FinalWin Prob.pScore
1342%91
90
858%94
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.89281.6
IND logo IND
103.392105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDJasikevicius 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
17.4%
91
82.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot90
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)90
38.8%
91
61.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)90
42.1%
90
57.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)90
51.3%
89
48.7%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
39.1%
89
60.9%
Q4 - 1:29INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot88
34.8%
89
65.2%
Q4 - 1:41INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
27.1%
89
72.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot88
30.7%
89
69.3%
Q4 - 2:00INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
39.2%
89
60.8%
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 288
40.7%
88
59.3%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)88
36.8%
88
63.2%
Q4 - 2:38INDWorld Peace 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS)86
31.3%
88
68.7%
Q4 - 2:54MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
37.3%
86
62.7%
Q4 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
31.4%
86
68.6%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot84
27.5%
86
72.5%
Q4 - 3:19INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q4 - 3:21INDMISS Harrison 13' Jump Shot84
27.6%
86
72.4%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)84
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound82
17.6%
86
82.4%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot82
16.0%
86
84.0%
Q4 - 4:19INDPACERS Rebound82
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot82
13.8%
86
86.2%
Q4 - 4:53INDJones 5' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)82
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)82
23.0%
84
77.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
32.0%
84
68.0%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 182
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q4 - 5:30INDCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T14)80
19.4%
84
80.6%
Q4 - 5:44INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
14.4%
84
85.6%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup80
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
21.2%
84
78.8%
Q4 - 6:04INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot80
19.5%
84
80.5%
Q4 - 6:06INDPACERS Rebound80
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q4 - 6:06INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot80
19.4%
84
80.6%
Q4 - 6:26INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
15.9%
84
84.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
17.3%
84
82.7%
Q4 - 6:46INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P5.T13)80
21.0%
84
79.0%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P10.T21)80
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 7:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
22.7%
84
77.3%
Q4 - 7:04INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot80
21.1%
84
78.9%
Q4 - 7:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
19.1%
84
80.9%
Q4 - 7:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
22.6%
84
77.4%
Q4 - 7:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)80
27.1%
82
72.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
25.9%
82
74.1%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
22.6%
82
77.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup78
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
22.6%
82
77.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup78
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q4 - 8:15INDO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
23.6%
82
76.4%
Q4 - 8:40MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
28.3%
80
71.7%
Q4 - 8:40MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
27.2%
80
72.8%
Q4 - 8:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
23.5%
80
76.5%
Q4 - 9:01INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
23.2%
80
76.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P9.T20)76
20.1%
80
79.9%
Q4 - 9:19MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
24.5%
80
75.5%
Q4 - 9:21INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot76
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 9:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
20.1%
80
79.9%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot76
21.4%
80
78.6%
Q4 - 9:46INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)76
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q4 - 9:46INDPACERS Rebound76
20.1%
80
79.9%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS Jasikevicius 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWalker 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
20.9%
80
79.1%
Q4 - 10:39INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
17.6%
80
82.4%
Q4 - 10:39INDHarrison 2' Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)74
17.6%
80
82.4%
Q4 - 10:41INDMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot74
23.8%
78
76.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
20.8%
78
79.2%
Q4 - 11:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
18.4%
78
81.6%
Q4 - 11:04INDMISS Jasikevicius 14' Jump Shot72
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q4 - 11:19INDJump Ball Croshere vs. Walker: Tip to72
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q4 - 11:28MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot72
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 11:47INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 11:47INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
21.6%
76
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 272
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDJones 5' Running Finger Roll (6 PTS)71
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P4.T18)71
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 1:00INDHarrison 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)71
30.5%
74
69.5%
Q3 - 1:08INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot71
36.7%
72
63.3%
Q3 - 1:30INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q3 - 1:30INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
41.0%
71
59.0%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P8.T17)71
44.6%
70
55.4%
Q3 - 2:02INDO'Neal 3' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)71
48.8%
70
51.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)71
53.1%
68
46.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
58.1%
68
41.9%
Q3 - 2:37INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 271
57.5%
68
42.5%
Q3 - 2:37INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
54.5%
68
45.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P7.T15)71
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 3:07INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P1.T11)71
61.9%
67
38.1%
Q3 - 3:12INDPACERS Rebound71
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q3 - 3:14INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup71
60.5%
67
39.5%
Q3 - 3:25INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Simien 20' Jump Shot71
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
61.9%
67
38.1%
Q3 - 3:40INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot71
60.5%
67
39.5%
Q3 - 3:50INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHeat Rebound71
61.0%
67
39.0%
Q3 - 4:07INDMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot71
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T14)71
56.2%
67
43.8%
Q3 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
61.0%
67
39.0%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
59.6%
67
40.4%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
56.3%
67
43.7%
Q3 - 5:01INDCroshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)71
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)71
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound71
71.4%
64
28.6%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Haslem 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
68.7%
64
31.3%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
71.4%
64
28.6%
Q3 - 5:40INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 271
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q3 - 5:40INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 5:52INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
71.1%
63
28.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot71
72.2%
63
27.8%
Q3 - 6:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
73.3%
63
26.7%
Q3 - 6:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
74.0%
62
26.0%
Q3 - 6:13INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
