2%
60
29.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU64
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)64
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
68.9%
58
31.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
71.8%
58
28.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)64
69.0%
58
31.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
59.5%
58
40.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
58.0%
58
42.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
54.5%
58
45.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot61
56.1%
58
43.9%
Q3 - 1:08HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot61
57.0%
58
43.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
53.6%
58
46.4%
Q3 - 1:22HOUMISS Anderson 9' Fadeaway Jumper61
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 1:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)61
58.6%
58
41.4%
Q3 - 1:49HOUAnderson Traveling Turnover (P5.T11)61
53.6%
58
46.4%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
57.2%
58
42.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 261
56.6%
58
43.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 261
54.4%
58
45.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q3 - 2:10HOUMISS Yao 20' Jump Shot61
53.8%
58
46.2%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMourning Tip Shot (11 PTS)61
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Posey Layup61
64.7%
56
35.3%
Q3 - 2:37HOUWade STEAL (3 STL)61
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 2:46HOUAnderson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)61
66.2%
56
33.8%
Q3 - 2:53HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
61.9%
56
38.1%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot60
60.4%
56
39.6%
Q3 - 3:14HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)60
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 3:18HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 3:38HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q3 - 3:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 3:57HOUMISS Howard 8' Jump Bank Shot60
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 4:14MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)60
60.2%
56
39.8%
Q3 - 4:36HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
55.4%
56
44.6%
Q3 - 4:36HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 259
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q3 - 4:49HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot59
54.6%
56
45.4%
Q3 - 5:15HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)59
50.8%
56
49.2%
Q3 - 5:31HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
41.5%
56
58.5%
Q3 - 5:51HOUAnderson Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)56
38.5%
56
61.5%
Q3 - 6:08HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot54
33.8%
56
66.2%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 6:17HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 6:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 154
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 6:48HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)54
38.4%
54
61.6%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMourning Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q3 - 7:27HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q3 - 7:41HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 8:04HOUYao Reverse Layup (22 PTS)54
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q3 - 8:17HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Williams Free Throw Technical52
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q3 - 8:42HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)52
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q3 - 8:44HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
35.0%
52
65.0%
Q3 - 8:46HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)50
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q3 - 9:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
34.6%
52
65.4%
Q3 - 9:15HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)50
37.9%
50
62.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)48
34.7%
50
65.3%
Q3 - 9:50HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)48
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T10)46
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q3 - 10:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q3 - 10:20HOUMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot46
32.3%
48
67.7%
Q3 - 10:25HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)46
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot46
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q3 - 10:43HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
32.3%
48
67.7%
Q3 - 11:01MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)46
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q3 - 11:21HOUYao 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q3 - 11:22HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 11:24HOUMISS Yao 5' Hook Shot44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q3 - 11:42HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot44
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU44
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound44
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Anderson 35' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)44
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Yao Dunk44
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMourning 3' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
38.4%
44
61.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup44
39.9%
44
60.1%
Q2 - 1:07HOUSwift 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)44
38.7%
44
61.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)42
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 1:41HOUSwift Dunk (8 PTS)42
38.7%
42
61.3%
Q2 - 1:43HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 1:45HOUMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot40
33.3%
42
66.7%
Q2 - 1:51HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Mourning Layup40
33.8%
42
66.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 2:11HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)40
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 2:30HOUSwift Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)40
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 2:48MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
29.4%
42
70.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 3:01HOUMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)38
35.8%
39
64.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
38.0%
39
62.0%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 3:31HOUMISS Swift Driving Layup38
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 3:44MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
43.8%
37
56.2%
Q2 - 3:56HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
46.4%
35
53.6%
Q2 - 3:56HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 237
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 3:56HOURockets Rebound37
46.8%
35
53.2%
Q2 - 3:57HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 4:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot37
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 4:30HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)37
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)35
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup35
45.2%
33
54.8%
Q2 - 5:01HOUSwift Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)35
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 5:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
41.0%
32
59.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
43.0%
31
57.0%
Q2 - 5:30HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 233
43.4%
31
56.6%
Q2 - 5:30HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 6:07HOUBarry Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q2 - 6:22HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot32
50.4%
28
49.6%
Q2 - 6:48HOUBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 7:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot32
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 7:13HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
48.0%
28
52.0%
Q2 - 7:13HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 7:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 7:14HOUMISS Yao 5' Hook Shot30
43.6%
28
56.4%
Q2 - 7:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot30
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 7:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 7:51HOUHead 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 8:06HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
40.2%
28
59.8%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot28
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot28
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:58HOUHead Layup (2 PTS)28
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 8:59HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q2 - 9:01HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 126
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 9:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMISS Yao 3' Hook Shot24
