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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic36%8788
24Hornets64%9183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.6
42.8
34.9
13
56%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
4-9
4-10
44%
43%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.7
39.4
39.1
24
52%
8
4
0
1
0
5
2
6
8-9
89%
5-16
6-14
31%
44%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.9
36.6
35.0
16
69%
13
1
0
1
1
3
4
9
6-8
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.6
26.5
31.7
9
67%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
3-8
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
20.3
22.0
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.2
27.6
17.4
8
51%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.7
25.2
22.2
6
47%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
1-1
100%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.2
11.3
10.4
6
69%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.8
10.2
11.1
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
0.1
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.6
6.4
0
1-2
47%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
3.9
0
0-1
40%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.1
39.4
33.1
9
48%
10
2
1
1
1
1
1
9
1-1
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
38.4
27.7
12
40%
5
2
2
1
0
4
3
2
0-0
-
6-14
4-8
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.5
35.5
30.8
10
36%
4
4
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.4
21.5
24.7
4
41%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.2
20.0
23.6
6
31%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.5
28.1
25.7
24
66%
2
6
2
1
0
3
2
0
4-7
57%
10-14
3-7
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.1
26.4
17.3
12
61%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
13.6
21.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
12.6
15.8
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.4
4.7
7.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.4
8.8
0
1-2
41%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.5
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.8
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.