76.2%
61
23.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot71
77.1%
61
22.9%
Q3 - 6:44INDO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)71
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q3 - 6:49INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot71
82.4%
59
17.6%
Q3 - 6:56INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)71
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 6:58INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot71
81.1%
59
18.9%
Q3 - 7:23INDWorld Peace Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T9)71
82.9%
59
17.1%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 271
81.1%
59
18.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll (21 PTS)71
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
78.1%
59
21.9%
Q3 - 7:38INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot69
77.2%
59
22.8%
Q3 - 7:47INDCroshere Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)69
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)69
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 8:13INDWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P1.T8)67
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 8:18INDPACERS Rebound67
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 8:18INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot67
73.7%
58
26.3%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)67
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
68.6%
58
31.4%
Q3 - 8:47INDMISS World Peace 3' Jump Shot65
67.5%
58
32.5%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade 3' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)65
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 9:18INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 163
60.0%
58
40.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)63
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)60
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 10:03INDO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)59
53.0%
56
47.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
56.1%
54
43.9%
Q3 - 10:45INDCroshere 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)57
53.0%
54
47.0%
Q3 - 10:50INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
56.1%
52
43.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
60.0%
52
40.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup57
57.3%
52
42.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot57
57.3%
52
42.7%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
60.0%
52
40.0%
Q3 - 10:59INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot57
58.8%
52
41.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
55.7%
52
44.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 256
55.0%
52
45.0%
Q3 - 11:22INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMourning 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)56
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND54
49.0%
52
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Simien 3' Layup54
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
48.0%
52
52.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot54
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)54
48.1%
52
51.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
45.8%
52
54.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot52
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
39.2%
52
60.8%
Q2 - 1:21INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)50
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)50
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
44.4%
49
55.6%
Q2 - 1:49INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup50
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 2:01INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q2 - 2:12INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup50
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
42.0%
49
58.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
41.4%
49
58.6%
Q2 - 2:32INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
38.7%
49
61.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)48
36.1%
49
63.9%
Q2 - 3:18INDO'Neal 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)48
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q2 - 3:23INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q2 - 3:25INDMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot48
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWalker 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q2 - 3:47INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot46
38.0%
47
62.0%
Q2 - 4:01INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 246
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 4:14INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 245
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q2 - 4:14INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 245
33.9%
47
66.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWilliams 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)45
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q2 - 4:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot43
29.1%
47
70.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 5:08INDTinsley 4' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)43
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 5:11INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot43
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
36.1%
45
63.9%
Q2 - 5:23INDMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot43
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)43
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
28.6%
45
71.4%
Q2 - 5:54INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot40
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 5:56INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 5:58INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot40
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 6:20MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS)40
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
24.7%
45
75.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot38
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
24.7%
45
75.3%
Q2 - 6:31INDMISS Jones 3' Layup38
24.0%
45
76.0%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 7:03INDJasikevicius Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)36
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 7:03INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)36
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 7:03INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)36
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)36
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 7:34INDJackson 3' Layup (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)34
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q2 - 7:38INDJump Ball Jones vs. Haslem: Tip to O'Neal34
25.0%
40
75.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 134
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 7:58INDJones 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)32
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T9)32
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 8:19INDPollard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 8:19INDPollard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 8:19INDPollard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 8:21INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.9%
36
69.1%
Q2 - 8:24MIAPollard STEAL (1 STL)32
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 8:55INDPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
31.7%
36
68.3%
Q2 - 8:55INDPollard 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
31.7%
36
68.3%
Q2 - 8:56INDMISS Granger 8' Jump Shot32
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q2 - 9:17INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot32
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q2 - 9:35INDWorld Peace 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)32
36.2%
34
63.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIASimien 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)32
38.3%
32
61.7%
Q2 - 10:21INDJasikevicius 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)30
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q2 - 10:35MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)30
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 10:58INDJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)30
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 11:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 11:23MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 11:24INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot30