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)24
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 124
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q2 - 9:41HOUMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)22
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q2 - 9:55HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.1%
26
69.9%
Q2 - 10:17HOUYao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)22
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWalker 6' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)20
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
28.6%
24
71.4%
Q2 - 10:50HOUMISS Swift 7' Jump Shot20
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 10:52HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Head 21' Jump Shot20
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 11:03HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 11:04HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot20
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 11:30HOUMISS Swift 5' Hook Shot20
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T6)20
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU20
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound20
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 55' 3PT Jump Shot20
33.5%
22
66.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)20
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
39.6%
19
60.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 219
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (3 PTS)19
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot19
43.1%
17
56.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 219
43.4%
17
56.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 119
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 1:09MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 1:09MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.2%
14
55.8%
Q1 - 1:23HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 217
44.4%
14
55.6%
Q1 - 1:23HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 1:26HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
42.4%
14
57.6%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 216
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot16
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 1:59HOUMutombo Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 2:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 2:02HOUMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot14
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 2:17HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHEAT Rebound14
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 2:42HOUMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIASimien 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)14
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 3:10MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 3:13HOUMISS Alston 12' Jump Shot14
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 3:24HOURockets Rebound14
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup14
45.2%
11
54.8%
Q1 - 3:47HOUHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Mutombo 1 AST)14
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 3:49HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 3:51HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
41.3%
11
58.7%
Q1 - 4:29MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Anderson: Tip to Haslem12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 4:39HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot12
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 4:59HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIAPayton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 5:41HOUAnderson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMourning Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T5)8
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 6:12HOUAnderson Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)8
40.3%
6
59.7%
Q1 - 6:25HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot8
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 6:41HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot8
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMourning Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 7:21HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)8
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 7:49HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 26
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade Layup6
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 8:02HOUMISS Yao 14' Jump Shot6
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 8:30HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)6
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 8:37HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 8:59HOUYao 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)6
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:08HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 9:30HOUYao 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)4
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:58HOUMISS Anderson 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:03HOURockets Rebound2
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 10:04HOUMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:22MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:45HOUAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 11:05HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:42HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)2
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Yao: Tip to Alston0
37.9%
0
62.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.90 45.2%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
13
25
52%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
HOU
15
34
44%
MIA
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
HOU
16
26
62%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2452%12.0 / 23
D. Anderson2053%10.0 / 19
S. Swift1246%6.0 / 13
J. Howard1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wesley6100%3.0 / 3
L. Head550%2.5 / 5
R. Alston317%1.5 / 9
D. Mutombo375%1.5 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
J. Barry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2548%12.5 / 26
J. Williams1354%6.5 / 12
A. Mourning1359%6.5 / 11
G. Payton1250%6.0 / 12
A. Walker844%4.0 / 9
U. Haslem744%3.5 / 8
J. Posey643%3.0 / 7
W. Simien4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
74
+18
-13
92
MIA
72
+15
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.90 45.2%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
108.0
HOU 96.6 +5.8
MIA 102.3
Pace
88.2
92.2
HOU 94.8 +15.4
MIA 79.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.9
HOU 15.2 +2.9
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
51.7%
HOU 44.7%
MIA 48.1% +3.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.0%
HOU 15.5%
MIA 13.8% +1.7%
ORB %
25.5%
26.8%
HOU 31.8% +2.9%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
31.7
36.3
HOU 34.2 +7.3
MIA 26.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
55.7%
HOU 59.4% +15.3%
MIA 44.1%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
HOU 10.3% +5.6%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
HOU 3.6%
MIA 6.8% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
53.9%
HOU 45.2%
MIA 50.6% +5.4%
Rim FG%
56.1%
64.2%
HOU 52.0%
MIA 61.9% +9.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.9%
HOU 44.1% +4.1%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
33.2%
34.5%
HOU 23.5%
MIA 31.8% +8.3%
FT %
75.9%
70.0%
HOU 61.5%
MIA 61.9% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
39.3%
HOU 32.9% +6.0%
MIA 26.9%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
38.0%
HOU 44.7% +0.1%
MIA 44.9%
3P Att. %
22.6%
22.7%
HOU 22.4%
MIA 28.2% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points8488
Rebounds4643
Assists1915
Steals94
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals32-7634-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2513-21
Midrange FG15-3414-35
2-Point FG28-5927-56
3-Point FG4-177-22
Free Throws16-2613-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
35.3
3
17%
4
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'6" 310 · 25
33.3
24
52%
14
3
0
1
1
4
5
9
4-7
57%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 31
32.3
20
53%
6
5
1
0
5
4
1
5
6-8
75%
4-9
44%
2-8
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
30.0
11
69%
6
1
1
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 30
20.2
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 203 · 35
24.5
6
100%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26
19.4
12
46%
5
0
1
1
1
5
3
2
2-3
67%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
19.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
13.0
3
75%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 23
12.8
5
50%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 27
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'5" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
45%
46
19
9
2
13
0
14
32
16-26
62%
28-59
47%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.