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 11:26INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 11:28INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup30
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 11:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 230
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42.9%
27
57.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Simien Free Throw 2 of 229
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
42.3%
27
57.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot28
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)28
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot26
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q1 - 1:06MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
35.4%
27
64.6%
Q1 - 1:06MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 1:07INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 1:07INDMISS Pollard 3' Jump Shot24
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q1 - 1:09INDMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot24
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q1 - 1:24MIASimien 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)24
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 1:45INDWorld Peace 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot20
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q1 - 2:14INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)20
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q1 - 2:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAHarrison BLOCK (1 BLK)20
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Kapono 8' Jump Shot20
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q1 - 2:41INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 2:41INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 220
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q1 - 2:47MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIASimien 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup18
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 3:00INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 3:00INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q1 - 3:17INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 118
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 3:28INDJackson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)16
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJasikevicius STEAL (1 STL)16
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 3:53INDWorld Peace 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)16
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)16
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 4:15INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
36.1%
18
63.9%
Q1 - 4:15INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 216
36.7%
17
63.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T4)16
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 4:45INDWorld Peace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)16
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 4:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot16
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 5:10INDTinsley 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 5:33INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot13
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 6:06INDWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)13
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMourning 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)13
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 6:44INDTinsley 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 6:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.4%
8
56.6%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot11
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 7:08INDTinsley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 7:38INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (2 PTS)9
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 7:39INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 7:41INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)9
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 8:00INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)9
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot7
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 8:37INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 27
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 8:37INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 27
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 8:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot7
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 9:03INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 9:03INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
45.4%
3
54.6%
Q1 - 9:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot7
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 9:36INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup7
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMourning 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:56MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)5
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 10:10INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 10:44INDJackson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 11:02MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 11:09INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup2
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:45INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mourning: Tip to Tinsley0
37.4%
0
62.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
25
60%
IND
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
IND
9
33
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
IND
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
19
28
68%
IND
27
38
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2954%14.5 / 27
U. Haslem1973%9.5 / 13
A. Walker1441%7.0 / 17
J. Williams956%4.5 / 8
W. Simien964%4.5 / 7
A. Mourning850%4.0 / 8
G. Payton233%1.0 / 3
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2450%12.0 / 24
J. O'Neal1740%8.5 / 21
S. Jackson1458%7.0 / 12
F. Jones938%4.5 / 12
J. Tinsley867%4.0 / 6
S. Jasikevicius880%4.0 / 5
A. Croshere6100%3.0 / 3
D. Harrison563%2.5 / 4
S. Pollard467%2.0 / 3
D. Granger0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+15
-21
86
IND
79
+13
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
103.9
MIA 97.8 +5.4
IND 103.3
Pace
92.2
90.1
MIA 81.6
IND 105.5 +23.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.0
MIA 17.7
IND 13.7 +4.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.7%
MIA 48.0% +2.7%
IND 45.3%
TO %
15.0%
16.3%
MIA 20.3%
IND 13.2% +7.1%
ORB %
26.8%
27.1%
MIA 31.1% +9.7%
IND 21.4%
FTrt
36.3
34.4
MIA 37.8
IND 50.7 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.5%
MIA 55.9%
IND 62.5% +6.6%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
MIA 7.6%
IND 9.8% +2.2%
BLK %
8.5%
7.5%
MIA 12.3% +9.1%
IND 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
51.7%
MIA 50.6% +0.1%
IND 50.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.7%
MIA 60.0% +0.6%
IND 59.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.0%
MIA 42.1% +14.8%
IND 27.3%
3P %
34.5%
34.9%
MIA 27.3%
IND 40.0% +12.7%
FT %
70.0%
73.7%
MIA 67.9%
IND 71.1% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
34.3%
MIA 33.8%
IND 42.7% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
41.2%
MIA 51.4%
IND 44.0% +7.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.5%
MIA 14.9% +1.5%
IND 13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points9095
Rebounds4740
Assists1920
Steals79
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals34-7432-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2519-32
Midrange FG16-389-33
2-Point FG31-6328-65
3-Point FG3-114-10
Free Throws19-2827-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
40.8
19
73%
11
1
3
1
0
5
3
8
3-4
75%
8-10
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
40.3
14
41%
6
4
1
0
6
4
1
5
1-4
25%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
39.5
29
54%
11
6
1
0
10
3
4
7
7-9
78%
11-24
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
39.0
9
56%
2
5
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
26.8
8
50%
7
1
0
7
2
6
2
5
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
27.4
2
33%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
16.9
9
64%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · C · 6'11" 262 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#49 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
47
19
7
8
21
0
14
33
19-28
68%
31-63
49%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.